+2.5 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +1.7 °C → +2.5 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +1.4 °C → +2.0 °C
Hottest month +2.1 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Uganda Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Africa
- Subregion
- Eastern Africa
- Income
- Low income
- ISO
- UGA
Uganda: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Uganda, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Medium 55 / 100
5y
- 33 Climate Low
- 40 Nature +0.0 Medium
- 56 Social Medium
- 74 Governance High
- 72 Adaptation +0.7 High
Which hazards threaten Uganda most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 3.9FloodLow
- 5.9DRR capacityMedium
Uganda in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
13
Eastern Africa
#13 of 18 · median 5437
Africa
#37 of 54 · median 5320
Low income
#20 of 37 · median 55Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Uganda: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Uganda is projected to warm +2.5 °C, with annual rainfall changing +185 mm.
+185 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +122 mm → +185 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +72 mm → +79 mm
Driest month +3 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
11%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 0.3% → 11%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 4.1% → 14%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.
6.3%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 5.1% → 6.3%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 1.7% → 4.1%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 2% today.
Sea level
Landlocked, not applicable.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Access to Clean Fuels | 0.60 % population | 99.4 |
Land Surface Temperature | 30.1 deg C change | 70.8 |
Energy Imports | 20.5 % of energy use | 70.5 |
Energy Intensity | 9.86 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 69.3 |
Cooling Degree Days | 3182 degree days | 43.6 |
Flood Risk | 3.90 0-10 | 39.0 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 33.8 ug/m3 | 36.0 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 90.0 % of total | 10.0 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.28 kt CO2e per capita | 6.5 |
Fossil Fuel Consumption | 8.73 % of total | 5.0 |
Renewable Energy Share | 90.9 % of total energy | 4.8 |
Energy Use Per Capita | 483 kg oil eq per capita | 2.5 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 0.13 metric tons | 0.3 |
Heating Degree Days | 7.96 degree days | 0.1 |
Heat Index | 0.00 index | 0.0 |
Coal Electricity Share | 0.00 % of total | 0.0 |
Water Bodies Extent | 0.00 % of land | 100.0 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Dependency Ratio | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Ecological Footprint | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.99 0-1 | 99.1 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.96 0-1 | 96.3 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.92 0-1 | 92.4 |
Forest Area | 11.2 % of land | 88.1 |
Agricultural Land | 71.9 % of land | 84.9 |
Protected Areas | 16.1 % of land | 83.9 |
Access to Improved Sanitation | 0.83 0-1 | 83.1 |
Access to Reliable Drinking Water | 0.82 0-1 | 82.5 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.79 0-1 | 79.4 |
Rural Population | 0.79 0-1 | 78.9 |
Paved Roads | 0.78 0-1 | 77.6 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.75 0-1 | 74.9 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.72 0-1 | 72.1 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.71 0-1 | 70.7 |
Projected Population Change | 0.69 0-1 | 69.4 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 24.1 % of GDP | 67.0 |
Disaster Preparedness | 0.57 0-1 | 57.5 |
Dam Capacity | 0.57 0-1 | 57.3 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.57 0-1 | 57.1 |
Slum Population | 0.55 0-1 | 54.5 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.53 0-1 | 52.9 |
Forest Depletion | 8.64 % of GNI | 49.2 |
Electricity Access | 0.49 0-1 | 49.0 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.43 0-1 | 43.2 |
Food Production Index | 136 index | 39.4 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.39 0-1 | 38.8 |
Earthquake Risk | 3.70 0-10 | 37.0 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.36 0-1 | 36.4 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.35 0-1 | 35.1 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 1.63 % of internal resources | 22.1 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.22 0-1 | 21.6 |
