Criora

Uruguay

Region Americas Subregion South America Income Upper middle income ISO URY

Uruguay runs low across the board; strong social keeps overall risk contained, easing recently.

Live events

In real time

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map →
Standing risk

How risky is Uruguay, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
Low
37 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    Low
    31 / 100
  2. Nature
    Low
    24 / 100
    ▼ -1.0 5y
  3. Social
    Low
    24 / 100
  4. Governance
    Medium
    56 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    Medium
    49 / 100
    ▼ -2.6 5y
Climate futures

Uruguay: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Uruguay is projected to warm +2.3 °C, with annual rainfall changing +101 mm.

Temperature

+2.3 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+1.6 °C → +2.3 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+1.2 °C → +1.6 °C

Hottest month +2.2 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

+101 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+51 mm → +101 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+38 mm → +52 mm

Driest month -1 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Uruguay: under high emissions, severe coastal flooding could reach 6 of its largest cities.

Most exposed cities

PopulationFlood depth

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+0.21 m → +0.71 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+0.18 m → +0.50 m

Water stress

17%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
17% → 17%
Current path SSP3-7.0
23% → 23%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 6.8% today.

River flooding

3.5%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
3.4% → 3.5%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
2.6% → 3%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 3.4% today.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Score a site

But what about your location?

The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Uruguay.

Where exactly?

Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.

orpinpoint it on the map →
Pinpoint on the map Map of Uruguay Open the map →
Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Uruguay most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
Low
3.9 / 10
DRR capacity
High
6.3 / 10
Peers

Uruguay in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
South America
#1 of 12median 50
  1. 1UruguayLow 37
  2. 2ChileMedium 44
  3. 3ParaguayMedium 45
  4. 4BrazilMedium 48
  5. 5ArgentinaMedium 49
  6. 6GuyanaMedium 50
  7. 7SurinameMedium 50
  8. 8BoliviaMedium 51
  9. 9ColombiaMedium 52
  10. 10PeruMedium 52
region
Americas
#6 of 35median 44
  1. 2St. Kitts and NevisLow 35
  2. 3BahamasLow 35
  3. 4GrenadaLow 36
  4. 5St. Vin. and Gren.Low 37
  5. 6UruguayLow 37
  6. 7CanadaLow 37
  7. 8DominicaLow 38
  8. 9Saint LuciaLow 38
  9. 10Antigua and Barb.Low 38
  10. 11JamaicaMedium 40
income group
Upper middle income
#6 of 53median 44
  1. 2LithuaniaLow 35
  2. 3SeychellesLow 36
  3. 4GrenadaLow 36
  4. 5St. Vin. and Gren.Low 37
  5. 6UruguayLow 37
  6. 7LatviaLow 38
  7. 8DominicaLow 38
  8. 9Saint LuciaLow 38
  9. 10Antigua and Barb.Low 38
  10. 11PalauLow 39

Put two countries head to head

Compare Uruguay against any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

Compare ↗ Score a site here
Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Uruguay?
Uruguay runs low across the board; strong social keeps overall risk contained, easing recently. Its overall risk score is 37 out of 100 (low), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Uruguay's risk?
Uruguay's highest pressures are governance (56, medium) and adaptation (49). Its strongest area is social (24).
How might Uruguay's climate change by 2080?
Uruguay's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Uruguay warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Uruguay is on track to warm by +2.3 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +101 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.6 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Uruguay's coast?
Coastal sea level along Uruguay is projected to rise by +0.71 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.50 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Uruguay?
The share of Uruguay under high water stress is projected to move from 6.8% today to 17% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Uruguay?
The share of Uruguay exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 3.4% today to 3.5% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Uruguay's risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.