+4.3 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +3.6 °C → +4.3 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +2.6 °C → +3.1 °C
Hottest month +6.8 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Moldova Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Europe
- Subregion
- Eastern Europe
- Income
- Lower middle income
- ISO
- MDA
Moldova: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Moldova, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Medium 47 / 100
5y
- 41 Climate Medium
- 37 Nature +0.3 Low
- 37 Social Low
- 64 Governance High
- 56 Adaptation -2.7 Medium
Which hazards threaten Moldova most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 4.6FloodMedium
- 9.2DRR capacityCritical
Moldova in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
9
Eastern Europe
#9 of 10 · median 4341
Europe
#41 of 43 · median 3818
Lower middle income
#18 of 53 · median 49Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Moldova: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Moldova is projected to warm +4.3 °C, with annual rainfall changing 0 mm.
0 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- -4 mm → 0 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +13 mm → +7 mm
Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
34%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 1.1% → 34%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 1.1% → 1.1%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 1.2% today.
2.9%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 2.9% → 2.9%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 2.9% → 2.9%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 3.3% today.
Sea level
Landlocked, not applicable.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Renewable Electricity Share | 6.50 % of total | 93.5 |
Fossil Fuel Consumption | 81.3 % of total | 80.5 |
Renewable Energy Share | 21.4 % of total energy | 77.8 |
Energy Imports | 86.6 % of energy use | 75.7 |
Drought Index (SPEI) | 0.83 index | 72.2 |
Land Surface Temperature | 18.3 deg C change | 46.4 |
Flood Risk | 4.60 0-10 | 46.0 |
Heating Degree Days | 4922 degree days | 33.8 |
Energy Intensity | 4.69 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 29.0 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 14.8 ug/m3 | 12.3 |
Cooling Degree Days | 877 degree days | 12.0 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 3.27 metric tons | 10.3 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.38 kt CO2e per capita | 8.8 |
Energy Use Per Capita | 1423 kg oil eq per capita | 8.1 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 97.6 % population | 2.4 |
Heat Index | 0.00 index | 0.0 |
Coal Electricity Share | 0.00 % of total | 0.0 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.98 0-1 | 97.6 |
Dam Capacity | 0.91 0-1 | 90.6 |
Protected Areas | 11.4 % of land | 88.5 |
Forest Area | 11.8 % of land | 87.6 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.87 0-1 | 86.8 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.84 0-1 | 84.0 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.83 0-1 | 83.0 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 52.2 % of internal resources | 82.6 |
Food Production Index | 89.7 index | 82.5 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.81 0-1 | 81.3 |
Agricultural Land | 67.8 % of land | 80.1 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.80 0-1 | 80.0 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.79 0-1 | 79.5 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.70 0-1 | 70.0 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.66 0-1 | 65.8 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.65 0-1 | 64.7 |
Rural Population | 0.61 0-1 | 61.0 |
Earthquake Risk | 6.00 0-10 | 60.0 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.53 0-1 | 52.8 |
Ecological Footprint | 0.49 0-1 | 49.4 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.45 0-1 | 44.7 |
Urban Concentration | 0.39 0-1 | 39.0 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.31 0-1 | 31.4 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.25 0-1 | 25.3 |
Access to Reliable Drinking Water | 0.25 0-1 | 25.1 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.22 0-1 | 22.0 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.22 0-1 | 21.9 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 7.08 % of GDP | 19.7 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.19 0-1 | 18.9 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.16 0-1 | 15.9 |
Paved Roads | 0.14 0-1 | 13.9 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.09 0-1 | 8.5 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.08 0-1 | 7.9 |
Slum Population | 0.07 0-1 | 6.6 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.06 0-1 | 6.1 |
