Climate risk in Belgrade
Central Serbia, Serbia · 1.1M people in the urban area
What threatens Belgrade most
- Drought
- High WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Moderate GSHAP
- Water stress
- Low WRI Aqueduct
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Serbia
Belgrade's hottest day of 2025 reached 41.6°C.
Niš: 39.9°C.
The highest of the 3 large cities in Serbia.
Belgrade's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Belgrade is projected to have the climate that Tbilisi (Georgia) has today.
+1.8°C
Mean temperature over the year
+2.9°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.4°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-6%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Belgrade would have the climate that Tbilisi (Georgia) has today.
Share this comparison
How close the match is: 0.2 σ to the climate of Tbilisi today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Belgrade stands out
1.91 m/s²
Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years
Niš: 1.25 m/s².
The highest of the 3 large cities in Serbia.
Higher than in 78% of the world's 627 large cities
+2.3°C
Warming by 2050, moderate emissions
Niš: +2.4°C.
Higher than in 76% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at Belgrade
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Belgrade | Among large cities | In Serbia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 21 days | Among large cities: above 67% | In Serbia: 1 of 3 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 22 days | Among large cities: above 27% | In Serbia: 1 of 3 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 41.6°C | Among large cities: above 87% | In Serbia: 1 of 3 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +2.3°C | Among large cities: above 76% | In Serbia: 3 of 3 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 1 day | Among large cities: above 7% | In Serbia: 2 of 3 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Low (<10%) | Among large cities: above 0% | In Serbia: 2 of 3 |
| Drought risk | High | Among large cities: above 50% | In Serbia: 2 of 3 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 1.91 m/s² | Among large cities: above 78% | In Serbia: 1 of 3 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Belgrade on the live map
See the earthquake hazard around Belgrade on the live map
1.91 m/s² © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Belgrade
- Novi Sad · Serbia
- Sarajevo · Bosnia and Herz.
- Niš · Serbia
- Banja Luka · Bosnia and Herz.
Large cities in Serbia
Cite or embed
Cite this page
In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Belgrade, Serbia: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/SRB/belgrade BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_SRB_belgrade_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Belgrade, Serbia: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/SRB/belgrade},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
Embed on your site
<iframe src="https://criora.com/embed/atlas/SRB/belgrade" title="Belgrade, Serbia: climate risk, by Criora" width="100%" height="140" loading="lazy" style="max-width:420px;border:0"></iframe> <p><a href="https://criora.com/atlas/SRB/belgrade?ref=embed" rel="nofollow">Source: Criora</a></p>
Free, no account needed. The widget has no script and shows the figures of this page. Keep its link to the source.