+4.5 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +3.3 °C → +4.5 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +2.7 °C → +3.0 °C
Hottest month +7.1 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Armenia Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Asia
- Subregion
- Western Asia
- Income
- Lower middle income
- ISO
- ARM
Armenia: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Armenia, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Medium 45 / 100
5y
- 42 Climate Medium
- 38 Nature -0.9 Low
- 35 Social Low
- 59 Governance Medium
- 50 Adaptation +0.0 Medium
Which hazards threaten Armenia most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 5.3FloodMedium
- 1.6DRR capacityVery low
Armenia in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
12
Western Asia
#12 of 18 · median 4321
Asia
#21 of 48 · median 4710
Lower middle income
#10 of 53 · median 49Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Armenia: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Armenia is projected to warm +4.5 °C, with annual rainfall changing +11 mm.
+11 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +20 mm → +11 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +12 mm → +21 mm
Driest month +2 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
51%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 39% → 51%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 39% → 51%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 39% today.
0.1%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 0.1% → 0.1%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 0.1% → 0.1%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0.6% today.
Sea level
Landlocked, not applicable.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Renewable Energy Share | 9.10 % of total energy | 90.6 |
Energy Imports | 76.9 % of energy use | 75.0 |
Fossil Fuel Consumption | 75.8 % of total | 74.8 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 30.0 % of total | 70.0 |
Flood Risk | 5.30 0-10 | 53.0 |
Heating Degree Days | 7472 degree days | 51.3 |
Land Surface Temperature | 16.7 deg C change | 43.1 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 30.6 ug/m3 | 32.0 |
Drought Index (SPEI) | -1.52 index | 24.6 |
Energy Intensity | 3.91 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 16.0 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.40 kt CO2e per capita | 9.3 |
Energy Use Per Capita | 1348 kg oil eq per capita | 7.7 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 2.28 metric tons | 7.2 |
Methane Emissions Per Capita | 0.78 kt CO2e per capita | 5.8 |
Cooling Degree Days | 262 degree days | 3.6 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 97.9 % population | 2.1 |
Heat Index | 0.00 index | 0.0 |
Coal Electricity Share | 0.00 % of total | 0.0 |
Access to Improved Sanitation | 0.90 0-1 | 90.3 |
Food Production Index | 83.9 index | 88.0 |
Dam Capacity | 0.88 0-1 | 87.8 |
Forest Area | 11.5 % of land | 87.8 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.87 0-1 | 87.0 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 43.3 % of internal resources | 80.2 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.79 0-1 | 78.5 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.77 0-1 | 76.9 |
Protected Areas | 24.7 % of land | 75.1 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.75 0-1 | 74.6 |
Earthquake Risk | 7.30 0-10 | 73.0 |
Agricultural Land | 58.1 % of land | 69.6 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.68 0-1 | 68.2 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.66 0-1 | 65.8 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.65 0-1 | 64.6 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.62 0-1 | 61.5 |
Urban Concentration | 0.61 0-1 | 60.9 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.61 0-1 | 60.8 |
Projected Hydropower Change | 0.58 0-1 | 58.5 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.46 0-1 | 45.6 |
Rural Population | 0.39 0-1 | 39.1 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.37 0-1 | 37.1 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.26 0-1 | 25.8 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.25 0-1 | 24.7 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 8.48 % of GDP | 23.6 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.23 0-1 | 23.1 |
Ecological Footprint | 0.21 0-1 | 21.5 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.18 0-1 | 18.2 |
Access to Reliable Drinking Water | 0.18 0-1 | 17.8 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.16 0-1 | 15.6 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.12 0-1 | 11.7 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.09 0-1 | 9.4 |
Projected Population Change | 0.09 0-1 | 8.6 |
