Criora

Central African Rep.

Region Africa Subregion Middle Africa Income Low income ISO CAF

Central African Rep. carries high governance pressure, led by hazard and exposure and flood exposure.

Live events

In real time

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map →
Standing risk

How risky is Central African Rep., overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
High
64 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    Medium
    47 / 100
  2. Nature
    Low
    25 / 100
    ▼ -0.9 5y
  3. Social
    High
    71 / 100
  4. Governance
    Critical
    88 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    Critical
    87 / 100
    ▲ + 0.5 5y
Climate futures

Central African Rep.: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Central African Rep. is projected to warm +2.4 °C, with annual rainfall changing +207 mm.

Temperature

+2.4 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+1.6 °C → +2.4 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+1.3 °C → +1.8 °C

Hottest month +2.4 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

+207 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+172 mm → +207 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+106 mm → +104 mm

Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Landlocked, not applicable.

Water stress

0%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
0% → 0%
Current path SSP3-7.0
0% → 0%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.

River flooding

2.3%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
2.3% → 2.3%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
2.3% → 2.3%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 2.4% today.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Score a site

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Where exactly?

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Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Central African Rep. most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
High
6.0 / 10
Peers

Central African Rep. in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
Middle Africa
#8 of 9median 55
  1. 1São Tomé and PrincipeMedium 43
  2. 2GabonMedium 48
  3. 3Eq. GuineaMedium 49
  4. 4AngolaMedium 51
  5. 5CameroonMedium 55
  6. 6CongoMedium 56
  7. 7Dem. Rep. CongoHigh 61
  8. 8Central African Rep.High 64
  9. 9ChadHigh 66
region
Africa
#52 of 54median 53
  1. 45MozambiqueMedium 59
  2. 46MaliMedium 60
  3. 47NigeriaHigh 60
  4. 48NigerHigh 61
  5. 49Dem. Rep. CongoHigh 61
  6. 50S. SudanHigh 63
  7. 51SudanHigh 64
  8. 52Central African Rep.High 64
  9. 53ChadHigh 66
  10. 54SomaliaHigh 69
income group
Low income
#33 of 37median 55
  1. 28NigerHigh 61
  2. 29Dem. Rep. CongoHigh 61
  3. 30HaitiHigh 62
  4. 31S. SudanHigh 63
  5. 32MyanmarHigh 63
  6. 33Central African Rep.High 64
  7. 34BangladeshHigh 64
  8. 35AfghanistanHigh 64
  9. 36ChadHigh 66
  10. 37SomaliaHigh 69

Put two countries head to head

Compare Central African Rep. against any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

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Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Central African Rep.?
Central African Rep. carries high governance pressure, led by hazard and exposure and flood exposure. Its overall risk score is 64 out of 100 (high), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Central African Rep.'s risk?
Central African Rep.'s highest pressures are governance (88, critical) and adaptation (87). Its strongest area is nature (25).
How might Central African Rep.'s climate change by 2080?
Central African Rep.'s climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Central African Rep. warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Central African Rep. is on track to warm by +2.4 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +207 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.8 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How will water stress change in Central African Rep.?
The share of Central African Rep. under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Central African Rep.?
The share of Central African Rep. exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 2.4% today to 2.3% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Central African Rep.'s risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.