Urban Concentration | 0.21 0-1 | 21.1 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.20 0-1 | 20.5 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.16 0-1 | 16.4 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 31.0 count | 16.2 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 8.64 % of GNI | 15.1 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.13 0-1 | 13.2 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.12 0-1 | 12.2 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.01 0-1 | 1.4 |
Tree Cover Loss | 49245 hectares | 0.8 |
Water Stress | 5.83 % | 0.2 |
Tsunami Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Population Below 5m | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Internet Users | 15.3 % population | 95.3 |
Uprooted People | 8.90 0-10 | 89.0 |
Safe Drinking Water | 18.7 % population | 86.6 |
Sanitation Access | 17.8 % population | 84.5 |
Development and Deprivation | 8.00 0-10 | 80.0 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 51.7 % | 78.8 |
Undernourishment | 36.9 % population | 70.5 |
Education Expenditure | 8.63 % of govt | 66.7 |
Fertility Rate | 4.28 births per woman | 65.8 |
Gini Coefficient | 42.7 0-100 | 64.4 |
Income Share Bottom 20% | 6.10 % | 57.1 |
Life Expectancy | 68.3 years | 56.8 |
Health Conditions | 5.50 0-10 | 55.0 |
Food Security | 5.40 0-10 | 54.0 |
Access to Electricity | 51.5 % population | 51.3 |
Unmet Contraception Need | 21.8 % | 51.3 |
ESG Performance Score | 1.92 0-100 | 51.3 |
Net Migration | -126181 persons | 50.8 |
Shared Prosperity Growth | -0.10 % annual | 47.1 |
Aid Dependency | 4.60 0-10 | 46.0 |
GDP Growth | 5.34 % annual | 45.0 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 38.8 per 1,000 | 33.0 |
Poverty Rate (National) | 20.3 % population | 31.7 |
Children Under 5 | 3.00 0-10 | 30.0 |
Adult Literacy Rate | 80.6 % | 26.7 |
Overweight Adults | 23.8 % adults | 16.2 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 89.5 ratio F/M | 15.4 |
Labor Participation | 81.9 % (15+) | 10.5 |
Unemployment Rate | 2.79 % | 7.6 |
Aging Population | 2.15 % population | 1.7 |
Population Density | 236 people/km2 | 1.3 |
Recent Shocks | 0.10 0-10 | 1.0 |
Patent Applications | 14.0 count | 100.0 |
Scientific Articles | 1244 count | 99.9 |
R&D Expenditure | 0.31 % of GDP | 82.9 |
Physical Infrastructure | 7.90 0-10 | 79.0 |
Control of Corruption | -1.04 -2.5 to +2.5 | 70.9 |
INFORM Governance Index | 6.60 0-10 | 66.0 |
Political Stability | -0.70 -2.5 to +2.5 | 63.9 |
Voice and Accountability | -0.70 -2.5 to +2.5 | 63.9 |
Healthcare Access | 6.20 0-10 | 62.0 |
Government Effectiveness | -0.55 -2.5 to +2.5 | 61.0 |
Regulatory Quality | -0.52 -2.5 to +2.5 | 60.3 |
Communication Infrastructure | 6.00 0-10 | 60.0 |
Rule of Law | -0.47 -2.5 to +2.5 | 59.5 |
Disaster Risk Reduction | 5.90 0-10 | 59.0 |
Legal Rights Strength | 5.00 0-12 | 58.3 |
Women in Parliament | 33.8 % seats | 44.8 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.00 0-1 | 99.9 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.03 0-1 | 97.3 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.19 0-1 | 81.5 |
Doing Business Score | 0.30 0-1 | 70.3 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.30 0-1 | 70.2 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.40 0-1 | 59.8 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.42 0-1 | 58.4 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.43 0-1 | 56.7 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.45 0-1 | 55.0 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Uganda →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Uganda.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Uganda?
Uganda: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 55 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Uganda's risk?
Uganda's highest pressures are governance (74, high) and adaptation (72). Its strongest area is climate (33).
How might Uganda's climate change by 2080?
Uganda's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Uganda warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Uganda is on track to warm by +2.5 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +185 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.0 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How will water stress change in Uganda?
The share of Uganda under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 11% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Uganda?
The share of Uganda exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 2% today to 6.3% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Uganda's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.