+3.2 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +2.5 °C → +3.2 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +1.7 °C → +2.1 °C
Hottest month +5.7 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
France Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Europe
- Subregion
- Western Europe
- Income
- High income, OECD
- ISO
- FRA
France: low across the board; strong social keeps overall risk contained.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is France, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Low 38 / 100
5y
- 54 Climate Medium
- 29 Nature +0.3 Low
- 24 Social Low
- 48 Governance Medium
- 35 Adaptation +0.0 Low
Which hazards threaten France most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 7.5FloodHigh
- 3.6DRR capacityLow
France in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
9
Western Europe
#9 of 9 · median 3625
Europe
#25 of 43 · median 3823
High income: OECD
#23 of 31 · median 37Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
France: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, France is projected to warm +3.2 °C, with annual rainfall changing -50 mm.
-50 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- -24 mm → -50 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- -12 mm → -13 mm
Driest month -6 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
45%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 38% → 45%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 33% → 33%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 12% today.
1.7%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 1.7% → 1.7%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 1.4% → 1.6%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 1.3% today.
Sea level
France: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 8 of its largest cities.
Coastal sea-level rise
20502100
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +0.24 m → +0.76 m
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +0.22 m → +0.56 m
Largest exposed cities
PopulationMax depth
Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.
Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Energy Imports | 47.2 % of energy use | 93.0 |
Renewable Energy Share | 16.2 % of total energy | 83.2 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 22.8 % of total | 77.2 |
Flood Risk | 7.50 0-10 | 75.0 |
Coastal Protection Needed | 75.3 % coast | 67.9 |
Drought Index (SPEI) | -0.45 index | 47.1 |
Land Surface Temperature | 16.6 deg C change | 43.0 |
Fossil Fuel Consumption | 46.5 % of total | 41.9 |
Heating Degree Days | 4224 degree days | 29.0 |
Energy Use Per Capita | 3138 kg oil eq per capita | 19.7 |
Energy Intensity | 2.83 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 14.5 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 3.95 metric tons | 12.5 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.54 kt CO2e per capita | 12.5 |
Cooling Degree Days | 455 degree days | 6.2 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 9.60 ug/m3 | 5.9 |
Coal Electricity Share | 0.59 % of total | 1.3 |
Heat Index | 0.00 index | 0.0 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Dam Capacity | 0.96 0-1 | 96.2 |
Urban Concentration | 0.80 0-1 | 80.4 |
Food Production Index | 94.0 index | 78.4 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.68 0-1 | 67.6 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.67 0-1 | 67.1 |
Forest Area | 31.8 % of land | 66.3 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.66 0-1 | 66.0 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.66 0-1 | 65.8 |
Protected Areas | 36.6 % of land | 63.1 |
Agricultural Land | 51.7 % of land | 60.9 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.60 0-1 | 60.3 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.59 0-1 | 59.2 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.59 0-1 | 58.9 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 12.3 % of internal resources | 55.2 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.54 0-1 | 54.3 |
Projected Hydropower Change | 0.48 0-1 | 47.7 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.47 0-1 | 47.2 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.41 0-1 | 41.4 |
Disaster Preparedness | 0.35 0-1 | 35.0 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.31 0-1 | 30.8 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.30 0-1 | 30.5 |
Earthquake Risk | 2.80 0-10 | 28.0 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.26 0-1 | 25.6 |
Tsunami Risk | 2.50 0-10 | 25.0 |
Water Bodies Extent | 78.9 % of land | 21.1 |
Rural Population | 0.20 0-1 | 19.6 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.16 0-1 | 15.9 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.15 0-1 | 15.3 |
Projected Population Change | 0.14 0-1 | 14.0 |
Population Below 5m | 0.13 0-1 | 12.6 |
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact | 0.12 0-1 | 12.2 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.11 0-1 | 11.3 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.11 0-1 | 10.6 |