Slum Population | 0.08 0-1 | 8.5 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 3.61 % of GNI | 6.3 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.06 0-1 | 6.1 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.06 0-1 | 6.1 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 9.00 count | 4.7 |
Paved Roads | 0.03 0-1 | 3.2 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.02 0-1 | 1.7 |
Forest Depletion | 0.28 % of GNI | 1.6 |
Water Stress | 59.9 % | 1.6 |
Tsunami Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Population Below 5m | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Electricity Access | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Disaster Preparedness | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Tree Cover Loss | 5.00 hectares | 0.0 |
Sanitation Access | 10.8 % population | 91.7 |
Education Expenditure | 9.70 % of govt | 78.5 |
Uprooted People | 7.80 0-10 | 78.0 |
Hospital Beds | 4.59 per 1,000 | 64.9 |
Net Migration | 75000 persons | 57.6 |
Overweight Adults | 55.4 % adults | 56.0 |
Shared Prosperity Growth | -0.66 % annual | 52.7 |
Aid Dependency | 5.20 0-10 | 52.0 |
Primary School Enrollment | 93.8 % gross | 44.9 |
Poverty Rate (National) | 24.8 % population | 41.4 |
GDP Growth | 8.30 % annual | 40.3 |
Unemployment Rate | 13.2 % | 37.5 |
School Gender Parity | 1.02 ratio | 36.5 |
Aging Population | 13.2 % population | 33.5 |
Labor Participation | 72.8 % (15+) | 24.5 |
Life Expectancy | 77.5 years | 22.7 |
Internet Users | 80.0 % population | 22.5 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 83.0 ratio F/M | 22.2 |
Fertility Rate | 1.90 births per woman | 21.8 |
ESG Performance Score | 2.34 0-100 | 20.2 |
Safe Drinking Water | 82.4 % population | 18.7 |
Food Security | 1.40 0-10 | 14.0 |
Development and Deprivation | 0.90 0-10 | 9.0 |
Recent Shocks | 0.90 0-10 | 9.0 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 6.69 % | 8.5 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 10.0 per 1,000 | 7.6 |
Children Under 5 | 0.70 0-10 | 7.0 |
Health Conditions | 0.40 0-10 | 4.0 |
Population Density | 104 people/km2 | 0.5 |
Undernourishment | 2.50 % population | 0.0 |
Access to Electricity | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Gini Coefficient | 27.2 0-100 | 0.0 |
Income Share Bottom 20% | 9.50 % | 0.0 |
Adult Literacy Rate | 100 % | 0.0 |
Patent Applications | 40.0 count | 100.0 |
Scientific Articles | 655 count | 99.9 |
R&D Expenditure | 0.18 % of GDP | 90.6 |
Political Stability | -0.83 -2.5 to +2.5 | 66.6 |
INFORM Governance Index | 5.50 0-10 | 55.0 |
Government Effectiveness | -0.18 -2.5 to +2.5 | 53.7 |
Rule of Law | -0.12 -2.5 to +2.5 | 52.4 |
Legal Rights Strength | 6.00 0-12 | 50.0 |
Regulatory Quality | 0.05 -2.5 to +2.5 | 49.0 |
Control of Corruption | 0.06 -2.5 to +2.5 | 48.8 |
Voice and Accountability | 0.08 -2.5 to +2.5 | 48.5 |
Women in Parliament | 35.5 % seats | 42.0 |
Disaster Risk Reduction | 1.60 0-10 | 16.0 |
Healthcare Access | 1.50 0-10 | 15.0 |
Communication Infrastructure | 1.30 0-10 | 13.0 |
Physical Infrastructure | 1.20 0-10 | 12.0 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.06 0-1 | 93.5 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.37 0-1 | 63.4 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.43 0-1 | 57.3 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.44 0-1 | 56.1 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.48 0-1 | 51.5 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.51 0-1 | 48.6 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.55 0-1 | 45.2 |
Doing Business Score | 0.63 0-1 | 37.3 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.66 0-1 | 34.3 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Armenia →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Armenia.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Armenia?
Armenia: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 45 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Armenia's risk?
Armenia's highest pressures are governance (59, medium) and adaptation (50). Its strongest area is social (35).
How might Armenia's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 28% of Armenia's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 71 to 71 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Armenia warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Armenia is on track to warm by +4.5 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +11 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +3.0 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How will water stress change in Armenia?
The share of Armenia under high water stress is projected to move from 39% today to 51% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Armenia?
The share of Armenia exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.6% today to 0.1% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Armenia's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.