+4.4 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +3.3 °C → +4.4 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +2.7 °C → +3.0 °C
Hottest month +6.5 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Azerbaijan Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Asia
- Subregion
- Western Asia
- Income
- Upper middle income
- ISO
- AZE
Azerbaijan: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Azerbaijan, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Medium 48 / 100
5y
- 50 Climate Medium
- 41 Nature +0.3 Medium
- 28 Social Low
- 67 Governance High
- 56 Adaptation -1.0 Medium
Which hazards threaten Azerbaijan most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 6.6FloodHigh
Azerbaijan in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
13
Western Asia
#13 of 18 · median 4326
Asia
#26 of 48 · median 4736
Upper middle income
#36 of 53 · median 44Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Azerbaijan: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Azerbaijan is projected to warm +4.4 °C, with annual rainfall changing +11 mm.
+11 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +17 mm → +11 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +13 mm → +16 mm
Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
35%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 29% → 35%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 29% → 35%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 20% today.
1.3%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 1.1% → 1.3%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 1.2% → 1.2%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 1.3% today.
Sea level
Landlocked, not applicable.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Fossil Fuel Consumption | 100 % of total | 100.0 |
Renewable Energy Share | 1.30 % of total energy | 98.7 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 5.80 % of total | 94.2 |
Flood Risk | 6.60 0-10 | 66.0 |
Land Surface Temperature | 24.6 deg C change | 59.5 |
Energy Imports | -262 % of energy use | 47.9 |
Drought Index (SPEI) | -1.07 index | 34.9 |
Heating Degree Days | 3905 degree days | 26.8 |
Energy Intensity | 4.40 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 26.7 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 21.7 ug/m3 | 21.0 |
Cooling Degree Days | 1327 degree days | 18.2 |
Methane Emissions Per Capita | 1.56 kt CO2e per capita | 12.3 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.47 kt CO2e per capita | 11.1 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 3.40 metric tons | 10.8 |
Energy Use Per Capita | 1720 kg oil eq per capita | 9.9 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 98.5 % population | 1.5 |
Heat Index | 0.18 index | 0.1 |
Coal Electricity Share | 0.00 % of total | 0.0 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Disaster Preparedness | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.96 0-1 | 95.9 |
Protected Areas | 5.50 % of land | 94.5 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 160 % of internal resources | 91.9 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.89 0-1 | 88.7 |
Forest Area | 14.0 % of land | 85.2 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.82 0-1 | 82.1 |
Earthquake Risk | 7.80 0-10 | 78.0 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.77 0-1 | 76.6 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.72 0-1 | 71.8 |
Agricultural Land | 57.8 % of land | 69.4 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.68 0-1 | 68.1 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.66 0-1 | 65.8 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.59 0-1 | 58.6 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.58 0-1 | 57.6 |
Urban Concentration | 0.54 0-1 | 54.3 |
Projected Hydropower Change | 0.50 0-1 | 49.5 |
Dam Capacity | 0.47 0-1 | 47.2 |
Rural Population | 0.46 0-1 | 45.7 |
Food Production Index | 129 index | 45.6 |
Paved Roads | 0.45 0-1 | 44.8 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.40 0-1 | 39.5 |
Ecological Footprint | 0.34 0-1 | 33.8 |
Access to Improved Sanitation | 0.31 0-1 | 31.3 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.30 0-1 | 29.7 |
Access to Reliable Drinking Water | 0.29 0-1 | 28.8 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 16.2 % of GNI | 28.2 |
Slum Population | 0.27 0-1 | 27.2 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.26 0-1 | 26.2 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.23 0-1 | 22.7 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.22 0-1 | 21.8 |