Access to Improved Sanitation | 0.10 0-1 | 10.5 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.05 0-1 | 5.2 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 1.74 % of GDP | 4.8 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 9.00 count | 4.7 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.03 0-1 | 3.0 |
Ecological Footprint | 0.03 0-1 | 3.0 |
Tree Cover Loss | 112886 hectares | 1.7 |
Water Stress | 21.6 % | 0.6 |
Access to Reliable Drinking Water | 0.00 0-1 | 0.3 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 0.03 % of GNI | 0.1 |
Forest Depletion | 0.02 % of GNI | 0.1 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Slum Population | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Paved Roads | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Electricity Access | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Education Expenditure | 8.88 % of govt | 83.0 |
Shared Prosperity Growth | -0.33 % annual | 81.2 |
Uprooted People | 7.90 0-10 | 79.0 |
Primary School Enrollment | 103 % gross | 60.4 |
School Gender Parity | 1.00 ratio | 59.4 |
Net Migration | 91862 persons | 58.2 |
Aging Population | 21.7 % population | 58.0 |
Hospital Beds | 6.00 per 1,000 | 53.7 |
GDP Growth | 0.94 % annual | 52.0 |
Income Share Bottom 20% | 7.80 % | 36.1 |
Overweight Adults | 34.3 % adults | 29.5 |
Gini Coefficient | 31.2 0-100 | 23.1 |
Labor Participation | 73.7 % (15+) | 23.1 |
Unemployment Rate | 7.33 % | 20.6 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 86.7 ratio F/M | 18.4 |
Fertility Rate | 1.66 births per woman | 17.4 |
Poverty Rate (National) | 15.6 % population | 16.5 |
Internet Users | 86.8 % population | 14.8 |
Life Expectancy | 82.9 years | 10.8 |
Sanitation Access | 89.7 % population | 10.6 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 6.37 % | 8.0 |
ESG Performance Score | 2.50 0-100 | 8.0 |
Food Security | 0.60 0-10 | 6.0 |
Children Under 5 | 0.30 0-10 | 3.0 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 4.30 per 1,000 | 2.6 |
Aid Dependency | 0.20 0-10 | 2.0 |
Health Conditions | 0.20 0-10 | 2.0 |
Recent Shocks | 0.20 0-10 | 2.0 |
Population Density | 124 people/km2 | 0.7 |
Safe Drinking Water | 99.7 % population | 0.3 |
Development and Deprivation | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Access to Electricity | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Undernourishment | 2.50 % population | 0.0 |
Patent Applications | 13386 count | 99.1 |
Scientific Articles | 65888 count | 92.7 |
Legal Rights Strength | 4.00 0-12 | 66.7 |
R&D Expenditure | 2.23 % of GDP | 63.3 |
Political Stability | 0.34 -2.5 to +2.5 | 43.1 |
Women in Parliament | 37.8 % seats | 38.3 |
Disaster Risk Reduction | 3.60 0-10 | 36.0 |
INFORM Governance Index | 3.00 0-10 | 30.0 |
Government Effectiveness | 1.14 -2.5 to +2.5 | 27.1 |
Regulatory Quality | 1.15 -2.5 to +2.5 | 26.9 |
Voice and Accountability | 1.15 -2.5 to +2.5 | 26.9 |
Rule of Law | 1.18 -2.5 to +2.5 | 26.4 |
Control of Corruption | 1.18 -2.5 to +2.5 | 26.3 |
Communication Infrastructure | 1.80 0-10 | 18.0 |
Healthcare Access | 0.70 0-10 | 7.0 |
Physical Infrastructure | 0.10 0-10 | 1.0 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.43 0-1 | 57.2 |
Doing Business Score | 0.57 0-1 | 42.8 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.58 0-1 | 41.8 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.63 0-1 | 37.1 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.70 0-1 | 30.2 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.73 0-1 | 26.7 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.74 0-1 | 25.9 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.74 0-1 | 25.5 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.94 0-1 | 5.6 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in France →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside France.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is France?
France: low across the board; strong social keeps overall risk contained. Its overall risk score is 38 out of 100 (low), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives France's risk?
France's highest pressures are climate (54, medium) and governance (48). Its strongest area is social (24).
How might France's climate change by 2080?
France's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 75 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will France warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), France is on track to warm by +3.2 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -50 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.1 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along France's coast?
Coastal sea level along France is projected to rise by +0.76 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.56 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in France?
The share of France under high water stress is projected to move from 12% today to 45% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in France?
The share of France exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 1.3% today to 1.7% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was France's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.