What drives Uruguay's risk?

Uruguay's highest pressures are governance (55, medium) and adaptation (49). Its strongest area is social (24).

How might Uruguay's climate change by 2080?

Uruguay's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.

How much will Uruguay warm by 2080?

Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Uruguay is on track to warm by +2.3 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +101 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.6 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.

How much will sea levels rise along Uruguay's coast?

Coastal sea level along Uruguay is projected to rise by +0.71 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.50 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.

How will water stress change in Uruguay?

The share of Uruguay under high water stress is projected to move from 6.8% today to 17% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.

How will river-flood exposure change in Uruguay?

The share of Uruguay exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 3.4% today to 3.5% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.

When was Uruguay's risk data last updated?

Updated October 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.

Uruguay Climate risk profile and hazard map

Name: Uruguay country risk profile
Creator: Criora
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Region: Americas
Subregion: South America
Income: Upper middle income
ISO: URY

Uruguay: low across the board; strong social keeps overall risk contained, easing recently.

Live events

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map

How risky is Uruguay, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Low 37 / 100

33 Climate Low
24 Nature -1.0 Low
24 Social Low
55 Governance Medium
49 Adaptation -2.6 Medium

Which hazards threaten Uruguay most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

3.9FloodLow
6.3DRR capacityHigh

Uruguay in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

South America

#1 of 12 · median 50

Americas

#5 of 35 · median 45

Upper middle income

#4 of 53 · median 44

Put two countries head to head

Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

Compare Score a site here

Uruguay: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Uruguay is projected to warm +2.3 °C, with annual rainfall changing +101 mm.

+2.3 °C

Temperature

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +1.6 °C → +2.3 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +1.2 °C → +1.6 °C

Hottest month +2.2 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

+101 mm

Precipitation

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +51 mm → +101 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +38 mm → +52 mm

Driest month -1 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

17%

Water stress

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 17% → 17%
Current path SSP3-7.0: 23% → 23%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 6.8% today.

3.5%

River flooding

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 3.4% → 3.5%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: 2.6% → 3%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 3.4% today.

Sea level

Uruguay: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 6 of its largest cities.

Montevideo, Max depth 2 mFlood depth3 mOpen the live map© OpenStreetMap

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +0.21 m → +0.71 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +0.18 m → +0.50 m

Largest exposed cities

PopulationMax depth

Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

		Year		vs world	vs region
Energy Imports	46.2 % of energy use	2022	72.5	+1.4	+2.2
Land Surface Temperature	24.9 deg C change	2021	60.1	-4.6	-5.2
Coastal Protection Needed	60.9 % coast	2024	56.6	-17.1	-16.5
N2O Emissions Per Capita	2.34 kt CO2e per capita	2020	54.7	+47.7	+47.5
Fossil Fuel Consumption	0.00 % of total	2023	50.0	0.0	0.0
Drought Index (SPEI)	-0.15 index	2023	47.7	+3.6	+6.6
Renewable Energy Share	57.8 % of total energy	2021	40.0	-35.4	-40.4
Flood Risk	3.90 0-10	2026	39.0	-13.0	-3.0
Cooling Degree Days	1261 degree days	2024	16.8	-37.3	-50.7
Renewable Electricity Share	84.4 % of total	2021	15.6	-59.5	-52.6
Heating Degree Days	1782 degree days	2024	13.0	0.0	+11.8
Energy Intensity	2.94 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP	2021	10.5	-6.1	-2.5
Energy Use Per Capita	1772 kg oil eq per capita	2023	10.5	+1.9	+4.7
PM2.5 Air Pollution	10.6 ug/m3	2020	7.1	-12.1	-11.5
CO2 Emissions Per Capita	1.92 metric tons	2020	6.0	-1.7	-0.9
Coal Electricity Share	0.00 % of total	2021	0.0	0.0	0.0
Heat Index	0.08 days	2024	0.0	-4.3	-2.3
Access to Clean Fuels	100 % population	2023	0.0	-8.3	-5.6

