France: low across the board; strong social keeps overall risk contained. Its overall risk score is 38 out of 100 (low), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.

What drives France's risk?

France's highest pressures are climate (54, medium) and governance (49). Its strongest area is social (24).

How might France's climate change by 2080?

France's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 75 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.

How much will France warm by 2080?

Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), France is on track to warm by +3.2 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -50 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.1 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.

How much will sea levels rise along France's coast?

Coastal sea level along France is projected to rise by +0.76 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.56 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.

How will water stress change in France?

The share of France under high water stress is projected to move from 12% today to 45% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.

How will river-flood exposure change in France?

The share of France exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 1.3% today to 1.7% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.

When was France's risk data last updated?

Updated October 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.

France Climate risk profile and hazard map

Name: France country risk profile
Creator: Criora
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Region: Europe
Subregion: Western Europe
Income: High income, OECD
ISO: FRA

France: low across the board; strong social keeps overall risk contained.

Live events

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map

How risky is France, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Low 38 / 100

54 Climate Medium
28 Nature +0.3 Low
24 Social Low
49 Governance Medium
35 Adaptation +0.0 Low

Which hazards threaten France most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

7.5FloodHigh
3.6DRR capacityLow

France in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

Western Europe

#8 of 9 · median 35

Europe

#23 of 43 · median 38

High income: OECD

#21 of 31 · median 36

Put two countries head to head

Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

Compare Score a site here

France: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, France is projected to warm +3.2 °C, with annual rainfall changing -50 mm.

+3.2 °C

Temperature

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +2.5 °C → +3.2 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +1.7 °C → +2.1 °C

Hottest month +5.7 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

-50 mm

Precipitation

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: -24 mm → -50 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: -12 mm → -13 mm

Driest month -6 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

45%

Water stress

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 38% → 45%
Current path SSP3-7.0: 33% → 33%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 12% today.

1.7%

River flooding

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 1.7% → 1.7%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: 1.4% → 1.6%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 1.3% today.

Sea level

France: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 8 of its largest cities.

Marseille, Max depth 0.9 mFlood depth3 mOpen the live map© OpenStreetMap

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +0.24 m → +0.76 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +0.22 m → +0.56 m