Projected Population Change | 0.18 0-1 | 18.2 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 5.51 % of GDP | 15.3 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.14 0-1 | 14.5 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.10 0-1 | 9.6 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.09 0-1 | 9.5 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.06 0-1 | 6.1 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 8.00 count | 4.2 |
Water Stress | 57.3 % | 1.5 |
Tsunami Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Population Below 5m | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Electricity Access | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Tree Cover Loss | 85.0 hectares | 0.0 |
Forest Depletion | 0.00 % of GNI | 0.0 |
Uprooted People | 9.20 0-10 | 92.0 |
Education Expenditure | 10.8 % of govt | 76.6 |
Hospital Beds | 3.90 per 1,000 | 70.7 |
Overweight Adults | 61.7 % adults | 63.9 |
Net Migration | -84122 persons | 52.2 |
GDP Growth | 1.35 % annual | 51.3 |
School Gender Parity | 0.99 ratio | 43.0 |
Primary School Enrollment | 102 % gross | 38.8 |
Life Expectancy | 74.4 years | 33.2 |
Sanitation Access | 69.0 % population | 31.8 |
Safe Drinking Water | 71.6 % population | 30.2 |
Labor Participation | 70.2 % (15+) | 28.5 |
ESG Performance Score | 2.28 0-100 | 24.6 |
Aging Population | 8.01 % population | 18.5 |
Unemployment Rate | 5.64 % | 15.8 |
Fertility Rate | 1.55 births per woman | 15.3 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 18.6 per 1,000 | 15.2 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 91.9 ratio F/M | 13.0 |
Internet Users | 89.0 % population | 12.4 |
Development and Deprivation | 1.20 0-10 | 12.0 |
Children Under 5 | 1.10 0-10 | 11.0 |
Food Security | 0.90 0-10 | 9.0 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 5.99 % | 7.4 |
Aid Dependency | 0.50 0-10 | 5.0 |
Health Conditions | 0.40 0-10 | 4.0 |
Population Density | 123 people/km2 | 0.6 |
Recent Shocks | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Undernourishment | 2.50 % population | 0.0 |
Access to Electricity | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Adult Literacy Rate | 100 % | 0.0 |
Patent Applications | 119 count | 100.0 |
Scientific Articles | 1175 count | 99.9 |
R&D Expenditure | 0.18 % of GDP | 90.6 |
Voice and Accountability | -1.41 -2.5 to +2.5 | 78.2 |
Control of Corruption | -1.20 -2.5 to +2.5 | 73.9 |
Women in Parliament | 18.6 % seats | 69.6 |
Political Stability | -0.73 -2.5 to +2.5 | 64.6 |
INFORM Governance Index | 6.30 0-10 | 63.0 |
Rule of Law | -0.57 -2.5 to +2.5 | 61.3 |
Regulatory Quality | -0.11 -2.5 to +2.5 | 52.2 |
Government Effectiveness | -0.03 -2.5 to +2.5 | 50.7 |
Healthcare Access | 3.80 0-10 | 38.0 |
Physical Infrastructure | 2.50 0-10 | 25.0 |
Communication Infrastructure | 1.40 0-10 | 14.0 |
Legal Rights Strength | 12.0 0-12 | 0.0 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.06 0-1 | 94.4 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.15 0-1 | 85.0 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.25 0-1 | 75.3 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.40 0-1 | 60.2 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.44 0-1 | 55.6 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.48 0-1 | 51.7 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.59 0-1 | 41.4 |
Doing Business Score | 0.59 0-1 | 41.1 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.60 0-1 | 39.6 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Azerbaijan →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Azerbaijan.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Azerbaijan?
Azerbaijan: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 48 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Azerbaijan's risk?
Azerbaijan's highest pressures are governance (67, high) and adaptation (56). Its strongest area is social (28).
How might Azerbaijan's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 25% of Azerbaijan's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 69 to 69 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Azerbaijan warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Azerbaijan is on track to warm by +4.4 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +11 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +3.0 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How will water stress change in Azerbaijan?
The share of Azerbaijan under high water stress is projected to move from 20% today to 35% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Azerbaijan?
The share of Azerbaijan exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 1.3% today to 1.3% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Azerbaijan's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.