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact | 0.05 0-1 | 4.6 |
Projected Population Change | 0.04 0-1 | 4.3 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 4.00 count | 2.1 |
Water Stress | 12.6 % | 0.3 |
Tsunami Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Tree Cover Loss | 1131 hectares | 0.0 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 0.01 % of GNI | 0.0 |
Forest Depletion | 0.00 % of GNI | 0.0 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Population Below 5m | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Electricity Access | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Shared Prosperity Growth | -2.46 % annual | 100.0 |
Uprooted People | 7.60 0-10 | 76.0 |
Aid Dependency | 6.50 0-10 | 65.0 |
Overweight Adults | 61.2 % adults | 63.3 |
Hospital Beds | 5.66 per 1,000 | 57.2 |
Primary School Enrollment | 107 % gross | 55.6 |
Net Migration | -18570 persons | 54.4 |
Education Expenditure | 15.8 % of govt | 54.1 |
Poverty Rate (National) | 31.1 % population | 53.9 |
GDP Growth | 1.20 % annual | 51.6 |
Life Expectancy | 71.2 years | 47.6 |
Unmet Contraception Need | 21.2 % | 46.0 |
School Gender Parity | 0.99 ratio | 43.9 |
Aging Population | 15.6 % population | 40.4 |
ESG Performance Score | 2.24 0-100 | 27.5 |
Safe Drinking Water | 75.2 % population | 26.4 |
Labor Participation | 72.4 % (15+) | 25.2 |
Development and Deprivation | 2.30 0-10 | 23.0 |
Internet Users | 80.2 % population | 22.3 |
Fertility Rate | 1.73 births per woman | 18.7 |
Food Security | 1.80 0-10 | 18.0 |
Children Under 5 | 1.30 0-10 | 13.0 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 14.7 per 1,000 | 11.7 |
Health Conditions | 1.00 0-10 | 10.0 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 97.7 ratio F/M | 7.0 |
Gini Coefficient | 25.9 0-100 | 5.9 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 4.47 % | 5.0 |
Unemployment Rate | 1.55 % | 4.1 |
Income Share Bottom 20% | 10.2 % | 2.8 |
Adult Literacy Rate | 99.6 % | 0.6 |
Population Density | 88.0 people/km2 | 0.5 |
Access to Electricity | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Undernourishment | 2.50 % population | 0.0 |
Recent Shocks | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Patent Applications | 64.0 count | 100.0 |
Scientific Articles | 284 count | 100.0 |
Disaster Risk Reduction | 9.20 0-10 | 92.0 |
R&D Expenditure | 0.22 % of GDP | 88.1 |
Political Stability | -0.68 -2.5 to +2.5 | 63.7 |
Control of Corruption | -0.28 -2.5 to +2.5 | 55.6 |
Government Effectiveness | -0.16 -2.5 to +2.5 | 53.3 |
Rule of Law | -0.15 -2.5 to +2.5 | 53.1 |
INFORM Governance Index | 5.10 0-10 | 51.0 |
Regulatory Quality | 0.11 -2.5 to +2.5 | 47.9 |
Voice and Accountability | 0.24 -2.5 to +2.5 | 45.3 |
Women in Parliament | 38.6 % seats | 37.0 |
Legal Rights Strength | 8.00 0-12 | 33.3 |
Healthcare Access | 2.10 0-10 | 21.0 |
Communication Infrastructure | 1.60 0-10 | 16.0 |
Physical Infrastructure | 1.00 0-10 | 10.0 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.12 0-1 | 88.2 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.36 0-1 | 63.9 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.37 0-1 | 63.3 |
Doing Business Score | 0.43 0-1 | 56.6 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.45 0-1 | 54.8 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.48 0-1 | 52.1 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.53 0-1 | 47.4 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.61 0-1 | 39.4 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.63 0-1 | 36.6 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Moldova →But what about your location?
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Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Moldova?
Moldova: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 47 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Moldova's risk?
Moldova's highest pressures are governance (64, high) and adaptation (56). Its strongest area is social (37).
How might Moldova's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 100% of Moldova's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 71 to 75 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Moldova warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Moldova is on track to warm by +4.3 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by 0 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +3.1 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How will water stress change in Moldova?
The share of Moldova under high water stress is projected to move from 1.2% today to 34% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Moldova?
The share of Moldova exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 3.3% today to 2.9% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Moldova's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.