		Year		vs world	vs region
Protected Areas	2.40 % of land	2024	97.6	+9.3	+7.8
Urban Concentration	0.95 0-1	2023	95.4	+38.0	+28.3
Agricultural Land	81.4 % of land	2023	94.0	+49.7	+60.2
Paved Roads	0.91 0-1	2023	90.7	+35.7	+23.7
Forest Area	12.0 % of land	2023	87.3	+21.0	+34.9
Projected Cereal Yield Change	0.87 0-1	2023	86.8	+0.3	-7.3
Agricultural Capacity	0.84 0-1	2023	84.4	-7.4	-6.6
Projected Biome Distribution Change	0.82 0-1	2023	82.4	+24.8	+26.5
Food Production Index	97.8 index	2022	74.9	+7.8	+4.6
Projected Warm Period Change	0.71 0-1	2023	70.6	+2.8	+18.6
Projected Vector Disease Change	0.66 0-1	2023	65.8	0.0	0.0
Health Expenditure Per Capita	0.62 0-1	2023	61.7	-22.5	-20.6
Quality of Trade Infrastructure	0.59 0-1	2023	59.0	-3.1	-2.5
Projected Annual Runoff Change	0.58 0-1	2023	58.3	+18.7	+8.9
Environmental Treaties Engagement	0.58 0-1	2023	57.9	-18.4	-17.0
Age Dependency Ratio	0.50 0-1	2023	50.0	-2.8	+3.2
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss	0.48 0-1	2023	47.9	+10.6	+1.1
Water Dependency Ratio	0.46 0-1	2023	46.5	+39.6	+44.6
Energy Import Dependency	0.46 0-1	2023	46.2	+20.5	+30.7
Projected Hydropower Change	0.43 0-1	2023	43.1	-0.6	-0.1
Freshwater Withdrawal	4.89 % of internal resources	2022	42.1	-8.2	+2.4
Disaster Preparedness	0.40 0-1	2023	40.0	+10.0	+15.0
Protected Biome Areas	0.35 0-1	2023	35.0	-6.0	-0.8
Projected Climate-Related Deaths	0.30 0-1	2023	30.3	0.0	0.0
Projected Groundwater Change	0.29 0-1	2023	29.2	+3.0	+7.3
Food Import Dependency	0.25 0-1	2023	24.6	+2.9	-0.5
Ecological Footprint	0.20 0-1	2023	19.8	-2.8	-2.1
Water Bodies Extent	81.8 % of land	2023	18.2	-14.0	-15.6
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact	0.18 0-1	2023	17.9	+4.4	0.0
Agriculture GDP Share	6.42 % of GDP	2024	15.2	-0.6	+1.5
Population Below 5m	0.13 0-1	2023	13.3	-1.4	-0.8
Projected Population Change	0.13 0-1	2023	12.9	-9.4	-7.1
Child Malnutrition	0.06 0-1	2023	5.8	-8.0	-2.1
Slum Population	0.05 0-1	2023	5.1	-11.4	-10.5
Rural Population	0.05 0-1	2023	4.6	-38.0	-28.3
Threatened Mammal Species	9.00 count	2022	4.2	-1.0	-0.5
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate	0.03 0-1	2023	3.4	-4.1	0.0
Earthquake Risk	0.10 0-10	2026	1.0	-34.0	-58.0
Water Stress	12.1 %	2022	0.3	0.0	+0.1
Tree Cover Loss	11482 hectares	2024	0.2	+0.1	-0.7
Tsunami Risk	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-11.0	-37.0
Natural Resource Depletion	0.02 % of GNI	2021	0.0	-2.1	-2.4
Forest Depletion	0.00 % of GNI	2021	0.0	-0.1	-0.1
Dam Capacity	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-93.3	-86.5
Dependency Ratio	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-6.8	-1.5
Natural Capital Dependency	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-21.8	-20.2
Projected Flood Hazard Change	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-18.4	-33.7
Electricity Access	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	0.0	-0.2

