+4.0 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +3.0 °C → +4.0 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +2.3 °C → +2.6 °C
Hottest month +5.4 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Egypt Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Africa
- Subregion
- Northern Africa
- Income
- Lower middle income
- ISO
- EGY
Egypt: mid-pack overall, with climate the main pressure.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Egypt, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Medium 56 / 100
5y
- 70 Climate High
- 45 Nature -0.5 Medium
- 38 Social Low
- 61 Governance High
- 65 Adaptation -1.8 High
Which hazards threaten Egypt most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 9.9FloodCritical
- 2.6DRR capacityLow
Egypt in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
5
Northern Africa
#5 of 6 · median 5139
Africa
#39 of 54 · median 5343
Lower middle income
#43 of 53 · median 49Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Egypt: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Egypt is projected to warm +4.0 °C, with annual rainfall changing 0 mm.
0 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 0 mm → 0 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 0 mm → 0 mm
Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
20%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 23% → 20%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 21% → 23%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 21% today.
1.4%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 1.3% → 1.4%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 0.1% → 1.1%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0.6% today.
Sea level
Egypt: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 8 of its largest cities.
Coastal sea-level rise
20502100
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +0.24 m → +0.76 m
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +0.21 m → +0.53 m
Largest exposed cities
PopulationMax depth
Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.
Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Flood Risk | 9.90 0-10 | 99.0 |
Coastal Protection Needed | 97.3 % coast | 96.5 |
Fossil Fuel Consumption | 94.7 % of total | 94.5 |
Renewable Energy Share | 6.10 % of total energy | 93.7 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 12.2 % of total | 87.8 |
Land Surface Temperature | 36.8 deg C change | 84.6 |
Energy Imports | 9.25 % of energy use | 69.6 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 54.9 ug/m3 | 62.3 |
Cooling Degree Days | 4022 degree days | 55.1 |
Drought Index (SPEI) | -1.84 index | 19.8 |
Energy Intensity | 3.06 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 11.2 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 1.93 metric tons | 6.1 |
Heating Degree Days | 854 degree days | 5.9 |
Energy Use Per Capita | 900 kg oil eq per capita | 5.0 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.19 kt CO2e per capita | 4.4 |
Heat Index | 2.81 index | 2.1 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 99.9 % population | 0.1 |
Coal Electricity Share | 0.00 % of total | 0.0 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Forest Area | 0.05 % of land | 100.0 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 7750 % of internal resources | 100.0 |
Population Below 5m | 0.99 0-1 | 98.7 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.98 0-1 | 98.3 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.92 0-1 | 92.1 |
Protected Areas | 11.6 % of land | 88.3 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.73 0-1 | 73.4 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.71 0-1 | 70.6 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.67 0-1 | 66.7 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.66 0-1 | 65.8 |
Food Production Index | 109 index | 64.3 |
Dam Capacity | 0.62 0-1 | 62.3 |
Rural Population | 0.61 0-1 | 61.3 |
Tsunami Risk | 5.90 0-10 | 59.0 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.57 0-1 | 57.4 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.53 0-1 | 52.6 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.51 0-1 | 51.3 |
Earthquake Risk | 4.60 0-10 | 46.0 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.45 0-1 | 45.1 |
Projected Hydropower Change | 0.45 0-1 | 44.9 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.45 0-1 | 44.5 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.41 0-1 | 41.2 |
Urban Concentration | 0.39 0-1 | 38.7 |
Projected Population Change | 0.37 0-1 | 36.6 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.34 0-1 | 34.0 |
Access to Improved Sanitation | 0.33 0-1 | 33.2 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.33 0-1 | 33.0 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 10.6 % of GDP | 29.5 |
Ecological Footprint | 0.26 0-1 | 26.1 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.26 0-1 | 25.7 |
Disaster Preparedness | 0.17 0-1 | 17.5 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.14 0-1 | 13.6 |
