What drives Georgia's risk?

Georgia's highest pressures are governance (55, medium) and climate (45). Its strongest area is nature (32).

How might Georgia's climate change by 2080?

Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 32% of Georgia's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 71 to 73 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.

How much will Georgia warm by 2080?

Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Georgia is on track to warm by +4.2 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +41 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.9 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.

How much will sea levels rise along Georgia's coast?

Coastal sea level along Georgia is projected to rise by +0.71 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.48 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.

How will water stress change in Georgia?

The share of Georgia under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 8.6% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.

How will river-flood exposure change in Georgia?

The share of Georgia exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 1.2% today to 0.6% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.

When was Georgia's risk data last updated?

Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.

Georgia Climate risk profile and hazard map

Region: Asia
Subregion: Western Asia
Income: Lower middle income
ISO: GEO

Georgia: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.

Live events

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map

How risky is Georgia, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Medium 42 / 100

45 Climate Medium
32 Nature +0.2 Low
36 Social Low
55 Governance Medium
43 Adaptation -1.1 Medium

Which hazards threaten Georgia most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

6.1FloodHigh
1.8DRR capacityVery low

Georgia in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

Western Asia

#9 of 18 · median 43

Asia

#15 of 48 · median 47

Lower middle income

#7 of 53 · median 49

Put two countries head to head

Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

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Georgia: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Georgia is projected to warm +4.2 °C, with annual rainfall changing +41 mm.

+4.2 °C

Temperature

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +3.2 °C → +4.2 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +2.7 °C → +2.9 °C

Hottest month +6.3 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

+41 mm

Precipitation

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +35 mm → +41 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +32 mm → +49 mm

Driest month +1 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

8.6%

Water stress

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 0% → 8.6%
Current path SSP3-7.0: 0% → 8.6%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.

0.6%

River flooding

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 0.4% → 0.6%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: 0.5% → 0.6%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 1.2% today.

Sea level

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +0.24 m → +0.71 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +0.19 m → +0.48 m

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

		Year		vs world	vs region
Fossil Fuel Consumption	78.9 % of total	2022	78.0	+5.3	-8.8
Energy Imports	79.6 % of energy use	2022	75.2	+4.1	+4.5
Renewable Energy Share	25.2 % of total energy	2021	73.8	-1.6	-16.8
Flood Risk	6.10 0-10	2026	61.0	+9.0	-4.5
Drought Index (SPEI)	-0.53 index	2021	45.5	-0.9	+9.1
Heating Degree Days	6584 degree days	2020	45.2	+43.8	+37.6
Land Surface Temperature	15.6 deg C change	2021	40.9	-23.8	-26.6
Energy Intensity	3.64 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP	2022	20.8	+1.6	+1.9
Renewable Electricity Share	81.4 % of total	2021	18.6	-56.5	-64.4
PM2.5 Air Pollution	17.0 ug/m3	2020	15.1	-4.1	-11.1
N2O Emissions Per Capita	0.58 kt CO2e per capita	2020	13.5	+6.5	+7.4
Energy Use Per Capita	1544 kg oil eq per capita	2022	8.9	+0.6	0.0
CO2 Emissions Per Capita	2.75 metric tons	2020	8.7	+1.0	-2.2
Access to Clean Fuels	92.2 % population	2022	7.8	-2.5	-0.9
Cooling Degree Days	467 degree days	2020	6.4	-45.4	-44.6
Heat Index	0.00 index	2020	0.0	-0.1	-2.1
Coal Electricity Share	0.00 % of total	2021	0.0	0.0	-5.8

