+4.0 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +3.3 °C → +4.0 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +2.4 °C → +2.7 °C
Hottest month +7.0 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Serbia Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Europe
- Subregion
- Southern Europe
- Income
- Upper middle income
- ISO
- SRB
Serbia: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Serbia, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Medium 47 / 100
5y
- 57 Climate Medium
- 34 Nature -0.6 Low
- 30 Social Low
- 58 Governance Medium
- 55 Adaptation -0.9 Medium
Which hazards threaten Serbia most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 7.7FloodHigh
- 6.8DRR capacityHigh
Serbia in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
13
Southern Europe
#13 of 14 · median 4240
Europe
#40 of 43 · median 3833
Upper middle income
#33 of 53 · median 44Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Serbia: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Serbia is projected to warm +4.0 °C, with annual rainfall changing -17 mm.
-17 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- -1 mm → -17 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +6 mm → -2 mm
Driest month +2 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
32%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 32% → 32%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 32% → 32%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 31% today.
1.9%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 1% → 1.9%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 1.7% → 2%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 2.3% today.
Sea level
Landlocked, not applicable.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Fossil Fuel Consumption | 83.0 % of total | 82.3 |
Flood Risk | 7.70 0-10 | 77.0 |
Energy Imports | 45.3 % of energy use | 72.4 |
Renewable Energy Share | 27.2 % of total energy | 71.8 |
Coal Electricity Share | 66.3 % of total | 68.9 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 35.0 % of total | 65.0 |
Land Surface Temperature | 19.1 deg C change | 48.0 |
Heating Degree Days | 4926 degree days | 33.8 |
Energy Intensity | 5.02 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 31.6 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 22.5 ug/m3 | 22.0 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 6.71 metric tons | 21.3 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 82.9 % population | 17.1 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.63 kt CO2e per capita | 14.8 |
Energy Use Per Capita | 2441 kg oil eq per capita | 14.3 |
Cooling Degree Days | 591 degree days | 8.1 |
Heat Index | 0.00 index | 0.0 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.96 0-1 | 95.7 |
Protected Areas | 8.10 % of land | 91.9 |
Dam Capacity | 0.92 0-1 | 91.6 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 60.1 % of internal resources | 84.3 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.83 0-1 | 83.1 |
Access to Improved Sanitation | 0.75 0-1 | 75.5 |
Food Production Index | 98.4 index | 74.4 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.73 0-1 | 72.9 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.72 0-1 | 71.9 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.72 0-1 | 71.9 |
Disaster Preparedness | 0.68 0-1 | 67.5 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.67 0-1 | 66.7 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.66 0-1 | 65.8 |
Forest Area | 32.4 % of land | 65.7 |
Projected Hydropower Change | 0.57 0-1 | 56.5 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.56 0-1 | 55.6 |
Urban Concentration | 0.54 0-1 | 53.8 |
Earthquake Risk | 5.30 0-10 | 53.0 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.51 0-1 | 51.5 |
Agricultural Land | 41.3 % of land | 48.5 |
Rural Population | 0.46 0-1 | 46.2 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.40 0-1 | 40.5 |
Paved Roads | 0.37 0-1 | 36.8 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.29 0-1 | 28.7 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.28 0-1 | 27.9 |
Access to Reliable Drinking Water | 0.25 0-1 | 25.3 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.19 0-1 | 19.5 |
Water Bodies Extent | 83.1 % of land | 16.9 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.13 0-1 | 13.1 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.11 0-1 | 10.7 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 3.79 % of GDP | 10.5 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.09 0-1 | 8.6 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.08 0-1 | 7.9 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.06 0-1 | 6.1 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 6.00 count | 3.1 |
