Climate risk in Khulna
Khulna Division, Bangladesh
Main risks in Khulna
On coastal floods, heavy rain and tropical cyclones, Khulna ranks above at least 92% of the world's 626 large cities.
- Coastal floods
- a 100-year flood from the sea puts 90% of the land around the centre (a 10 km square) under 0.5 m of water or more; 96% by 2080 if emissions keep rising [1]
- The highest of the world's large coastal cities.
- For comparison: Howrah 28%, Yangon 8.8%, Dongguan 7.7%.
- Heavy rain
- 25 days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 [2]
- Higher than 92% of the world's large cities; 3rd of 3 large cities in Bangladesh.
- For comparison: Kolkata 27 days, Hanoi 27 days, Jakarta 24 days.
- Tropical cyclones
- once in 100 years, winds of about 147 km/h (category 1) [3]
- Higher than 92% of the world's large cities; 2nd of 3 large cities in Bangladesh.
- For comparison: Houston 149 km/h, Mumbai 142 km/h, Shanghai 141 km/h.
Natural Earth Coastal flood depth, 100-year event, in today's climate
This week in Khulna
This week's forecast risk around the city, by day and by hour, and the hazard events near it now. [4] [5]
This week's forecast for the city cannot be shown here right now.
Open the city on the mapThe Earth right now
The Earth's pulse reads the whole world, not this city, so it is the same on every city's page.
Earth's pulse, from 0 to 100. It rises with the number of people in the path of disasters now under way; 90 matches the 2004 tsunami.
Open the live mapWhere else Khulna stands out
258 nights
Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C [2]
Higher than 83% of the world's large cities; 2nd of 3 large cities in Bangladesh.
For comparison: Karachi 275 nights, Hyderabad 256 nights, Fort Lauderdale 253 nights.
Khulna's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, if emissions level off [6] [7]
By the 2050s, Khulna is projected to have the climate that Kolkata (India) has today.
+1.2 °C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.0 °C
Average daily high, warmest month
+1.5 °C
Average nightly low, coldest month
+1%
Precipitation over the year
If emissions keep rising, Kolkata (India) comes closest, though the match is only partial.
Share this comparison
Climates are compared on seasonal temperature and rainfall alone, each difference weighed against the city's usual swings from year to year (the method of Mahony et al. 2017); heat waves, the heat of city streets and the rising sea are left out. All 3 estimates from the climate models, the middle one and the two ends of their range, point to Kolkata. [8]
Everything else measured
From the highest among the world's 626 large cities to the lowest.
| Reading | Khulna | Among 626 large cities | Rank in Bangladesh (1 = highest) |
|---|---|---|---|
| River flood depth, 100-year event [1] | 16 cm | higher than 88% of large cities | Rank in Bangladesh (1 = highest): 1 of 3 |
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C [2] | 26 days | higher than 70% of large cities | Rank in Bangladesh (1 = highest): 1 of 3 |
| Hottest day of 2025 [2] | 38.6 °C | higher than 68% of large cities | Rank in Bangladesh (1 = highest): 1 of 3 |
| Drought risk [9] | High | the same grade as 44% of large cities; higher than 50%, lower than 6% | |
| Earthquake shaking on firm ground, 10% chance in 50 years [10] | moderate shaking, 0.04 g | higher than 38% of large cities | Rank in Bangladesh (1 = highest): 3 of 3 |
| Sea level rise by 2050 over the 1995-2014 average, if emissions level off [11] | 17 cm, 13 cm of it after 2020 | higher than 6% of large coastal cities | |
| Warming by 2050, if emissions level off [7] | +1.1 °C | higher than 2% of large cities | Rank in Bangladesh (1 = highest): 3 of 3 |
| Water stress [9] | Low: under 10% of the available water drawn | lowest grade, like 30% of large cities | |
| Share of land sinking over 1 cm a year, within 15 km [12] | 6% | higher than at least 80% of large cities | |
| Land burned in an average year [13] | 0% | like 84% of large cities |
- Earthquake shaking is given for firm ground in g, the acceleration of gravity: around 0.1 g shaking is strong and can cause light damage, on the US Geological Survey's scale. The figure is the typical value over all the land within 15 km of the centre, not that of one point. Soft ground, such as an old lake bed or river silt, shakes harder.
- Land subsidence comes from a model of satellite radar measurements from 2013 to 2019 in 2 km squares, read over all the land within 15 km of the centre rather than at one point.
- Water stress is the share of the available water drawn every year. Drought risk is how often droughts come, against the area's own usual rain, and how many people and how much farmland they would reach. Both are graded on WRI's own scale.
- Sea level rise is the IPCC projection for the nearest coast, counted from the 1995-2014 average. It is on a grid about 100 km across and counts the slow rise or fall of the land. "If emissions level off" is the IPCC's SSP2-4.5 scenario.
- Water stress and drought risk have no rank in the country: they are steps of a scale, and many cities share one.
- Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here.
The nearest large cities
Distance from centre to centre.
- Kolkata · India · 130 km
- Howrah · India · 130 km
- Dhaka · Bangladesh · 130 km
- Chittagong · Bangladesh · 240 km
Large cities in Bangladesh
Sources
- Aqueduct Floods Hazard Maps: coastal floods, river flood depth
- ERA5 Single Levels Daily Statistics: heavy rain, nights, hot days, hottest day
- IRIS: the Imperial College Storm Model dataset: tropical cyclone wind
- Environment and Climate Change Canada: Global Deterministic Prediction System (GDPS): the week's forecast map
- Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) global forecasts: air pollution near the city now
- TerraClimate: the 2050s comparison
- NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX-GDDP-CMIP6): the 2050s comparison, warming
- Mahony, Cannon, Wang and Aitken (2017). A closer look at novel climates: new methods and insights at continental to landscape scales. Global Change Biology 23, 3934-3955: how climates are compared
- Aqueduct 4.0 Water Risk Framework: drought risk, water stress
- GSHAP Global Seismic Hazard Map: earthquake shaking
- IPCC AR6 Sea Level Projections: sea level rise
- Global Land Subsidence Mapping Reveals Widespread Loss of Aquifer Storage Capacity: sinking land
- Global Biomass Burning at 500 m (GFED500): burned land
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In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on WRI, ECMWF, IRIS, ECCC, Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) global forecasts, TerraClimate, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, GSHAP, IPCC, HydroShare, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Khulna, Bangladesh: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 4, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/BGD/khulna BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_BGD_khulna_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Khulna, Bangladesh: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/BGD/khulna},
urldate = {2026-11-04}
} The figures may be reused on the terms of their sources, which this page names.
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