What drives Suriname's risk?

Suriname's highest pressures are governance (69, high) and adaptation (67). Its strongest area is nature (20).

How might Suriname's climate change by 2080?

Suriname's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.

How much will Suriname warm by 2080?

Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Suriname is on track to warm by +2.9 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -272 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.8 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.

How much will sea levels rise along Suriname's coast?

Coastal sea level along Suriname is projected to rise by +0.80 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.59 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.

How will water stress change in Suriname?

The share of Suriname under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 6.9% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.

How will river-flood exposure change in Suriname?

The share of Suriname exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 5% today to 9% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.

When was Suriname's risk data last updated?

Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.

Suriname Climate risk profile and hazard map

Region: Americas
Subregion: South America
Income: Upper middle income
ISO: SUR

Suriname: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.

Live events

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map

How risky is Suriname, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Medium 50 / 100

62 Climate High
20 Nature +0.4 Very low
32 Social Low
69 Governance High
67 Adaptation -0.9 High

Which hazards threaten Suriname most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

8.6FloodCritical

Suriname in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

South America

#7 of 12 · median 50

Americas

#24 of 35 · median 44

Upper middle income

#42 of 53 · median 44

Put two countries head to head

Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

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Suriname: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Suriname is projected to warm +2.9 °C, with annual rainfall changing -272 mm.

+2.9 °C

Temperature

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +2.0 °C → +2.9 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +1.5 °C → +1.8 °C

Hottest month +3.7 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

-272 mm

Precipitation

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: -187 mm → -272 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: -41 mm → -10 mm

Driest month -8 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

6.9%

Water stress

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 0% → 6.9%
Current path SSP3-7.0: 0% → 6.9%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.

River flooding

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 9.2% → 9%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: 6.7% → 4.7%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 5% today.

Sea level

Suriname: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 2 of its largest cities.

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +0.25 m → +0.80 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +0.23 m → +0.59 m