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact | 0.13 0-1 | 13.4 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 18.0 count | 9.4 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.09 0-1 | 9.3 |
Paved Roads | 0.08 0-1 | 7.9 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.08 0-1 | 7.5 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 3.68 % of GNI | 6.4 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.05 0-1 | 5.0 |
Agricultural Land | 4.08 % of land | 4.3 |
Water Stress | 141 % | 3.7 |
Slum Population | 0.01 0-1 | 0.9 |
Forest Depletion | 0.11 % of GNI | 0.6 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Electricity Access | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Tree Cover Loss | 18.0 hectares | 0.0 |
Hospital Beds | 1.13 per 1,000 | 92.6 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 21.8 ratio F/M | 85.1 |
Overweight Adults | 73.3 % adults | 78.6 |
Uprooted People | 7.70 0-10 | 77.0 |
Labor Participation | 45.5 % (15+) | 66.4 |
Net Migration | 305006 persons | 65.4 |
Primary School Enrollment | 90.3 % gross | 47.6 |
GDP Growth | 3.76 % annual | 47.5 |
Poverty Rate (National) | 29.7 % population | 46.8 |
Life Expectancy | 71.6 years | 46.2 |
Development and Deprivation | 3.90 0-10 | 39.0 |
Fertility Rate | 2.75 births per woman | 37.5 |
Shared Prosperity Growth | 1.95 % annual | 35.3 |
Adult Literacy Rate | 74.5 % | 35.1 |
Sanitation Access | 67.2 % population | 33.7 |
School Gender Parity | 1.00 ratio | 33.4 |
Aid Dependency | 3.10 0-10 | 31.0 |
Internet Users | 72.7 % population | 30.7 |
ESG Performance Score | 2.28 0-100 | 24.6 |
Unemployment Rate | 7.33 % | 20.6 |
Food Security | 1.60 0-10 | 16.0 |
Gini Coefficient | 28.5 0-100 | 14.2 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 17.5 per 1,000 | 14.2 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 9.63 % | 13.1 |
Children Under 5 | 1.30 0-10 | 13.0 |
Undernourishment | 8.50 % population | 12.3 |
Aging Population | 4.97 % population | 9.8 |
Income Share Bottom 20% | 9.70 % | 7.0 |
Health Conditions | 0.20 0-10 | 2.0 |
Population Density | 113 people/km2 | 0.6 |
Access to Electricity | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Recent Shocks | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Patent Applications | 881 count | 99.9 |
Scientific Articles | 24025 count | 97.3 |
Voice and Accountability | -1.38 -2.5 to +2.5 | 77.6 |
Political Stability | -0.87 -2.5 to +2.5 | 67.3 |
Control of Corruption | -0.75 -2.5 to +2.5 | 65.0 |
Regulatory Quality | -0.67 -2.5 to +2.5 | 63.3 |
INFORM Governance Index | 6.10 0-10 | 61.0 |
Legal Rights Strength | 5.00 0-12 | 58.3 |
Women in Parliament | 27.5 % seats | 55.0 |
Government Effectiveness | -0.24 -2.5 to +2.5 | 54.8 |
Rule of Law | -0.18 -2.5 to +2.5 | 53.7 |
Healthcare Access | 4.00 0-10 | 40.0 |
R&D Expenditure | 1.03 % of GDP | 39.8 |
Physical Infrastructure | 3.40 0-10 | 34.0 |
Communication Infrastructure | 3.00 0-10 | 30.0 |
Disaster Risk Reduction | 2.60 0-10 | 26.0 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.04 0-1 | 96.2 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.24 0-1 | 76.5 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.25 0-1 | 74.7 |
Doing Business Score | 0.31 0-1 | 69.4 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.37 0-1 | 62.7 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.42 0-1 | 57.9 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.47 0-1 | 52.7 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.50 0-1 | 49.7 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.69 0-1 | 30.6 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Egypt →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Egypt.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Egypt?
Egypt: mid-pack overall, with climate the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 56 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Egypt's risk?
Egypt's highest pressures are climate (70, high) and adaptation (65). Its strongest area is social (38).
How might Egypt's climate change by 2080?
Egypt's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 66 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Egypt warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Egypt is on track to warm by +4.0 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by 0 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.6 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Egypt's coast?
Coastal sea level along Egypt is projected to rise by +0.76 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.53 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Egypt?
The share of Egypt under high water stress is projected to move from 21% today to 20% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Egypt?
The share of Egypt exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.6% today to 1.4% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Egypt's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.