Climate risk in Dhaka
Dhaka Division, Bangladesh · 12.8M people in the urban area
What threatens Dhaka most
- Water stress
- Extremely High WRI Aqueduct
- Drought
- Extremely High WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Moderate GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Bangladesh
Drought risk in Dhaka: Extremely High, on WRI's scale.
Chittagong: Medium-High.
The highest of the 3 large cities in Bangladesh.
Extremely High © OpenStreetMap Dhaka's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Dhaka's climate comes closest to that of Kolkata (India) today, though no large city matches it well.
Such a climate exists today, though not in any large city. India: the place on the map
+1.2°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.5°C
Lowest in the coldest month
+3%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, the nearest is Kolkata (India), and only in part.
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How close the match is: 2.1 σ to the climate of Kolkata today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 2 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Dhaka stands out
26 days
Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025
Chittagong: 47 days.
Higher than in 93% of the world's 630 large cities
247 days
Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C
Chittagong: 298 days.
Higher than in 82% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at Dhaka
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Dhaka | Among large cities | In Bangladesh |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 24 days | Among large cities: above 69% | In Bangladesh: 2 of 3 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 247 days | Among large cities: above 82% | In Bangladesh: 3 of 3 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 37.8°C | Among large cities: above 61% | In Bangladesh: 2 of 3 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.1°C | Among large cities: above 2% | In Bangladesh: 2 of 3 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 26 days | Among large cities: above 93% | In Bangladesh: 2 of 3 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions | 162 mm | Among large cities: above 4% | In Bangladesh: 3 of 3 |
| Water stress | Extremely High (>80%) | Among large cities: above 70% | In Bangladesh: 1 of 3 |
| Drought risk | Extremely High | Among large cities: above 95% | In Bangladesh: 1 of 3 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 1.35 m/s² | Among large cities: above 69% | In Bangladesh: 2 of 3 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 32.12 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Dhaka on the live map
See the heavy rain days around Dhaka on the live map
26 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Dhaka
- Khulna · Bangladesh
- Chittagong · Bangladesh
- Kolkata · India
- Howrah · India
Large cities in Bangladesh
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In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Dhaka, Bangladesh: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/BGD/dhaka BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_BGD_dhaka_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Dhaka, Bangladesh: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/BGD/dhaka},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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