Largest exposed cities

PopulationMax depth

Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

		Year		vs world	vs region
Coastal Protection Needed	99.7 % coast	2020	99.7	+15.4	+30.4
Fossil Fuel Consumption	90.4 % of total	2022	90.0	+17.3	+14.1
Flood Risk	8.60 0-10	2026	86.0	+34.0	+44.0
Renewable Energy Share	14.5 % of total energy	2021	84.9	+9.5	+4.5
Cooling Degree Days	5211 degree days	2020	71.3	+19.5	+5.2
Energy Imports	17.1 % of energy use	2022	70.2	-0.9	+0.0
Land Surface Temperature	26.2 deg C change	2021	62.6	-2.1	-2.7
Renewable Electricity Share	41.9 % of total	2021	58.1	-17.0	-10.0
PM2.5 Air Pollution	27.3 ug/m3	2020	27.9	+8.7	+9.3
Energy Intensity	4.74 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP	2021	20.7	+4.1	+7.7
CO2 Emissions Per Capita	4.25 metric tons	2020	13.5	+5.8	+6.6
Energy Use Per Capita	1739 kg oil eq per capita	2022	10.1	+1.8	+4.4
N2O Emissions Per Capita	0.29 kt CO2e per capita	2020	6.8	-0.2	-0.4
Access to Clean Fuels	95.5 % population	2022	4.5	-5.8	-1.0
Heating Degree Days	0.00 degree days	2020	0.0	-1.4	0.0
Heat Index	0.00 index	2020	0.0	-0.1	-0.2
Coal Electricity Share	0.00 % of total	2021	0.0	0.0	0.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Population Below 5m	1.00 0-1	2023	100.0	+85.3	+85.9
Projected Cereal Yield Change	0.96 0-1	2023	96.4	+9.9	+2.3
Protected Areas	8.50 % of land	2023	91.5	+2.6	+1.5
Agricultural Capacity	0.89 0-1	2023	89.2	-2.6	-1.8
Health Expenditure Per Capita	0.86 0-1	2023	85.9	+1.7	+3.6
Food Production Index	87.9 index	2022	84.2	+17.1	+13.9
Environmental Treaties Engagement	0.82 0-1	2023	81.8	+5.5	+6.9
Access to Improved Sanitation	0.76 0-1	2023	75.7	+36.5	+21.3
Paved Roads	0.74 0-1	2023	74.4	+19.4	+7.4
Projected Vector Disease Change	0.66 0-1	2023	65.7	-0.1	-0.1
Urban Concentration	0.64 0-1	2023	63.8	+6.4	-3.3
Projected Warm Period Change	0.58 0-1	2023	58.0	-9.8	+6.0
Projected Biome Distribution Change	0.56 0-1	2023	56.5	-1.1	+0.6
Age Dependency Ratio	0.48 0-1	2023	47.7	-5.0	+0.9
Access to Reliable Drinking Water	0.45 0-1	2023	44.8	+24.4	+10.4
Protected Biome Areas	0.42 0-1	2023	42.3	+1.3	+6.5
Rural Population	0.36 0-1	2023	36.2	-6.4	+3.3
Projected Flood Hazard Change	0.35 0-1	2023	35.2	+16.9	+1.5
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss	0.35 0-1	2023	34.7	-2.5	-12.1
Projected Annual Runoff Change	0.34 0-1	2023	33.6	-6.0	-15.8
Projected Climate-Related Deaths	0.30 0-1	2023	30.3	0.0	0.0
Food Import Dependency	0.25 0-1	2023	24.7	+3.0	-0.4
Child Malnutrition	0.23 0-1	2023	22.7	+8.9	+14.8
Agriculture GDP Share	7.47 % of GDP	2023	20.8	+1.9	+4.3
Projected Population Change	0.18 0-1	2023	17.9	-4.4	-2.1
Energy Import Dependency	0.17 0-1	2023	17.1	-8.6	+1.6
Natural Resource Depletion	9.61 % of GNI	2021	16.8	+14.7	+14.5
Projected Groundwater Change	0.17 0-1	2023	16.7	-9.5	-5.2
Slum Population	0.16 0-1	2023	15.9	-0.6	+0.3
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact	0.15 0-1	2023	15.0	+1.5	-2.9
Forest Depletion	1.90 % of GNI	2021	10.8	+10.7	+10.8
Freshwater Withdrawal	0.62 % of internal resources	2021	9.3	-41.0	-27.3
Dependency Ratio	0.05 0-1	2023	4.9	-1.9	+3.4
Threatened Mammal Species	9.00 count	2018	4.7	-0.5	-0.5
Earthquake Risk	0.10 0-10	2026	1.0	-34.0	-58.0
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate	0.01 0-1	2023	0.5	-7.0	-2.9
Electricity Access	0.00 0-1	2023	0.4	+0.4	+0.2
Tree Cover Loss	12262 hectares	2021	0.2	+0.1	-0.1
Water Stress	3.95 %	2021	0.1	-0.2	-0.1
Tsunami Risk	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-11.0	-37.0
Agricultural Land	0.45 % of land	2022	0.0	-47.3	-34.4
Forest Area	94.5 % of land	2022	0.0	-66.3	-52.6
Water Dependency Ratio	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-6.9	-1.9
Dam Capacity	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-93.3	-86.5
Natural Capital Dependency	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-21.8	-20.2

