Climate risk in Stuttgart
Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany
Main risks in Stuttgart
Heat, downpours and earthquakes do not put Stuttgart in the top quarter of the world's 626 large cities.
Earthquakes can bring moderate shaking to Stuttgart (0.08 g on firm ground): shaking that strong has a 10% chance in 50 years, and soft ground shakes harder. [1]
Higher than 56% of the world's large cities.
For comparison: Chengdu 0.09 g, Toronto 0.07 g, Nairobi 0.06 g.
0.08 g Natural Earth Earthquake shaking on firm ground, 10% chance in 50 years
This week in Stuttgart
This week's forecast risk around the city, by day and by hour, and the hazard events near it now. [2] [3] [4]
This week's forecast for the city cannot be shown here right now.
Open the city on the mapThe Earth right now
The Earth's pulse reads the whole world, not this city, so it is the same on every city's page.
Earth's pulse, from 0 to 100. It rises with the number of people in the path of disasters now under way; 90 matches the 2004 tsunami.
Open the live mapStuttgart's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, if emissions level off [5] [6]
By the 2050s, Stuttgart is projected to have the climate that Mannheim (Germany) has today.
+1.5 °C
Mean temperature over the year
+2.4 °C
Average daily high, warmest month
+1.2 °C
Average nightly low, coldest month
-1%
Precipitation over the year
If emissions keep rising, the comparison comes out the same.
Share this comparison
Climates are compared on seasonal temperature and rainfall alone, each difference weighed against the city's usual swings from year to year (the method of Mahony et al. 2017); heat waves, the heat of city streets and the rising sea are left out. All 3 estimates from the climate models, the middle one and the two ends of their range, point to Mannheim. [7]
Everything else measured
From the highest among the world's 626 large cities to the lowest.
| Reading | Stuttgart | Among 626 large cities | Rank in Germany (1 = highest) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Water stress [8] | High: 40 to 80% of the available water drawn | the same grade as 14% of large cities; higher than 56%, lower than 30% | |
| Warming by 2050, if emissions level off [6] | +2 °C | higher than 51% of large cities | Rank in Germany (1 = highest): 2 of 10 |
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C [9] | 2 days | higher than 43% of large cities | Rank in Germany (1 = highest): 7 of 10 |
| Hottest day of 2025 [9] | 35.4 °C | higher than 42% of large cities | Rank in Germany (1 = highest): 8 of 10 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 [9] | 3 days | higher than 24% of large cities | Rank in Germany (1 = highest): 4 of 10 |
| Drought risk [8] | Medium-High | the same grade as 38% of large cities; higher than 12%, lower than 50% | |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C [9] | 0 nights | like 14% of large cities | |
| River flood depth, 100-year event [10] | Dry at the centre; other districts can flood | like 85% of large cities | |
| Share of land sinking over 1 cm a year, within 15 km [11] | 0% | like 80% of large cities | |
| Land burned in an average year [12] | 0% | like 84% of large cities | |
| Tropical cyclone wind, once in 100 years [13] | No hurricane or typhoon reaches here | ||
| Share of the land around the centre (a 10 km square) that a 100-year flood from the sea puts under 0.5 m of water or more [10] | Far from the sea: no coastal flooding |
- Flood depth is given for one 1 km square at the city centre, in today's climate.
- Land subsidence comes from a model of satellite radar measurements from 2013 to 2019 in 2 km squares, read over all the land within 15 km of the centre rather than at one point.
- Water stress is the share of the available water drawn every year. Drought risk is how often droughts come, against the area's own usual rain, and how many people and how much farmland they would reach. Both are graded on WRI's own scale.
- If emissions level off: the IPCC's SSP2-4.5 scenario.
- Water stress and drought risk have no rank in the country: they are steps of a scale, and many cities share one.
- Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here.
The nearest large cities
Distance from centre to centre.
- Mannheim · Germany · 96 km
- Frankfurt am Main · Germany · 150 km
- Zurich · Switzerland · 160 km
- Munich · Germany · 190 km
Large cities in Germany
Sources
- GSHAP Global Seismic Hazard Map: earthquake shaking
- Environment and Climate Change Canada: Global Deterministic Prediction System (GDPS): the week's forecast map
- GDACS - Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System: drought near the city now
- EUMETNET MeteoAlarm, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, the India Meteorological Department, Brazil's Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia and national weather services, via WMO WIS2: windstorm near the city now
- TerraClimate: the 2050s comparison
- NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX-GDDP-CMIP6): the 2050s comparison, warming
- Mahony, Cannon, Wang and Aitken (2017). A closer look at novel climates: new methods and insights at continental to landscape scales. Global Change Biology 23, 3934-3955: how climates are compared
- Aqueduct 4.0 Water Risk Framework: water stress, drought risk
- ERA5 Single Levels Daily Statistics: hot days, hottest day, heavy rain, nights
- Aqueduct Floods Hazard Maps: river flood depth, coastal floods
- Global Land Subsidence Mapping Reveals Widespread Loss of Aquifer Storage Capacity: sinking land
- Global Biomass Burning at 500 m (GFED500): burned land
- IRIS: the Imperial College Storm Model dataset: tropical cyclone wind
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In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on GSHAP, ECCC, GDACS - Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System, EUMETNET MeteoAlarm, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, the India Meteorological Department, Brazil's Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia and national weather services, via WMO WIS2, TerraClimate, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, ECMWF, HydroShare, GFED500, IRIS
APA
Criora. (2026). Stuttgart, Germany: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 4, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/DEU/stuttgart BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_DEU_stuttgart_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Stuttgart, Germany: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/DEU/stuttgart},
urldate = {2026-11-04}
} The figures may be reused on the terms of their sources, which this page names.
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