+3.5 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +2.1 °C → +3.5 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +1.8 °C → +2.3 °C
Hottest month +2.9 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Bhutan Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Asia
- Subregion
- Southern Asia
- Income
- Lower middle income
- ISO
- BTN
Bhutan: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Bhutan, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Medium 41 / 100
5y
- 29 Climate Low
- 32 Nature +0.1 Low
- 27 Social Low
- 64 Governance High
- 52 Adaptation -0.4 Medium
Which hazards threaten Bhutan most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 4.2FloodMedium
- 6.0DRR capacityHigh
Bhutan in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
2
Southern Asia
#2 of 9 · median 5612
Asia
#12 of 48 · median 474
Lower middle income
#4 of 53 · median 49Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Bhutan: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Bhutan is projected to warm +3.5 °C, with annual rainfall changing +194 mm.
+194 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +41 mm → +194 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +41 mm → +78 mm
Driest month -1 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
1.3%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 1.3% → 1.3%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 1.3% → 1.3%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 1.3% today.
1.7%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 1.5% → 1.7%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 1.5% → 1.7%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 1.2% today.
Sea level
Landlocked, not applicable.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Energy Intensity | 9.04 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 62.9 |
Flood Risk | 4.20 0-10 | 42.0 |
Heating Degree Days | 6055 degree days | 41.6 |
Land Surface Temperature | 13.4 deg C change | 36.3 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 23.9 ug/m3 | 23.7 |
Drought Index (SPEI) | -1.70 index | 20.2 |
Renewable Energy Share | 82.5 % of total energy | 13.7 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 88.0 % population | 12.0 |
Cooling Degree Days | 557 degree days | 7.6 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 1.34 metric tons | 4.2 |
Methane Emissions Per Capita | 0.59 kt CO2e per capita | 4.1 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.13 kt CO2e per capita | 3.0 |
Heat Index | 1.16 index | 0.9 |
Coal Electricity Share | 0.00 % of total | 0.0 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 100 % of total | 0.0 |
Dam Capacity | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Ecological Footprint | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.97 0-1 | 96.9 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.94 0-1 | 93.9 |
Food Production Index | 77.8 index | 93.7 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.92 0-1 | 91.9 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.91 0-1 | 91.0 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.80 0-1 | 79.9 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.72 0-1 | 71.8 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.72 0-1 | 71.8 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.68 0-1 | 68.4 |
Earthquake Risk | 6.80 0-10 | 68.0 |
Paved Roads | 0.66 0-1 | 66.3 |
Rural Population | 0.60 0-1 | 60.0 |
Access to Improved Sanitation | 0.50 0-1 | 50.1 |
Disaster Preparedness | 0.50 0-1 | 50.0 |
Protected Areas | 49.7 % of land | 49.9 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.50 0-1 | 49.5 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.47 0-1 | 47.1 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 15.0 % of GDP | 41.6 |
Urban Concentration | 0.40 0-1 | 40.0 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.33 0-1 | 33.1 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.29 0-1 | 29.2 |
Access to Reliable Drinking Water | 0.27 0-1 | 27.0 |
Forest Area | 71.6 % of land | 24.3 |
Projected Population Change | 0.22 0-1 | 22.1 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.21 0-1 | 21.4 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.21 0-1 | 21.1 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.18 0-1 | 17.8 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.17 0-1 | 16.9 |
Forest Depletion | 2.55 % of GNI | 14.5 |
Agricultural Land | 12.8 % of land | 14.1 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 25.0 count | 13.1 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 0.43 % of internal resources | 7.6 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.06 0-1 | 5.6 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 2.56 % of GNI | 4.5 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.00 0-1 | 0.4 |
Tsunami Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Population Below 5m | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Electricity Access | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Tree Cover Loss | 1279 hectares | 0.0 |
Water Stress | 1.41 % | 0.0 |
Hospital Beds | 2.20 per 1,000 | 85.1 |
Primary School Enrollment | 106 % gross | 56.6 |
Net Migration | 291 persons | 55.1 |
Sanitation Access | 50.5 % population | 50.9 |
Development and Deprivation | 5.00 0-10 | 50.0 |
GDP Growth | 4.88 % annual | 45.7 |
Overweight Adults | 46.7 % adults | 45.0 |
ESG Performance Score | 2.09 0-100 | 38.7 |
Adult Literacy Rate | 72.1 % | 38.4 |
Life Expectancy | 73.0 years | 38.2 |
Aid Dependency | 3.40 0-10 | 34.0 |
Labor Participation | 67.7 % (15+) | 32.3 |
Food Security | 3.20 0-10 | 32.0 |
Education Expenditure | 17.8 % of govt | 31.3 |
Safe Drinking Water | 73.3 % population | 28.4 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 78.5 ratio F/M | 26.8 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 18.2 % | 26.5 |
Income Share Bottom 20% | 8.80 % | 22.2 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 23.1 per 1,000 | 19.1 |
Poverty Rate (National) | 12.4 % population | 16.8 |
Health Conditions | 1.60 0-10 | 16.0 |
Children Under 5 | 1.60 0-10 | 16.0 |
Gini Coefficient | 28.5 0-100 | 14.3 |
Aging Population | 6.37 % population | 13.8 |
Fertility Rate | 1.46 births per woman | 13.7 |
Internet Users | 88.4 % population | 13.0 |
School Gender Parity | 1.06 ratio | 9.8 |
Unemployment Rate | 3.13 % | 8.6 |
Population Density | 20.5 people/km2 | 0.1 |
Recent Shocks | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Uprooted People | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Access to Electricity | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Patent Applications | 1.00 count | 100.0 |
Scientific Articles | 115 count | 100.0 |
Women in Parliament | 17.4 % seats | 71.6 |
Legal Rights Strength | 4.00 0-12 | 66.7 |
Disaster Risk Reduction | 6.00 0-10 | 60.0 |
Regulatory Quality | -0.40 -2.5 to +2.5 | 58.0 |
Voice and Accountability | 0.20 -2.5 to +2.5 | 46.0 |
Healthcare Access | 4.30 0-10 | 43.0 |
Government Effectiveness | 0.57 -2.5 to +2.5 | 38.7 |
Physical Infrastructure | 3.80 0-10 | 38.0 |
Rule of Law | 0.67 -2.5 to +2.5 | 36.6 |
INFORM Governance Index | 3.30 0-10 | 33.0 |
Communication Infrastructure | 3.10 0-10 | 31.0 |
Political Stability | 0.98 -2.5 to +2.5 | 30.3 |
Control of Corruption | 1.53 -2.5 to +2.5 | 19.4 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.01 0-1 | 99.4 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.09 0-1 | 91.1 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.43 0-1 | 57.5 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.49 0-1 | 51.2 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.51 0-1 | 49.3 |
Doing Business Score | 0.52 0-1 | 48.2 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.64 0-1 | 36.0 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.74 0-1 | 26.1 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.78 0-1 | 22.3 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Bhutan →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Bhutan.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Bhutan?
Bhutan: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 41 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Bhutan's risk?
Bhutan's highest pressures are governance (64, high) and adaptation (52). Its strongest area is social (27).
How might Bhutan's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 39% of Bhutan's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 66 to 72 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Bhutan warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Bhutan is on track to warm by +3.5 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +194 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.3 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How will water stress change in Bhutan?
The share of Bhutan under high water stress is projected to move from 1.3% today to 1.3% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Bhutan?
The share of Bhutan exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 1.2% today to 1.7% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Bhutan's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.