		Year		vs world	vs region
Hospital Beds	2.44 per 1,000	2023	77.8	+3.9	-4.0
Overweight Adults	67.6 % adults	2022	71.3	+15.3	+4.8
Uprooted People	6.50 0-10	2026	65.0	+6.0	+5.0
Income Share Bottom 20%	5.70 %	2024	60.9	0.0	-9.4
GDP Growth	0.74 % annual	2023	52.3	+3.4	+3.5
Net Migration	-1348 persons	2024	52.1	0.0	0.0
Gini Coefficient	40.0 0-100	2024	46.7	-0.3	-11.1
Shared Prosperity Growth	0.00 % annual	2019	46.2	-0.7	0.0
Recent Shocks	4.60 0-10	2026	46.0	+45.0	+40.0
Aging Population	16.0 % population	2024	41.7	+24.8	+18.5
Primary School Enrollment	105 % gross	2023	39.6	-3.3	-3.9
School Gender Parity	1.05 ratio	2020	38.5	-18.4	-18.8
Education Expenditure	15.6 % of govt	2023	37.6	-9.5	-12.5
Communicable Disease Deaths	22.0 %	2021	30.4	-6.3	-8.7
Gender Labor Ratio	78.0 ratio F/M	2024	26.4	+1.0	-6.0
Life Expectancy	78.3 years	2024	25.8	-13.9	-11.2
Unemployment Rate	8.21 %	2024	23.4	+9.3	+5.4
Poverty Rate (National)	17.3 % population	2024	23.2	-4.4	-18.0
Labor Participation	77.4 % (15+)	2024	17.8	-11.1	-12.4
Fertility Rate	1.40 births per woman	2024	12.3	-10.7	-5.9
Food Security	1.10 0-10	2026	11.0	-7.0	-7.0
Internet Users	92.0 % population	2024	8.8	-10.7	-13.3
Development and Deprivation	0.80 0-10	2026	8.0	-22.0	-21.0
Health Conditions	0.80 0-10	2026	8.0	0.0	0.0
Under-5 Mortality Rate	7.40 per 1,000	2024	5.3	-6.6	-5.0
Children Under 5	0.50 0-10	2026	5.0	-6.0	-5.0
ESG Performance Score	4.74 0-100	2020	5.0	-11.5	-14.3
Aid Dependency	0.20 0-10	2026	2.0	-23.0	-23.0
Adult Literacy Rate	98.9 %	2024	1.2	-7.3	-6.5
Population Density	19.4 people/km2	2023	0.1	-0.4	-0.2
Access to Electricity	100 % population	2023	0.0	0.0	-0.2
Undernourishment	2.50 % population	2023	0.0	-5.2	-5.7

		Year		vs world	vs region
Scientific Articles	1058 count	2022	99.9	0.0	-0.1
R&D Expenditure	0.70 % of GDP	2023	89.0	+1.8	-5.8
Legal Rights Strength	4.00 0-12	2019	66.7	+16.7	+8.4
Disaster Risk Reduction	6.30 0-10	2026	63.0	+21.5	+26.0
Women in Parliament	28.3 % seats	2024	55.6	-3.5	+3.7
Regulatory Quality	0.68 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	36.5	-16.3	-13.4
Rule of Law	0.72 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	35.6	-17.4	-20.6
Government Effectiveness	0.85 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	33.0	-18.7	-18.5
Political Stability	0.96 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	30.7	-19.1	-15.0
INFORM Governance Index	3.00 0-10	2026	30.0	-26.0	-26.0
Voice and Accountability	1.28 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	24.3	-24.6	-15.0
Physical Infrastructure	2.30 0-10	2026	23.0	-7.0	-6.0
Control of Corruption	1.57 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	18.5	-37.1	-38.7
Communication Infrastructure	1.00 0-10	2026	10.0	-10.0	-10.0
Healthcare Access	0.20 0-10	2026	2.0	-35.0	-27.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Innovation (Readiness)	0.03 0-1	2023	96.8	+2.1	-1.0
Social Inequality (Readiness)	0.39 0-1	2023	61.2	+9.7	-7.1
Doing Business Score	0.43 0-1	2023	56.7	-1.7	-4.7
Education (Readiness)	0.46 0-1	2023	54.2	-18.8	-14.8
Rule of Law (Readiness)	0.64 0-1	2023	36.2	-16.4	-13.2
Regulatory Quality (Readiness)	0.65 0-1	2023	35.0	-17.0	-20.2
ICT Infrastructure	0.66 0-1	2023	33.9	-13.8	-11.0
Political Stability (Readiness)	0.74 0-1	2023	26.4	-16.7	-12.9
Control of Corruption (Readiness)	0.79 0-1	2023	21.3	-43.0	-44.5

These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.

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Uruguay: ask your AI assistant

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Uruguay: how will flood and heat risk change by 2050?
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Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Uruguay?
Uruguay: low across the board; strong social keeps overall risk contained, easing recently. Its overall risk score is 37 out of 100 (low), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Uruguay's risk?
Uruguay's highest pressures are governance (55, medium) and adaptation (49). Its strongest area is social (24).
How might Uruguay's climate change by 2080?
Uruguay's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Uruguay warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Uruguay is on track to warm by +2.3 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +101 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.6 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Uruguay's coast?
Coastal sea level along Uruguay is projected to rise by +0.71 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.50 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Uruguay?
The share of Uruguay under high water stress is projected to move from 6.8% today to 17% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Uruguay?
The share of Uruguay exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 3.4% today to 3.5% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Uruguay's risk data last updated?
Updated October 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.