Criora

Bangladesh

Region Asia Subregion Southern Asia Income Low income ISO BGD

Bangladesh carries high climate pressure, led by flood exposure and natural hazards, rising over five years.

Live events

In real time

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map →
Standing risk

How risky is Bangladesh, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
High
64 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    High
    72 / 100
  2. Nature
    Medium
    59 / 100
    ▲ + 3.9 5y
  3. Social
    Medium
    45 / 100
  4. Governance
    High
    71 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    High
    72 / 100
    ▼ -0.8 5y
Climate futures

Bangladesh: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Bangladesh is projected to warm +2.8 °C, with annual rainfall changing +420 mm.

Temperature

+2.8 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+1.6 °C → +2.8 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+1.2 °C → +1.8 °C

Hottest month +2.0 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

+420 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+193 mm → +420 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+170 mm → +256 mm

Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Bangladesh: under high emissions, severe coastal flooding could reach 5 of its largest cities.

Most exposed cities

PopulationFlood depth

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+0.22 m → +0.76 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+0.19 m → +0.54 m

Water stress

49%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
49% → 49%
Current path SSP3-7.0
49% → 49%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 49% today.

River flooding

34%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
22% → 34%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
16% → 23%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 15% today.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Score a site

But what about your location?

The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Bangladesh.

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Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Bangladesh most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
Critical
9.9 / 10
DRR capacity
Low
2.5 / 10
Peers

Bangladesh in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
Southern Asia
#7 of 9median 56
  1. 1MaldivesMedium 41
  2. 2BhutanMedium 41
  3. 3Sri LankaMedium 46
  4. 4NepalMedium 53
  5. 5IranMedium 56
  6. 6IndiaMedium 57
  7. 7BangladeshHigh 64
  8. 8PakistanHigh 64
  9. 9AfghanistanHigh 64
region
Asia
#44 of 48median 47
  1. 39PhilippinesMedium 56
  2. 40IranMedium 56
  3. 41IndiaMedium 57
  4. 42IraqMedium 59
  5. 43MyanmarHigh 63
  6. 44BangladeshHigh 64
  7. 45PakistanHigh 64
  8. 46AfghanistanHigh 64
  9. 47SyriaHigh 65
  10. 48YemenHigh 66
income group
Low income
#34 of 37median 55
  1. 28NigerHigh 61
  2. 29Dem. Rep. CongoHigh 61
  3. 30HaitiHigh 62
  4. 31S. SudanHigh 63
  5. 32MyanmarHigh 63
  6. 33Central African Rep.High 64
  7. 34BangladeshHigh 64
  8. 35AfghanistanHigh 64
  9. 36ChadHigh 66
  10. 37SomaliaHigh 69

Put two countries head to head

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Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Bangladesh?
Bangladesh carries high climate pressure, led by flood exposure and natural hazards, rising over five years. Its overall risk score is 64 out of 100 (high), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Bangladesh's risk?
Bangladesh's highest pressures are climate (72, high) and adaptation (72). Its strongest area is social (45).
How might Bangladesh's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 62% of Bangladesh's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 76 to 76 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Bangladesh warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Bangladesh is on track to warm by +2.8 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +420 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.8 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Bangladesh's coast?
Coastal sea level along Bangladesh is projected to rise by +0.76 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.54 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Bangladesh?
The share of Bangladesh under high water stress is projected to move from 49% today to 49% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Bangladesh?
The share of Bangladesh exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 15% today to 34% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Bangladesh's risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.