Projected Population Change | 0.03 0-1 | 3.1 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 0.64 % of GNI | 1.1 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.00 0-1 | 0.5 |
Tree Cover Loss | 4072 hectares | 0.1 |
Water Stress | 5.69 % | 0.1 |
Tsunami Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Forest Depletion | 0.00 % of GNI | 0.0 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Population Below 5m | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Electricity Access | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Education Expenditure | 7.45 % of govt | 87.4 |
Uprooted People | 7.80 0-10 | 78.0 |
Sanitation Access | 25.4 % population | 76.7 |
Primary School Enrollment | 98.9 % gross | 64.6 |
Aging Population | 22.3 % population | 59.7 |
Hospital Beds | 5.35 per 1,000 | 58.9 |
Net Migration | 4348 persons | 55.2 |
Overweight Adults | 54.3 % adults | 54.6 |
Income Share Bottom 20% | 6.90 % | 48.6 |
GDP Growth | 3.85 % annual | 47.4 |
School Gender Parity | 1.01 ratio | 38.5 |
Life Expectancy | 76.2 years | 31.8 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 76.3 ratio F/M | 29.0 |
Gini Coefficient | 32.8 0-100 | 28.3 |
Aid Dependency | 2.80 0-10 | 28.0 |
Safe Drinking Water | 75.1 % population | 26.6 |
Labor Participation | 72.2 % (15+) | 25.5 |
Unemployment Rate | 8.27 % | 23.3 |
Poverty Rate (National) | 20.0 % population | 22.9 |
ESG Performance Score | 2.36 0-100 | 18.4 |
Internet Users | 85.4 % population | 16.4 |
Fertility Rate | 1.61 births per woman | 16.4 |
Shared Prosperity Growth | 7.77 % annual | 9.5 |
Unmet Contraception Need | 8.81 % | 8.6 |
Development and Deprivation | 0.70 0-10 | 7.0 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 5.20 per 1,000 | 3.4 |
Children Under 5 | 0.30 0-10 | 3.0 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 2.71 % | 2.2 |
Health Conditions | 0.20 0-10 | 2.0 |
Adult Literacy Rate | 99.0 % | 1.4 |
Recent Shocks | 0.10 0-10 | 1.0 |
Population Density | 79.3 people/km2 | 0.4 |
Access to Electricity | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Undernourishment | 2.50 % population | 0.0 |
Food Security | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Patent Applications | 138 count | 100.0 |
Scientific Articles | 5379 count | 99.4 |
Disaster Risk Reduction | 6.80 0-10 | 68.0 |
Control of Corruption | -0.45 -2.5 to +2.5 | 58.9 |
INFORM Governance Index | 5.70 0-10 | 57.0 |
Rule of Law | -0.07 -2.5 to +2.5 | 51.5 |
Voice and Accountability | -0.06 -2.5 to +2.5 | 51.1 |
Political Stability | -0.04 -2.5 to +2.5 | 50.8 |
Legal Rights Strength | 6.00 0-12 | 50.0 |
Government Effectiveness | 0.01 -2.5 to +2.5 | 49.8 |
Regulatory Quality | 0.14 -2.5 to +2.5 | 47.2 |
R&D Expenditure | 0.95 % of GDP | 44.8 |
Women in Parliament | 34.8 % seats | 43.2 |
Healthcare Access | 1.60 0-10 | 16.0 |
Communication Infrastructure | 1.30 0-10 | 13.0 |
Physical Infrastructure | 1.20 0-10 | 12.0 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.10 0-1 | 90.3 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.32 0-1 | 67.8 |
Doing Business Score | 0.42 0-1 | 58.4 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.44 0-1 | 56.1 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.49 0-1 | 50.6 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.53 0-1 | 46.8 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.56 0-1 | 43.7 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.63 0-1 | 37.3 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.65 0-1 | 35.3 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Serbia →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Serbia.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Serbia?
Serbia: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 47 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Serbia's risk?
Serbia's highest pressures are governance (58, medium) and climate (57). Its strongest area is social (30).
How might Serbia's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 28% of Serbia's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 74 to 75 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Serbia warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Serbia is on track to warm by +4.0 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -17 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.7 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How will water stress change in Serbia?
The share of Serbia under high water stress is projected to move from 31% today to 32% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Serbia?
The share of Serbia exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 2.3% today to 1.9% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Serbia's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.