Criora

Afghanistan

Region Asia Subregion Southern Asia Income Low income ISO AFG

Afghanistan carries high governance pressure, led by hazard and exposure and flood exposure.

Live events

In real time

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map →
Standing risk

How risky is Afghanistan, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
High
64 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    Medium
    51 / 100
  2. Nature
    Medium
    47 / 100
    ▼ -1.5 5y
  3. Social
    High
    67 / 100
  4. Governance
    Critical
    83 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    High
    75 / 100
    ▼ -1.5 5y
Climate futures

Afghanistan: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Afghanistan is projected to warm +4.5 °C, with annual rainfall changing +13 mm.

Temperature

+4.5 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+3.2 °C → +4.5 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+2.5 °C → +3.0 °C

Hottest month +4.7 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

+13 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+15 mm → +13 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+13 mm → +7 mm

Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Landlocked, not applicable.

Water stress

46%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
47% → 46%
Current path SSP3-7.0
47% → 54%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 45% today.

River flooding

0.7%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
1.4% → 0.7%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
0.9% → 1.3%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0.9% today.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Score a site

But what about your location?

The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Afghanistan.

Where exactly?

Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.

orpinpoint it on the map →
Pinpoint on the map Map of Afghanistan Open the map →
Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Afghanistan most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
High
7.3 / 10
DRR capacity
High
7.1 / 10
Peers

Afghanistan in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
Southern Asia
#9 of 9median 56
  1. 1MaldivesMedium 41
  2. 2BhutanMedium 41
  3. 3Sri LankaMedium 46
  4. 4NepalMedium 53
  5. 5IranMedium 56
  6. 6IndiaMedium 57
  7. 7BangladeshHigh 64
  8. 8PakistanHigh 64
  9. 9AfghanistanHigh 64
region
Asia
#46 of 48median 47
  1. 39PhilippinesMedium 56
  2. 40IranMedium 56
  3. 41IndiaMedium 57
  4. 42IraqMedium 59
  5. 43MyanmarHigh 63
  6. 44BangladeshHigh 64
  7. 45PakistanHigh 64
  8. 46AfghanistanHigh 64
  9. 47SyriaHigh 65
  10. 48YemenHigh 66
income group
Low income
#35 of 37median 55
  1. 28NigerHigh 61
  2. 29Dem. Rep. CongoHigh 61
  3. 30HaitiHigh 62
  4. 31S. SudanHigh 63
  5. 32MyanmarHigh 63
  6. 33Central African Rep.High 64
  7. 34BangladeshHigh 64
  8. 35AfghanistanHigh 64
  9. 36ChadHigh 66
  10. 37SomaliaHigh 69

Put two countries head to head

Compare Afghanistan against any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

Compare ↗ Score a site here
Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Afghanistan?
Afghanistan carries high governance pressure, led by hazard and exposure and flood exposure. Its overall risk score is 64 out of 100 (high), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Afghanistan's risk?
Afghanistan's highest pressures are governance (83, critical) and adaptation (75). Its strongest area is nature (47).
How might Afghanistan's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 20% of Afghanistan's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 67 to 68 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Afghanistan warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Afghanistan is on track to warm by +4.5 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +13 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +3.0 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How will water stress change in Afghanistan?
The share of Afghanistan under high water stress is projected to move from 45% today to 46% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Afghanistan?
The share of Afghanistan exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.9% today to 0.7% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Afghanistan's risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.