Largest exposed cities

PopulationMax depth

Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

		Year		vs world	vs region
Coastal Protection Needed	98.5 % coast	2024	98.4	+24.7	+39.4
Renewable Energy Share	16.2 % of total energy	2021	83.2	+7.8	+5.4
Renewable Electricity Share	22.8 % of total	2021	77.2	+2.1	+17.1
Flood Risk	7.50 0-10	2026	75.0	+23.0	+16.0
Energy Imports	47.1 % of energy use	2023	67.8	+0.3	-0.3
Fossil Fuel Consumption	0.00 % of total	2024	50.0	0.0	0.0
Land Surface Temperature	16.6 deg C change	2021	43.0	-21.7	+4.6
Drought Index (SPEI)	-0.78 index	2023	34.7	-9.4	-13.0
Heating Degree Days	4418 degree days	2024	32.2	+19.2	-5.2
Energy Use Per Capita	3185 kg oil eq per capita	2024	17.1	+3.5	+2.7
Energy Intensity	2.83 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP	2022	14.5	-4.7	0.0
CO2 Emissions Per Capita	3.95 metric tons	2020	12.5	+4.8	-2.5
N2O Emissions Per Capita	0.54 kt CO2e per capita	2020	12.5	+5.5	+1.9
PM2.5 Air Pollution	9.60 ug/m3	2020	5.9	-13.3	-2.0
Cooling Degree Days	350 degree days	2024	4.7	-49.4	-0.8
Coal Electricity Share	0.36 % of total	2024	0.5	-10.1	-4.7
Heat Index	0.00 days	2020	0.0	-0.7	0.0
Access to Clean Fuels	100 % population	2023	0.0	-8.3	0.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Dam Capacity	0.96 0-1	2023	96.2	+2.9	+4.7
Urban Concentration	0.80 0-1	2023	80.4	+23.0	+8.2
Food Production Index	94.0 index	2022	78.4	+11.3	+6.1
Projected Cereal Yield Change	0.68 0-1	2023	67.6	-18.9	+36.8
Projected Biome Distribution Change	0.67 0-1	2023	67.1	+9.5	+1.2
Projected Warm Period Change	0.66 0-1	2023	66.0	-1.8	-7.5
Projected Vector Disease Change	0.66 0-1	2023	65.8	0.0	0.0
Forest Area	32.5 % of land	2023	65.6	-0.7	+1.1
Protected Areas	36.8 % of land	2024	63.0	-25.3	-18.8
Agricultural Land	52.5 % of land	2023	60.5	+16.2	+13.4
Age Dependency Ratio	0.60 0-1	2023	60.3	+7.5	+8.2
Health Expenditure Per Capita	0.59 0-1	2023	59.2	-25.0	-0.6
Agricultural Capacity	0.59 0-1	2023	58.9	-32.9	-23.8
Freshwater Withdrawal	12.2 % of internal resources	2022	56.1	+5.8	+4.1
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss	0.54 0-1	2023	54.3	+17.0	+14.7
Projected Hydropower Change	0.48 0-1	2023	47.7	+4.0	+2.3
Energy Import Dependency	0.47 0-1	2023	47.2	+21.5	-1.7
Projected Annual Runoff Change	0.41 0-1	2023	41.4	+1.8	+17.7
Disaster Preparedness	0.35 0-1	2023	35.0	+5.0	+2.5
Quality of Trade Infrastructure	0.31 0-1	2023	30.8	-31.3	-7.7
Natural Capital Dependency	0.30 0-1	2023	30.5	+8.7	+2.0
Earthquake Risk	2.80 0-10	2026	28.0	-7.0	-3.5
Projected Groundwater Change	0.26 0-1	2023	25.6	-0.6	0.0
Tsunami Risk	2.50 0-10	2026	25.0	+14.0	+25.0
Rural Population	0.20 0-1	2023	19.6	-23.0	-8.2
Protected Biome Areas	0.16 0-1	2023	15.9	-25.1	-3.6
Food Import Dependency	0.15 0-1	2023	15.3	-6.4	-1.4
Water Bodies Extent	85.3 % of land	2023	14.7	-17.5	-34.4
Projected Population Change	0.14 0-1	2023	14.0	-8.3	+5.4
Population Below 5m	0.13 0-1	2023	12.6	-2.2	+3.0
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact	0.12 0-1	2023	12.2	-1.3	+1.8
Projected Flood Hazard Change	0.11 0-1	2023	11.3	-7.1	+1.7
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate	0.11 0-1	2023	10.6	+3.1	+2.8
Access to Improved Sanitation	0.10 0-1	2023	10.5	-28.8	+0.1
Threatened Mammal Species	13.0 count	2022	6.1	+0.9	+3.7
Water Dependency Ratio	0.05 0-1	2023	5.2	-1.7	-10.0
Projected Climate-Related Deaths	0.03 0-1	2023	3.0	-27.3	0.0
Ecological Footprint	0.03 0-1	2023	3.0	-19.6	-1.0
Agriculture GDP Share	1.30 % of GDP	2024	3.0	-12.8	-2.2
Tree Cover Loss	79147 hectares	2024	1.5	+1.4	+1.4
Water Stress	21.4 %	2022	0.6	+0.3	+0.4
Access to Reliable Drinking Water	0.00 0-1	2023	0.3	-20.1	-1.8
Natural Resource Depletion	0.03 % of GNI	2021	0.1	-2.0	-0.2
Forest Depletion	0.02 % of GNI	2021	0.1	0.0	+0.1
Child Malnutrition	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-13.8	0.0
Slum Population	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-16.5	0.0
Environmental Treaties Engagement	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-76.3	-46.1
Paved Roads	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-55.0	-10.1
Electricity Access	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	0.0	0.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Shared Prosperity Growth	-0.33 % annual	2022	81.2	+21.4	+23.6
Uprooted People	7.90 0-10	2026	79.0	+20.0	+9.5
Education Expenditure	9.12 % of govt	2022	76.1	+13.7	+6.1
Primary School Enrollment	103 % gross	2024	60.2	-4.1	-3.0
School Gender Parity	1.00 ratio	2020	59.4	+2.5	0.0
Aging Population	22.1 % population	2024	59.4	+42.5	+4.5
Hospital Beds	5.65 per 1,000	2022	57.4	-21.9	-5.0
Net Migration	90527 persons	2024	55.5	+3.4	+3.3
GDP Growth	0.94 % annual	2023	52.0	+3.1	+1.7
Income Share Bottom 20%	7.70 %	2023	35.7	-7.9	0.0
Overweight Adults	34.3 % adults	2022	29.5	-26.5	-27.9
Gini Coefficient	31.8 0-100	2023	26.0	-6.3	+3.6
Labor Participation	74.1 % (15+)	2024	22.9	-6.0	+3.8
Unemployment Rate	7.40 %	2024	21.1	+7.0	+6.1
