What drives Central African Rep.'s risk?

Central African Rep.'s highest pressures are governance (88, critical) and adaptation (87). Its strongest area is nature (25).

How might Central African Rep.'s climate change by 2080?

Central African Rep.'s climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.

How much will Central African Rep. warm by 2080?

Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Central African Rep. is on track to warm by +2.4 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +207 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.8 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.

How will water stress change in Central African Rep.?

The share of Central African Rep. under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.

How will river-flood exposure change in Central African Rep.?

The share of Central African Rep. exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 2.4% today to 2.3% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.

When was Central African Rep.'s risk data last updated?

Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.

Central African Rep. Climate risk profile and hazard map

Region: Africa
Subregion: Middle Africa
Income: Low income
ISO: CAF

Central African Rep.: high governance pressure, led by flood exposure.

Live events

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map

How risky is Central African Rep., overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

High 63 / 100

47 Climate Medium
25 Nature -0.9 Low
69 Social High
88 Governance Critical
87 Adaptation +0.5 Critical

Which hazards threaten Central African Rep. most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

6.0FloodHigh

Central African Rep. in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

Middle Africa

#8 of 9 · median 55

Africa

#51 of 54 · median 53

Low income

#31 of 37 · median 55

Put two countries head to head

Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

Compare Score a site here

Central African Rep.: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Central African Rep. is projected to warm +2.4 °C, with annual rainfall changing +207 mm.

+2.4 °C

Temperature

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +1.6 °C → +2.4 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +1.3 °C → +1.8 °C

Hottest month +2.4 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

+207 mm

Precipitation

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +172 mm → +207 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +106 mm → +104 mm

Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Water stress

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 0% → 0%
Current path SSP3-7.0: 0% → 0%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.

2.3%

River flooding

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 2.3% → 2.3%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: 2.3% → 2.3%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 2.4% today.