		Year		vs world	vs region
Unmet Contraception Need	28.4 %	2018	81.1	+31.6	+64.6
Hospital Beds	2.89 per 1,000	2020	78.5	-0.5	-7.8
Sanitation Access	25.2 % population	2022	76.9	+36.9	+22.4
Education Expenditure	7.54 % of govt	2023	70.9	+23.8	+19.8
Primary School Enrollment	66.0 % gross	2023	66.0	+24.0	+22.5
Income Share Bottom 20%	5.90 %	2022	62.5	+18.1	-6.9
Overweight Adults	58.1 % adults	2022	59.4	+3.4	-7.1
Net Migration	-988 persons	2023	55.0	0.0	0.0
GDP Growth	2.54 % annual	2023	49.4	+0.5	+0.6
Gini Coefficient	39.2 0-100	2022	49.2	+18.5	-8.1
Safe Drinking Water	55.8 % population	2022	47.1	+25.6	+11.0
Labor Participation	60.1 % (15+)	2023	44.0	+13.9	+13.8
Food Security	4.30 0-10	2026	43.0	+25.0	+25.0
Life Expectancy	73.6 years	2023	39.9	+0.4	+4.1
Development and Deprivation	3.80 0-10	2026	38.0	+8.0	+9.0
ESG Performance Score	2.11 0-100	2018	37.2	+12.2	+12.7
Gender Labor Ratio	70.0 ratio F/M	2023	35.6	+8.6	+1.5
Uprooted People	3.30 0-10	2026	33.0	-26.0	-27.0
Fertility Rate	2.25 births per woman	2023	28.2	+4.9	+10.0
Aid Dependency	2.50 0-10	2026	25.0	0.0	0.0
Internet Users	78.4 % population	2023	24.3	+3.4	0.0
Unemployment Rate	7.63 %	2023	21.5	+7.3	+4.5
School Gender Parity	1.09 ratio	2021	21.4	-19.6	-21.0
Aging Population	7.62 % population	2023	17.4	+1.0	-4.9
Communicable Disease Deaths	11.8 %	2019	16.5	+0.4	0.0
Undernourishment	10.1 % population	2022	15.6	+9.8	+11.1
Children Under 5	1.40 0-10	2026	14.0	+3.0	+4.0
Under-5 Mortality Rate	16.2 per 1,000	2023	13.1	+0.9	+2.5
Health Conditions	1.00 0-10	2026	10.0	+2.0	+2.0
Adult Literacy Rate	95.0 %	2021	7.9	+1.4	+2.4
Access to Electricity	99.6 % population	2023	0.4	+0.4	+0.2
Population Density	3.88 people/km2	2022	0.0	-0.5	-0.3
Recent Shocks	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-1.0	-6.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Scientific Articles	13.3 count	2022	100.0	+0.1	0.0
Legal Rights Strength	2.00 0-12	2019	83.3	+33.3	+25.0
Government Effectiveness	-0.97 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	69.3	+17.6	+17.8
Regulatory Quality	-0.73 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	64.6	+11.8	+14.7
INFORM Governance Index	6.00 0-10	2026	60.0	+4.0	+4.0
Control of Corruption	-0.40 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	58.1	+2.5	+0.9
Women in Parliament	29.4 % seats	2023	52.0	-6.2	-0.9
Rule of Law	-0.06 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	51.2	-1.8	-5.0
Healthcare Access	5.10 0-10	2026	51.0	+14.0	+22.0
Voice and Accountability	0.35 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	42.9	-6.0	+3.6
Political Stability	0.41 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	41.7	-8.1	-4.0
Physical Infrastructure	3.70 0-10	2026	37.0	+7.0	+8.0
Communication Infrastructure	1.40 0-10	2026	14.0	-6.0	-6.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Education (Readiness)	0.03 0-1	2023	96.6	+23.5	+27.6
Social Inequality (Readiness)	0.24 0-1	2023	76.1	+24.6	+7.8
Doing Business Score	0.26 0-1	2023	73.9	+15.5	+12.5
Control of Corruption (Readiness)	0.33 0-1	2023	66.8	+2.5	+1.0
Rule of Law (Readiness)	0.36 0-1	2023	64.0	+11.4	+14.6
Regulatory Quality (Readiness)	0.50 0-1	2023	50.3	-1.7	-4.9
ICT Infrastructure	0.56 0-1	2023	43.8	-3.9	-1.1
Political Stability (Readiness)	0.64 0-1	2023	35.9	-7.2	-3.4

These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.

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Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Suriname?
Suriname: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 50 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Suriname's risk?
Suriname's highest pressures are governance (69, high) and adaptation (67). Its strongest area is nature (20).
How might Suriname's climate change by 2080?
Suriname's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Suriname warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Suriname is on track to warm by +2.9 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -272 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.8 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Suriname's coast?
Coastal sea level along Suriname is projected to rise by +0.80 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.59 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Suriname?
The share of Suriname under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 6.9% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Suriname?
The share of Suriname exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 5% today to 9% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Suriname's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.