Criora

Bhutan

Region Asia Subregion Southern Asia Income Lower middle income ISO BTN

Bhutan sits mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.

Live events

In real time

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map →
Standing risk

How risky is Bhutan, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
Medium
41 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    Low
    29 / 100
  2. Nature
    Low
    32 / 100
    ▲ + 0.1 5y
  3. Social
    Low
    28 / 100
  4. Governance
    High
    64 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    Medium
    52 / 100
    ▼ -0.4 5y
Climate futures

Bhutan: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Bhutan is projected to warm +3.5 °C, with annual rainfall changing +194 mm.

Temperature

+3.5 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+2.1 °C → +3.5 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+1.8 °C → +2.3 °C

Hottest month +2.9 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

+194 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+41 mm → +194 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+41 mm → +78 mm

Driest month -1 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Landlocked, not applicable.

Water stress

1.3%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
1.3% → 1.3%
Current path SSP3-7.0
1.3% → 1.3%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 1.3% today.

River flooding

1.7%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
1.5% → 1.7%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
1.5% → 1.7%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 1.2% today.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

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Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Bhutan most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
Medium
4.2 / 10
DRR capacity
High
6.0 / 10
Peers

Bhutan in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
Southern Asia
#2 of 9median 56
  1. 1MaldivesMedium 41
  2. 2BhutanMedium 41
  3. 3Sri LankaMedium 46
  4. 4NepalMedium 53
  5. 5IranMedium 56
  6. 6IndiaMedium 57
  7. 7BangladeshHigh 64
  8. 8PakistanHigh 64
  9. 9AfghanistanHigh 64
region
Asia
#13 of 48median 47
  1. 9BruneiLow 39
  2. 10MaldivesMedium 41
  3. 11Saudi ArabiaMedium 41
  4. 12JapanMedium 41
  5. 13BhutanMedium 41
  6. 14OmanMedium 41
  7. 15GeorgiaMedium 42
  8. 16ChinaMedium 43
  9. 17JordanMedium 44
  10. 18ArmeniaMedium 44
income group
Lower middle income
#4 of 53median 49
  1. 1PalestineLow 32
  2. 2Cabo VerdeLow 38
  3. 3FijiMedium 40
  4. 4BhutanMedium 41
  5. 5GeorgiaMedium 42
  6. 6SamoaMedium 42
  7. 7NauruMedium 42
  8. 8BelizeMedium 43
  9. 9São Tomé and PrincipeMedium 43
  10. 10ArmeniaMedium 44

Put two countries head to head

Compare Bhutan against any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

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Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Bhutan?
Bhutan sits mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 41 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Bhutan's risk?
Bhutan's highest pressures are governance (64, high) and adaptation (52). Its strongest area is social (28).
How might Bhutan's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 39% of Bhutan's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 66 to 72 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Bhutan warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Bhutan is on track to warm by +3.5 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +194 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.3 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How will water stress change in Bhutan?
The share of Bhutan under high water stress is projected to move from 1.3% today to 1.3% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Bhutan?
The share of Bhutan exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 1.2% today to 1.7% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Bhutan's risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.