Sea level

Landlocked, not applicable.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

		Year		vs world	vs region
Access to Clean Fuels	1.00 % population	2022	99.0	+88.8	+10.2
Drought Index (SPEI)	0.88 index	2021	80.4	+34.0	+36.1
Cooling Degree Days	5447 degree days	2020	74.6	+22.8	+8.4
Land Surface Temperature	29.4 deg C change	2021	69.3	+4.6	-5.5
Flood Risk	6.00 0-10	2026	60.0	+8.0	+12.5
Energy Intensity	8.31 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP	2022	57.2	+38.0	+28.7
N2O Emissions Per Capita	2.11 kt CO2e per capita	2020	49.4	+42.4	+43.0
PM2.5 Air Pollution	34.4 ug/m3	2020	36.8	+17.6	+2.6
Methane Emissions Per Capita	2.01 kt CO2e per capita	2020	16.1	+8.0	+9.8
Renewable Energy Share	90.9 % of total energy	2022	4.8	-63.6	-23.9
Renewable Electricity Share	96.5 % of total	2021	3.5	-71.6	-71.8
Heat Index	0.76 index	2020	0.6	+0.5	-1.2
CO2 Emissions Per Capita	0.05 metric tons	2020	0.0	-7.7	-1.1
Heating Degree Days	0.00 degree days	2020	0.0	-1.4	-0.1
Coal Electricity Share	0.00 % of total	2021	0.0	0.0	0.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Agricultural Capacity	1.00 0-1	2023	100.0	+8.2	+2.0
Dependency Ratio	1.00 0-1	2023	100.0	+93.2	+34.3
Ecological Footprint	1.00 0-1	2023	100.0	+77.4	+49.4
Health Expenditure Per Capita	1.00 0-1	2023	99.6	+15.4	+3.4
Projected Cereal Yield Change	0.96 0-1	2023	96.3	+9.8	+3.4
Access to Reliable Drinking Water	0.95 0-1	2023	95.2	+74.8	+20.7
Paved Roads	0.94 0-1	2023	94.0	+39.0	+13.3
Age Dependency Ratio	0.92 0-1	2023	92.5	+39.8	+21.2
Access to Improved Sanitation	0.88 0-1	2023	87.6	+48.3	+7.5
Environmental Treaties Engagement	0.84 0-1	2023	84.2	+7.9	+4.0
Electricity Access	0.83 0-1	2023	83.3	+83.3	+42.1
Projected Vector Disease Change	0.82 0-1	2023	82.5	+16.7	+10.2
Protected Areas	18.1 % of land	2023	81.8	-7.1	-7.1
Agriculture GDP Share	28.6 % of GDP	2023	79.6	+60.7	+28.3
Protected Biome Areas	0.72 0-1	2023	72.0	+31.0	+7.4
Slum Population	0.70 0-1	2023	69.5	+53.0	+20.8
Projected Warm Period Change	0.69 0-1	2023	69.3	+1.5	+0.2
Forest Area	35.7 % of land	2022	62.2	-4.1	-15.2
Quality of Trade Infrastructure	0.62 0-1	2023	61.5	-0.6	-7.7
Rural Population	0.61 0-1	2023	60.8	+18.2	+3.0
Projected Flood Hazard Change	0.53 0-1	2023	52.8	+34.4	+31.0
Projected Annual Runoff Change	0.48 0-1	2023	48.1	+8.5	+12.9
Projected Biome Distribution Change	0.44 0-1	2023	43.5	-14.1	-10.6
Projected Population Change	0.39 0-1	2023	39.5	+17.2	-8.0
Urban Concentration	0.39 0-1	2023	39.2	-18.2	-3.0
Projected Climate-Related Deaths	0.36 0-1	2023	36.4	+6.1	+3.1
Food Import Dependency	0.29 0-1	2023	29.1	+7.4	-0.5
Food Production Index	148 index	2022	27.7	-39.4	-31.3
Projected Groundwater Change	0.27 0-1	2023	26.9	+0.7	-1.3
Child Malnutrition	0.21 0-1	2023	21.5	+7.7	+0.4
Agricultural Land	9.03 % of land	2022	9.5	-37.8	-46.0
Threatened Mammal Species	16.0 count	2018	8.4	+3.2	0.0
Tree Cover Loss	67181 hectares	2021	2.2	+2.1	+2.1
Freshwater Withdrawal	0.05 % of internal resources	2021	1.7	-48.6	-39.8
Earthquake Risk	0.10 0-10	2026	1.0	-34.0	0.0
Natural Resource Depletion	0.56 % of GNI	2021	1.0	-1.1	-6.5
Tsunami Risk	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-11.0	0.0
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-7.5	-4.9
Water Dependency Ratio	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-6.9	-19.8
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-37.3	-29.7
Natural Capital Dependency	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-21.8	-19.5
Population Below 5m	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-14.8	-10.3
Forest Depletion	0.00 % of GNI	2021	0.0	-0.1	-9.2
Water Stress	0.34 %	2021	0.0	-0.3	-0.2