Communicable Disease Deaths	14.7 %	2021	19.0	-17.6	-2.8
Gender Labor Ratio	86.4 ratio F/M	2024	17.5	-7.9	-3.1
Fertility Rate	1.61 births per woman	2024	16.3	-6.7	+4.0
Poverty Rate (National)	15.6 % population	2021	16.2	-6.6	-0.4
Internet Users	88.7 % population	2024	12.4	-7.1	+5.4
Life Expectancy	83.0 years	2024	11.0	-28.8	-3.6
Sanitation Access	90.0 % population	2024	10.9	-31.0	+1.9
Food Security	0.60 0-10	2026	6.0	-12.0	-1.5
ESG Performance Score	4.77 0-100	2020	4.4	-12.1	+0.1
Children Under 5	0.30 0-10	2026	3.0	-8.0	0.0
Under-5 Mortality Rate	4.30 per 1,000	2024	2.6	-9.3	+0.5
Aid Dependency	0.20 0-10	2026	2.0	-23.0	-4.0
Health Conditions	0.20 0-10	2026	2.0	-6.0	0.0
Recent Shocks	0.20 0-10	2026	2.0	+1.0	+2.0
Population Density	127 people/km2	2023	0.7	+0.2	+0.2
Safe Drinking Water	99.7 % population	2024	0.3	-24.9	-1.7
Development and Deprivation	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-30.0	0.0
Access to Electricity	100 % population	2023	0.0	0.0	0.0
Undernourishment	2.50 % population	2023	0.0	-5.2	0.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Patent Applications	13386 count	2021	99.1	-0.9	-0.9
Scientific Articles	65888 count	2022	92.7	-7.2	-6.3
Legal Rights Strength	4.00 0-12	2019	66.7	+16.7	+16.7
R&D Expenditure	2.18 % of GDP	2023	65.7	-21.5	-10.3
Women in Parliament	36.0 % seats	2024	43.5	-15.6	-3.7
Political Stability	0.34 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	43.1	-6.7	+5.1
Disaster Risk Reduction	3.60 0-10	2026	36.0	-5.5	+1.0
INFORM Governance Index	3.00 0-10	2026	30.0	-26.0	-6.5
Government Effectiveness	1.14 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	27.1	-24.6	-2.2
Regulatory Quality	1.15 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	26.9	-25.9	-4.5
Voice and Accountability	1.15 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	26.9	-22.0	-1.6
Rule of Law	1.18 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	26.4	-26.6	-2.2
Control of Corruption	1.18 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	26.3	-29.3	-8.3
Communication Infrastructure	1.80 0-10	2026	18.0	-2.0	+4.0
Healthcare Access	0.70 0-10	2026	7.0	-30.0	+1.5
Physical Infrastructure	0.10 0-10	2026	1.0	-29.0	0.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Education (Readiness)	0.43 0-1	2023	57.2	-15.8	+2.3
Doing Business Score	0.57 0-1	2023	42.8	-15.6	-1.4
Social Inequality (Readiness)	0.58 0-1	2023	41.8	-9.7	+3.7
Political Stability (Readiness)	0.63 0-1	2023	37.1	-6.0	+4.4
Control of Corruption (Readiness)	0.70 0-1	2023	30.2	-34.1	-9.6
Rule of Law (Readiness)	0.73 0-1	2023	26.7	-25.9	-4.4
Regulatory Quality (Readiness)	0.74 0-1	2023	25.9	-26.1	-2.2
ICT Infrastructure	0.74 0-1	2023	25.5	-22.2	-7.7
Innovation (Readiness)	0.94 0-1	2023	5.6	-89.1	-68.9

These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.

Score a site in France →

But what about your location?

The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside France.

Where exactly?

Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.

orpinpoint it on the map →

Map of France — Pinpoint on the map Open the map

France: ask your AI assistant

Criora works inside Claude, ChatGPT, Cursor and other assistants that support remote MCP servers. Add it once, free and with no account, then ask in plain language.

Add Criora as a connector

Paste this address where your assistant adds a custom connector or MCP server.

One-click install: VS Code Cursor

How to add it →

Then ask, for example

France: how will flood and heat risk change by 2050?
Western Europe: which countries are most at risk?

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is France?
France: low across the board; strong social keeps overall risk contained. Its overall risk score is 38 out of 100 (low), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives France's risk?
France's highest pressures are climate (54, medium) and governance (49). Its strongest area is social (24).
How might France's climate change by 2080?
France's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 75 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will France warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), France is on track to warm by +3.2 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -50 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.1 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along France's coast?
Coastal sea level along France is projected to rise by +0.76 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.56 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in France?
The share of France under high water stress is projected to move from 12% today to 45% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in France?
The share of France exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 1.3% today to 1.7% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was France's risk data last updated?
Updated October 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.