Criora

Uganda

Region Africa Subregion Eastern Africa Income Low income ISO UGA

Uganda sits mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.

Live events

In real time

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map →
Standing risk

How risky is Uganda, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
Medium
55 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    Low
    33 / 100
  2. Nature
    Medium
    40 / 100
    ▲ + 0.0 5y
  3. Social
    Medium
    53 / 100
  4. Governance
    High
    74 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    High
    72 / 100
    ▲ + 0.7 5y
Climate futures

Uganda: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Uganda is projected to warm +2.5 °C, with annual rainfall changing +185 mm.

Temperature

+2.5 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+1.7 °C → +2.5 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+1.4 °C → +2.0 °C

Hottest month +2.1 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

+185 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+122 mm → +185 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+72 mm → +79 mm

Driest month +3 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Landlocked, not applicable.

Water stress

11%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
0.3% → 11%
Current path SSP3-7.0
4.1% → 14%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.

River flooding

6.3%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
5.1% → 6.3%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
1.7% → 4.1%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 2% today.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Score a site

But what about your location?

The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Uganda.

Where exactly?

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Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Uganda most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
Low
3.9 / 10
DRR capacity
Medium
5.9 / 10
Peers

Uganda in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
Eastern Africa
#13 of 18median 54
  1. 9ZambiaMedium 54
  2. 10EritreaMedium 54
  3. 11MalawiMedium 54
  4. 12BurundiMedium 55
  5. 13UgandaMedium 55
  6. 14EthiopiaMedium 56
  7. 15MadagascarMedium 57
  8. 16MozambiqueMedium 59
  9. 17S. SudanHigh 63
  10. 18SomaliaHigh 69
region
Africa
#37 of 54median 53
  1. 33BeninMedium 54
  2. 34MalawiMedium 54
  3. 35Sierra LeoneMedium 54
  4. 36BurundiMedium 55
  5. 37UgandaMedium 55
  6. 38CameroonMedium 55
  7. 39EgyptMedium 55
  8. 40EthiopiaMedium 56
  9. 41CongoMedium 56
  10. 42MauritaniaMedium 57
income group
Low income
#20 of 37median 55
  1. 16BeninMedium 54
  2. 17MalawiMedium 54
  3. 18Sierra LeoneMedium 54
  4. 19BurundiMedium 55
  5. 20UgandaMedium 55
  6. 21CambodiaMedium 55
  7. 22EthiopiaMedium 56
  8. 23MauritaniaMedium 57
  9. 24MadagascarMedium 57
  10. 25LiberiaMedium 59

Put two countries head to head

Compare Uganda against any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

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Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Uganda?
Uganda sits mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 55 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Uganda's risk?
Uganda's highest pressures are governance (74, high) and adaptation (72). Its strongest area is climate (33).
How might Uganda's climate change by 2080?
Uganda's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Uganda warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Uganda is on track to warm by +2.5 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +185 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.0 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How will water stress change in Uganda?
The share of Uganda under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 11% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Uganda?
The share of Uganda exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 2% today to 6.3% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Uganda's risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.