		Year		vs world	vs region
Unmet Contraception Need	37.6 %	2019	100.0	+64.4	+47.3
Safe Drinking Water	6.13 % population	2022	100.0	+78.5	+18.9
Internet Users	7.51 % population	2019	98.5	+63.2	+18.7
Development and Deprivation	9.80 0-10	2026	98.0	+68.0	+20.5
Fertility Rate	6.01 births per woman	2023	97.8	+74.5	+38.1
Access to Electricity	17.6 % population	2023	93.2	+93.2	+48.1
Poverty Rate (National)	68.8 % population	2021	93.1	+72.4	+35.8
Uprooted People	9.20 0-10	2026	92.0	+33.0	+34.0
Life Expectancy	57.4 years	2023	91.9	+52.5	+26.5
Adult Literacy Rate	37.5 %	2020	90.6	+81.9	+53.1
Communicable Disease Deaths	59.1 %	2019	90.4	+74.3	+14.7
Sanitation Access	13.3 % population	2022	89.1	+49.1	+4.3
Under-5 Mortality Rate	92.2 per 1,000	2023	80.1	+67.9	+40.3
Food Security	7.60 0-10	2026	76.0	+58.0	+29.0
Health Conditions	7.60 0-10	2026	76.0	+68.0	+40.0
Income Share Bottom 20%	5.60 %	2021	64.8	+24.7	+28.2
Education Expenditure	9.99 % of govt	2023	61.4	+14.3	+18.3
Gini Coefficient	43.0 0-100	2021	61.0	+28.3	+24.3
Children Under 5	5.50 0-10	2026	55.0	+44.0	+18.5
Net Migration	-14682 persons	2023	54.5	-0.5	-0.4
GDP Growth	0.70 % annual	2023	52.3	+3.4	+5.5
Aid Dependency	5.10 0-10	2026	51.0	+26.0	+10.5
ESG Performance Score	1.98 0-100	2018	46.6	+21.6	-4.1
Undernourishment	23.5 % population	2022	43.0	+37.2	+13.5
Gender Labor Ratio	79.4 ratio F/M	2023	25.8	-1.2	+1.9
Labor Participation	73.7 % (15+)	2023	23.1	-7.0	-13.8
Unemployment Rate	5.88 %	2023	16.4	+2.2	+0.8
Overweight Adults	23.7 % adults	2022	16.1	-39.9	-12.6
Aging Population	2.10 % population	2023	1.5	-14.9	-3.2
Recent Shocks	0.10 0-10	2026	1.0	0.0	-5.0
Population Density	8.18 people/km2	2022	0.0	-0.5	-0.4

		Year		vs world	vs region
Scientific Articles	19.8 count	2022	100.0	+0.1	0.0
Physical Infrastructure	9.70 0-10	2026	97.0	+67.0	+30.0
Political Stability	-2.20 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	94.1	+44.3	+33.8
Healthcare Access	9.20 0-10	2026	92.0	+55.0	+27.0
Communication Infrastructure	8.60 0-10	2026	86.0	+66.0	+36.0
Rule of Law	-1.76 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	85.2	+32.3	+21.0
Government Effectiveness	-1.74 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	84.7	+33.0	+18.2
Regulatory Quality	-1.47 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	79.4	+26.7	+14.0
INFORM Governance Index	7.90 0-10	2026	79.0	+23.0	+12.5
Women in Parliament	12.9 % seats	2023	79.0	+20.8	+17.0
Control of Corruption	-1.31 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	76.2	+20.6	+11.2
Voice and Accountability	-1.26 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	75.2	+26.4	+11.3
Legal Rights Strength	6.00 0-12	2019	50.0	0.0	0.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Education (Readiness)	0.02 0-1	2023	98.5	+25.5	+4.3
Doing Business Score	0.05 0-1	2023	94.7	+36.3	+25.3
Control of Corruption (Readiness)	0.12 0-1	2023	87.6	+23.3	+14.5
Regulatory Quality (Readiness)	0.16 0-1	2023	83.7	+31.8	+21.1
Political Stability (Readiness)	0.19 0-1	2023	80.9	+37.8	+29.1
Rule of Law (Readiness)	0.21 0-1	2023	78.6	+26.0	+14.4
ICT Infrastructure	0.25 0-1	2023	75.2	+27.5	+10.9
Social Inequality (Readiness)	0.25 0-1	2023	74.6	+23.1	+18.2

These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.

Score a site in Central African Rep. →

But what about your location?

The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Central African Rep..

Where exactly?

Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.

orpinpoint it on the map →

Map of Central African Rep. — Pinpoint on the map Open the map

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Central African Rep.?
Central African Rep.: high governance pressure, led by flood exposure. Its overall risk score is 63 out of 100 (high), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Central African Rep.'s risk?
Central African Rep.'s highest pressures are governance (88, critical) and adaptation (87). Its strongest area is nature (25).
How might Central African Rep.'s climate change by 2080?
Central African Rep.'s climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Central African Rep. warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Central African Rep. is on track to warm by +2.4 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +207 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.8 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How will water stress change in Central African Rep.?
The share of Central African Rep. under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Central African Rep.?
The share of Central African Rep. exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 2.4% today to 2.3% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Central African Rep.'s risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.