+3.6 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +2.6 °C → +3.6 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +2.1 °C → +2.5 °C
Hottest month +4.4 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Morocco Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Africa
- Subregion
- Northern Africa
- Income
- Lower middle income
- ISO
- MAR
Morocco: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Morocco, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Medium 48 / 100
5y
- 44 Climate Medium
- 40 Nature -0.3 Medium
- 30 Social Low
- 67 Governance High
- 57 Adaptation -2.0 Medium
Which hazards threaten Morocco most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 5.0FloodMedium
- 3.2DRR capacityLow
Morocco in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
2
Northern Africa
#2 of 6 · median 5112
Africa
#12 of 54 · median 5322
Lower middle income
#22 of 53 · median 49Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Morocco: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Morocco is projected to warm +3.6 °C, with annual rainfall changing -24 mm.
-24 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- -14 mm → -24 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- -12 mm → -17 mm
Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
45%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 38% → 45%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 39% → 42%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 35% today.
0.2%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 0.4% → 0.2%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 0.5% → 0.4%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 1% today.
Sea level
Morocco: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 8 of its largest cities.
Coastal sea-level rise
20502100
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +0.26 m → +0.81 m
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +0.23 m → +0.59 m
Largest exposed cities
PopulationMax depth
Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.
Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Fossil Fuel Consumption | 90.1 % of total | 89.7 |
Renewable Energy Share | 10.9 % of total energy | 88.7 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 19.3 % of total | 80.7 |
Energy Imports | 94.0 % of energy use | 76.3 |
Land Surface Temperature | 31.6 deg C change | 73.9 |
Coal Electricity Share | 68.0 % of total | 70.7 |
Flood Risk | 5.00 0-10 | 50.0 |
Cooling Degree Days | 2413 degree days | 33.0 |
Drought Index (SPEI) | -1.62 index | 24.1 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 21.3 ug/m3 | 20.5 |
Energy Intensity | 3.05 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 16.2 |
Heating Degree Days | 1636 degree days | 11.2 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 1.82 metric tons | 5.7 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.24 kt CO2e per capita | 5.6 |
Energy Use Per Capita | 603 kg oil eq per capita | 3.2 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 97.9 % population | 2.1 |
Heat Index | 2.23 index | 1.6 |
Protected Areas | 1.60 % of land | 98.4 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.94 0-1 | 93.9 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.93 0-1 | 93.4 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.91 0-1 | 91.4 |
Dam Capacity | 0.88 0-1 | 87.9 |
Forest Area | 12.9 % of land | 86.3 |
Agricultural Land | 67.9 % of land | 80.2 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.78 0-1 | 78.4 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 36.5 % of internal resources | 77.3 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.68 0-1 | 68.2 |
Food Production Index | 106 index | 67.1 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.67 0-1 | 66.7 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.66 0-1 | 65.9 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.66 0-1 | 65.8 |
Urban Concentration | 0.62 0-1 | 62.4 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.52 0-1 | 52.2 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.48 0-1 | 48.4 |
Tsunami Risk | 4.50 0-10 | 45.0 |
Projected Hydropower Change | 0.45 0-1 | 44.8 |
Earthquake Risk | 4.40 0-10 | 44.0 |
Access to Improved Sanitation | 0.39 0-1 | 39.4 |
Rural Population | 0.38 0-1 | 37.6 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.35 0-1 | 34.7 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.31 0-1 | 31.2 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 11.1 % of GDP | 30.8 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.30 0-1 | 29.7 |
Paved Roads | 0.30 0-1 | 29.6 |
Access to Reliable Drinking Water | 0.26 0-1 | 25.5 |
Disaster Preparedness | 0.25 0-1 | 25.0 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.24 0-1 | 23.9 |
Projected Population Change | 0.23 0-1 | 23.0 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.22 0-1 | 21.8 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.16 0-1 | 16.4 |