		Year		vs world	vs region
Protected Areas	8.50 % of land	2023	91.4	+2.5	-1.8
Environmental Treaties Engagement	0.79 0-1	2023	79.3	+3.0	-0.9
Energy Import Dependency	0.79 0-1	2023	79.1	+53.4	+58.4
Projected Hydropower Change	0.78 0-1	2023	77.9	+34.2	+34.2
Dam Capacity	0.77 0-1	2023	77.3	-16.0	-16.3
Access to Improved Sanitation	0.77 0-1	2023	76.8	+37.5	+43.6
Projected Cereal Yield Change	0.76 0-1	2023	75.9	-10.6	-1.9
Agricultural Capacity	0.73 0-1	2023	73.3	-18.5	-15.2
Earthquake Risk	7.20 0-10	2026	72.0	+37.0	+4.5
Projected Warm Period Change	0.70 0-1	2023	70.1	+2.3	+4.8
Quality of Trade Infrastructure	0.69 0-1	2023	69.2	+7.1	+8.2
Projected Biome Distribution Change	0.68 0-1	2023	68.2	+10.6	+12.9
Projected Vector Disease Change	0.66 0-1	2023	65.8	0.0	0.0
Paved Roads	0.64 0-1	2023	64.1	+9.0	+37.3
Health Expenditure Per Capita	0.63 0-1	2023	62.8	-21.4	-19.0
Food Production Index	114 index	2022	60.0	-7.1	0.0
Urban Concentration	0.58 0-1	2023	57.7	+0.3	+2.3
Forest Area	40.6 % of land	2022	57.0	-9.3	-27.9
Age Dependency Ratio	0.55 0-1	2023	54.7	+2.0	+9.1
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss	0.50 0-1	2023	50.0	+12.8	+13.3
Protected Biome Areas	0.47 0-1	2023	47.1	+6.1	+2.2
Rural Population	0.42 0-1	2023	42.3	-0.3	-2.3
Agricultural Land	34.3 % of land	2022	40.3	-7.0	0.0
Access to Reliable Drinking Water	0.31 0-1	2023	31.3	+10.9	+3.4
Projected Annual Runoff Change	0.29 0-1	2023	29.2	-10.4	+1.6
Freshwater Withdrawal	2.77 % of internal resources	2021	29.1	-21.2	-46.5
Natural Capital Dependency	0.25 0-1	2023	25.4	+3.6	-0.4
Ecological Footprint	0.25 0-1	2023	25.3	+2.7	+0.4
Population Below 5m	0.23 0-1	2023	23.3	+8.6	+5.5
Projected Groundwater Change	0.22 0-1	2023	22.4	-3.8	-6.2
Food Import Dependency	0.19 0-1	2023	19.3	-2.4	-0.1
Agriculture GDP Share	6.02 % of GDP	2023	16.7	-2.2	-5.4
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact	0.12 0-1	2023	11.6	-1.9	-4.4
Water Dependency Ratio	0.08 0-1	2023	8.2	+1.3	+1.2
Water Bodies Extent	92.0 % of land	2020	8.0	-13.6	-20.1
Slum Population	0.07 0-1	2023	7.1	-9.4	-11.7
Projected Flood Hazard Change	0.07 0-1	2023	6.5	-11.9	-5.6
Projected Climate-Related Deaths	0.06 0-1	2023	6.1	-24.2	-15.1
Threatened Mammal Species	9.00 count	2018	4.7	-0.5	-2.1
Projected Population Change	0.03 0-1	2023	3.2	-19.1	-20.4
Child Malnutrition	0.02 0-1	2023	2.5	-11.3	-15.3
Disaster Preparedness	0.03 0-1	2023	2.5	-27.5	-22.5
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate	0.02 0-1	2023	2.4	-5.1	-25.2
Natural Resource Depletion	1.12 % of GNI	2021	2.0	-0.1	-0.6
Dependency Ratio	0.01 0-1	2023	1.4	-5.4	-2.5
Forest Depletion	0.06 % of GNI	2021	0.3	+0.2	+0.3
Water Stress	5.24 %	2021	0.1	-0.2	-1.3
Tsunami Risk	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-11.0	-25.0
Electricity Access	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	0.0	0.0
Tree Cover Loss	420 hectares	2021	0.0	-0.1	0.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Uprooted People	9.10 0-10	2026	91.0	+32.0	+37.5
Sanitation Access	24.1 % population	2022	78.0	+38.0	+43.6
Overweight Adults	65.8 % adults	2022	69.0	+13.0	+14.3
Education Expenditure	12.2 % of govt	2022	68.6	+3.7	+0.2
Unmet Contraception Need	23.7 %	2018	63.7	+14.2	+30.1
Hospital Beds	4.94 per 1,000	2020	62.1	-16.9	-18.5
Net Migration	2003 persons	2023	55.1	+0.1	+0.2
GDP Growth	7.83 % annual	2023	41.1	-7.8	-6.7
Income Share Bottom 20%	7.00 %	2023	41.0	-24.6	+7.4
School Gender Parity	1.01 ratio	2021	40.2	-0.8	-1.1
Aging Population	15.3 % population	2023	39.5	+23.1	+25.7
Aid Dependency	3.90 0-10	2026	39.0	+14.0	+18.0
Primary School Enrollment	103 % gross	2023	37.7	-4.3	-3.3
Life Expectancy	74.5 years	2023	37.2	-2.3	+4.0
Recent Shocks	3.70 0-10	2026	37.0	+36.0	+34.0
Safe Drinking Water	69.1 % population	2022	32.9	+11.4	+2.7
Unemployment Rate	11.5 %	2023	32.6	+18.4	+21.0
Labor Participation	68.9 % (15+)	2023	30.5	+0.4	-0.7
Gender Labor Ratio	75.6 ratio F/M	2023	29.8	+2.8	-10.0
Gini Coefficient	34.8 0-100	2023	28.5	-22.8	+0.6
ESG Performance Score	2.25 0-100	2018	26.5	+1.5	+0.1
Internet Users	81.9 % population	2023	20.4	-0.5	+3.9
Fertility Rate	1.81 births per woman	2023	20.1	-3.2	-3.1
Food Security	1.80 0-10	2026	18.0	0.0	0.0
Poverty Rate (National)	11.8 % population	2023	11.2	-14.6	+0.7
Development and Deprivation	0.80 0-10	2026	8.0	-22.0	-17.5
Under-5 Mortality Rate	9.20 per 1,000	2023	6.9	-5.3	-3.6
Children Under 5	0.60 0-10	2026	6.0	-5.0	-7.0
Health Conditions	0.40 0-10	2026	4.0	-4.0	0.0
Undernourishment	4.00 % population	2022	3.1	-2.7	-2.5
Communicable Disease Deaths	2.75 %	2019	2.3	-13.8	-11.9
Population Density	65.0 people/km2	2022	0.3	-0.2	-0.3
Access to Electricity	100 % population	2023	0.0	0.0	0.0
Shared Prosperity Growth	3.66 % annual	2023	0.0	-53.9	-41.0
Adult Literacy Rate	100 %	2022	0.0	-21.3	-8.3

