Climate risk in Cologne
North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany · 1M people in the urban area
What threatens Cologne most
- Drought
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Moderate GSHAP
- Water stress
- Low WRI Aqueduct
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Germany
An earthquake's shaking at Cologne can reach 0.92 m/s², as strong as a once-in-475-years event.
Berlin: 0.1 m/s².
The highest of the 10 large cities in Germany.
Cologne's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Cologne is projected to have the climate that Paris (France) has today.
+1.4°C
Mean temperature over the year
+2.2°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-1%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Cologne would have the climate that Paris (France) has today.
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How close the match is: 0.0 σ to the climate of Paris today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 2 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Hazards at Cologne
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Cologne | Among large cities | In Germany |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 3 days | Among large cities: above 46% | In Germany: 3 of 10 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 0 days | ||
| Hottest day of 2025 | 37.2°C | Among large cities: above 57% | In Germany: 5 of 10 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.8°C | Among large cities: above 34% | In Germany: 6 of 10 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 4 days | Among large cities: above 30% | In Germany: 2 of 10 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Low (<10%) | Among large cities: above 0% | In Germany: 4 of 10 |
| Drought risk | Medium-High | Among large cities: above 13% | In Germany: 1 of 10 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.92 m/s² | Among large cities: above 61% | In Germany: 1 of 10 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Cologne on the live map
See the hot days around Cologne on the live map
3 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Cologne
- Düsseldorf · Germany
- Duisburg · Germany
- Essen · Germany
- Frankfurt am Main · Germany
Large cities in Germany
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In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Cologne, Germany: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/DEU/cologne BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_DEU_cologne_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Cologne, Germany: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/DEU/cologne},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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