Ecological Footprint | 0.16 0-1 | 15.6 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.11 0-1 | 11.2 |
Slum Population | 0.11 0-1 | 10.9 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.10 0-1 | 10.3 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.10 0-1 | 9.9 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 18.0 count | 9.4 |
Population Below 5m | 0.09 0-1 | 8.7 |
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact | 0.02 0-1 | 1.9 |
Water Stress | 50.8 % | 1.3 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 0.13 % of GNI | 0.2 |
Tree Cover Loss | 1538 hectares | 0.0 |
Forest Depletion | 0.00 % of GNI | 0.0 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Electricity Access | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Hospital Beds | 0.73 per 1,000 | 95.8 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 28.7 ratio F/M | 78.0 |
Labor Participation | 47.8 % (15+) | 62.9 |
Overweight Adults | 55.0 % adults | 55.4 |
Net Migration | -39650 persons | 53.7 |
School Gender Parity | 0.97 ratio | 48.3 |
GDP Growth | 3.40 % annual | 48.1 |
Development and Deprivation | 4.60 0-10 | 46.0 |
Sanitation Access | 61.0 % population | 40.1 |
Uprooted People | 3.50 0-10 | 35.0 |
Life Expectancy | 75.3 years | 34.7 |
Adult Literacy Rate | 77.3 % | 31.1 |
Primary School Enrollment | 114 % gross | 29.3 |
Fertility Rate | 2.23 births per woman | 27.9 |
Safe Drinking Water | 74.8 % population | 26.8 |
Unemployment Rate | 9.04 % | 25.5 |
Aid Dependency | 2.50 0-10 | 25.0 |
ESG Performance Score | 2.34 0-100 | 19.7 |
Unmet Contraception Need | 11.3 % | 18.3 |
Aging Population | 7.83 % population | 18.0 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 16.6 per 1,000 | 13.4 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 8.91 % | 11.9 |
Education Expenditure | 22.8 % of govt | 11.9 |
Internet Users | 91.0 % population | 10.1 |
Food Security | 1.00 0-10 | 10.0 |
Children Under 5 | 1.00 0-10 | 10.0 |
Undernourishment | 6.90 % population | 9.0 |
Recent Shocks | 0.60 0-10 | 6.0 |
Health Conditions | 0.50 0-10 | 5.0 |
Population Density | 83.6 people/km2 | 0.4 |
Access to Electricity | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Poverty Rate (National) | 3.90 % population | 0.0 |
Patent Applications | 254 count | 100.0 |
Scientific Articles | 8445 count | 99.1 |
Legal Rights Strength | 2.00 0-12 | 83.3 |
Control of Corruption | -0.54 -2.5 to +2.5 | 60.7 |
Women in Parliament | 24.3 % seats | 60.3 |
Voice and Accountability | -0.49 -2.5 to +2.5 | 59.8 |
Political Stability | -0.37 -2.5 to +2.5 | 57.4 |
INFORM Governance Index | 5.50 0-10 | 55.0 |
Rule of Law | -0.13 -2.5 to +2.5 | 52.6 |
Regulatory Quality | -0.06 -2.5 to +2.5 | 51.3 |
Government Effectiveness | -0.04 -2.5 to +2.5 | 50.7 |
Healthcare Access | 4.60 0-10 | 46.0 |
Physical Infrastructure | 3.40 0-10 | 34.0 |
Disaster Risk Reduction | 3.20 0-10 | 32.0 |
Communication Infrastructure | 1.90 0-10 | 19.0 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.03 0-1 | 96.7 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.29 0-1 | 71.5 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.30 0-1 | 69.8 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.48 0-1 | 51.6 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.49 0-1 | 51.5 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.49 0-1 | 50.8 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.51 0-1 | 49.3 |
Doing Business Score | 0.51 0-1 | 48.5 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.52 0-1 | 47.8 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Morocco →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Morocco.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Morocco?
Morocco: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 48 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Morocco's risk?
Morocco's highest pressures are governance (67, high) and adaptation (57). Its strongest area is social (30).
How might Morocco's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 14% of Morocco's land shifts toward a drier, more arid zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 68 to 66 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Morocco warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Morocco is on track to warm by +3.6 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -24 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.5 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Morocco's coast?
Coastal sea level along Morocco is projected to rise by +0.81 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.59 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Morocco?
The share of Morocco under high water stress is projected to move from 35% today to 45% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Morocco?
The share of Morocco exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 1% today to 0.2% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Morocco's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.