Criora

Georgia

Region Asia Subregion Western Asia Income Lower middle income ISO GEO

Georgia sits mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.

Live events

In real time

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map →
Standing risk

How risky is Georgia, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
Medium
42 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    Medium
    45 / 100
  2. Nature
    Low
    32 / 100
    ▲ + 0.2 5y
  3. Social
    Low
    35 / 100
  4. Governance
    Medium
    56 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    Medium
    43 / 100
    ▼ -1.1 5y
Climate futures

Georgia: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Georgia is projected to warm +4.2 °C, with annual rainfall changing +41 mm.

Temperature

+4.2 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+3.2 °C → +4.2 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+2.7 °C → +2.9 °C

Hottest month +6.3 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

+41 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+35 mm → +41 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+32 mm → +49 mm

Driest month +1 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+0.24 m → +0.71 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+0.19 m → +0.48 m

Water stress

8.6%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
0% → 8.6%
Current path SSP3-7.0
0% → 8.6%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.

River flooding

0.6%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
0.4% → 0.6%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
0.5% → 0.6%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 1.2% today.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

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Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Georgia most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
High
6.1 / 10
DRR capacity
Low
2.3 / 10
Peers

Georgia in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
Western Asia
#9 of 18median 43
  1. 5BahrainLow 36
  2. 6CyprusLow 37
  3. 7Saudi ArabiaMedium 41
  4. 8OmanMedium 41
  5. 9GeorgiaMedium 42
  6. 10JordanMedium 44
  7. 11ArmeniaMedium 44
  8. 12KuwaitMedium 44
  9. 13AzerbaijanMedium 49
  10. 14TurkeyMedium 49
region
Asia
#15 of 48median 47
  1. 11Saudi ArabiaMedium 41
  2. 12JapanMedium 41
  3. 13BhutanMedium 41
  4. 14OmanMedium 41
  5. 15GeorgiaMedium 42
  6. 16ChinaMedium 43
  7. 17JordanMedium 44
  8. 18ArmeniaMedium 44
  9. 19KuwaitMedium 44
  10. 20KazakhstanMedium 45
income group
Lower middle income
#5 of 53median 49
  1. 1PalestineLow 32
  2. 2Cabo VerdeLow 38
  3. 3FijiMedium 40
  4. 4BhutanMedium 41
  5. 5GeorgiaMedium 42
  6. 6SamoaMedium 42
  7. 7NauruMedium 42
  8. 8BelizeMedium 43
  9. 9São Tomé and PrincipeMedium 43
  10. 10ArmeniaMedium 44

Put two countries head to head

Compare Georgia against any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

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Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Georgia?
Georgia sits mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 42 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Georgia's risk?
Georgia's highest pressures are governance (56, medium) and climate (45). Its strongest area is nature (32).
How might Georgia's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 32% of Georgia's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 71 to 73 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Georgia warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Georgia is on track to warm by +4.2 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +41 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.9 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Georgia's coast?
Coastal sea level along Georgia is projected to rise by +0.71 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.48 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Georgia?
The share of Georgia under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 8.6% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Georgia?
The share of Georgia exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 1.2% today to 0.6% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Georgia's risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.