		Year		vs world	vs region
Patent Applications	90.0 count	2021	100.0	0.0	0.0
Scientific Articles	599 count	2022	99.9	0.0	+0.1
R&D Expenditure	0.25 % of GDP	2023	86.3	0.0	-5.4
Women in Parliament	18.4 % seats	2023	69.9	+11.7	+0.7
Political Stability	-0.34 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	56.7	+6.9	+1.1
Voice and Accountability	0.03 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	49.3	+0.4	-16.2
Rule of Law	0.18 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	46.5	-6.5	-6.6
INFORM Governance Index	4.40 0-10	2026	44.0	-12.0	-13.5
Control of Corruption	0.62 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	37.6	-18.0	-20.7
Government Effectiveness	0.79 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	34.2	-17.5	-16.5
Regulatory Quality	0.95 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	31.1	-21.6	-23.5
Legal Rights Strength	9.00 0-12	2019	25.0	-25.0	-25.0
Healthcare Access	1.90 0-10	2026	19.0	-18.0	-14.0
Disaster Risk Reduction	1.80 0-10	2026	18.0	-23.5	-18.0
Physical Infrastructure	1.10 0-10	2026	11.0	-19.0	-18.5
Communication Infrastructure	0.90 0-10	2026	9.0	-11.0	-5.5

		Year		vs world	vs region
Innovation (Readiness)	0.12 0-1	2023	88.4	-6.3	-5.9
Social Inequality (Readiness)	0.40 0-1	2023	60.4	+8.9	+17.5
Education (Readiness)	0.48 0-1	2023	51.9	-21.1	-21.0
Political Stability (Readiness)	0.51 0-1	2023	48.8	+5.7	+0.5
Regulatory Quality (Readiness)	0.54 0-1	2023	45.6	-6.4	-6.2
Control of Corruption (Readiness)	0.57 0-1	2023	43.3	-21.0	-24.5
ICT Infrastructure	0.59 0-1	2023	41.0	-6.7	-4.5
Rule of Law (Readiness)	0.69 0-1	2023	30.8	-21.8	-22.7
Doing Business Score	0.74 0-1	2023	26.3	-32.1	-24.8

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Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Georgia?
Georgia: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 42 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Georgia's risk?
Georgia's highest pressures are governance (55, medium) and climate (45). Its strongest area is nature (32).
How might Georgia's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 32% of Georgia's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 71 to 73 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Georgia warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Georgia is on track to warm by +4.2 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +41 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.9 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Georgia's coast?
Coastal sea level along Georgia is projected to rise by +0.71 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.48 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Georgia?
The share of Georgia under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 8.6% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Georgia?
The share of Georgia exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 1.2% today to 0.6% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Georgia's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.