Criora

Egypt

Region Africa Subregion Northern Africa Income Lower middle income ISO EGY

Egypt sits mid-pack overall, with climate the main pressure.

Live events

In real time

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map →
Standing risk

How risky is Egypt, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
Medium
55 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    High
    70 / 100
  2. Nature
    Medium
    45 / 100
    ▼ -0.5 5y
  3. Social
    Low
    35 / 100
  4. Governance
    High
    61 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    High
    65 / 100
    ▼ -1.8 5y
Climate futures

Egypt: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Egypt is projected to warm +4.0 °C, with annual rainfall changing 0 mm.

Temperature

+4.0 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+3.0 °C → +4.0 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+2.3 °C → +2.6 °C

Hottest month +5.4 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

0 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
0 mm → 0 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
0 mm → 0 mm

Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Egypt: under high emissions, severe coastal flooding could reach 8 of its largest cities.

Most exposed cities

PopulationFlood depth

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+0.24 m → +0.76 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+0.21 m → +0.53 m

Water stress

20%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
23% → 20%
Current path SSP3-7.0
21% → 23%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 21% today.

River flooding

1.4%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
1.3% → 1.4%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
0.1% → 1.1%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0.6% today.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Score a site

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The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Egypt.

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Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Egypt most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
Critical
9.9 / 10
DRR capacity
Low
2.5 / 10
Peers

Egypt in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
Northern Africa
#5 of 6median 50
  1. 1TunisiaMedium 46
  2. 2MoroccoMedium 48
  3. 3AlgeriaMedium 49
  4. 4LibyaMedium 51
  5. 5EgyptMedium 55
  6. 6SudanHigh 64
region
Africa
#39 of 54median 53
  1. 35Sierra LeoneMedium 54
  2. 36BurundiMedium 55
  3. 37UgandaMedium 55
  4. 38CameroonMedium 55
  5. 39EgyptMedium 55
  6. 40EthiopiaMedium 56
  7. 41CongoMedium 56
  8. 42MauritaniaMedium 57
  9. 43MadagascarMedium 57
  10. 44LiberiaMedium 59
income group
Lower middle income
#42 of 53median 49
  1. 38ZambiaMedium 54
  2. 39IndonesiaMedium 54
  3. 40GuatemalaMedium 54
  4. 41CameroonMedium 55
  5. 42EgyptMedium 55
  6. 43PhilippinesMedium 56
  7. 44CongoMedium 56
  8. 45HondurasMedium 57
  9. 46IndiaMedium 57
  10. 47Papua New GuineaMedium 58

Put two countries head to head

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Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Egypt?
Egypt sits mid-pack overall, with climate the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 55 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Egypt's risk?
Egypt's highest pressures are climate (70, high) and adaptation (65). Its strongest area is social (35).
How might Egypt's climate change by 2080?
Egypt's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 66 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Egypt warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Egypt is on track to warm by +4.0 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by 0 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.6 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Egypt's coast?
Coastal sea level along Egypt is projected to rise by +0.76 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.53 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Egypt?
The share of Egypt under high water stress is projected to move from 21% today to 20% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Egypt?
The share of Egypt exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.6% today to 1.4% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Egypt's risk data last updated?
Updated June 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.