What drives Solomon Is.'s risk?

Solomon Is.'s highest pressures are governance (72, high) and adaptation (61). Its strongest area is climate (20).

How might Solomon Is.'s climate change by 2080?

Solomon Is.'s climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.

How much will Solomon Is. warm by 2080?

Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Solomon Is. is on track to warm by +2.2 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -50 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.5 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.

How much will sea levels rise along Solomon Is.'s coast?

Coastal sea level along Solomon Is. is projected to rise by +0.78 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.56 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.

How will water stress change in Solomon Is.?

The share of Solomon Is. under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.

How will river-flood exposure change in Solomon Is.?

The share of Solomon Is. exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.

When was Solomon Is.'s risk data last updated?

Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.

Solomon Is. Climate risk profile and hazard map

Region: Oceania
Subregion: Melanesia
Income: Lower middle income
ISO: SLB

Solomon Is.: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.

Live events

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map

How risky is Solomon Is., overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Medium 48 / 100

20 Climate Low
52 Nature +1.3 Medium
34 Social Low
72 Governance High
61 Adaptation -0.5 High

Which hazards threaten Solomon Is. most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

0.0FloodVery low
5.3DRR capacityMedium

Solomon Is. in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

Melanesia

#2 of 4 · median 48

Oceania

#12 of 14 · median 43

Lower middle income

#23 of 53 · median 49

Put two countries head to head

Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

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Solomon Is.: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Solomon Is. is projected to warm +2.2 °C, with annual rainfall changing -50 mm.

+2.2 °C

Temperature

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +1.5 °C → +2.2 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +1.3 °C → +1.5 °C

Hottest month +2.3 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

-50 mm

Precipitation

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +12 mm → -50 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +90 mm → +44 mm

Driest month -26 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Water stress

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 0% → 0%
Current path SSP3-7.0: 0% → 0%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.

River flooding

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 0% → 0%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: 0% → 0%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0% today.

Sea level

Solomon Is.: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 2 of its largest cities.

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +0.22 m → +0.78 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +0.20 m → +0.56 m

Largest exposed cities

PopulationMax depth

Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

		Year		vs world	vs region
Renewable Electricity Share	6.56 % of total	2021	93.4	+18.3	+9.5
Access to Clean Fuels	8.70 % population	2022	91.3	+81.0	+39.1
Coastal Protection Needed	80.1 % coast	2020	74.1	-10.2	-20.2
Cooling Degree Days	5393 degree days	2020	73.8	+22.0	+3.0
Land Surface Temperature	26.1 deg C change	2021	62.4	-2.3	-0.5
Renewable Energy Share	50.1 % of total energy	2022	47.9	-20.5	-33.4
Energy Intensity	5.18 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP	2022	32.8	+13.6	-0.9
PM2.5 Air Pollution	14.0 ug/m3	2020	11.3	-7.9	+2.9
CO2 Emissions Per Capita	0.30 metric tons	2020	0.9	-6.8	-2.4
N2O Emissions Per Capita	0.03 kt CO2e per capita	2020	0.7	-6.3	-3.8
Flood Risk	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-52.0	0.0
Heating Degree Days	0.00 degree days	2020	0.0	-1.4	0.0
Heat Index	0.00 index	2020	0.0	-0.1	0.0
Coal Electricity Share	0.00 % of total	2021	0.0	0.0	0.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Population Below 5m	1.00 0-1	2023	100.0	+85.3	0.0
Protected Areas	0.20 % of land	2023	99.8	+10.9	+0.1
Paved Roads	0.99 0-1	2023	98.8	+43.8	+22.2
Agricultural Capacity	0.98 0-1	2023	98.3	+6.5	+5.2
Projected Cereal Yield Change	0.96 0-1	2023	96.0	+9.5	+5.5
Health Expenditure Per Capita	0.93 0-1	2023	92.7	+8.5	+7.5
Dependency Ratio	0.90 0-1	2023	90.5	+83.7	+1.0
Disaster Preparedness	0.82 0-1	2023	82.5	+52.5	+42.5
Rural Population	0.80 0-1	2023	79.7	+37.1	+34.7
Environmental Treaties Engagement	0.80 0-1	2023	79.7	+3.4	-5.9
Agriculture GDP Share	33.8 % of GDP	2022	78.4	+61.8	+40.7
Tsunami Risk	7.80 0-10	2026	78.0	+67.0	+18.5
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact	0.76 0-1	2023	75.7	+62.2	-12.1
Projected Vector Disease Change	0.75 0-1	2023	74.7	+8.9	+8.9
Food Production Index	100 index	2022	72.4	+5.3	0.0
Protected Biome Areas	0.71 0-1	2023	71.4	+30.4	+26.8
Earthquake Risk	7.10 0-10	2026	71.0	+36.0	+55.5
Projected Warm Period Change	0.67 0-1	2023	66.7	-1.0	-2.3
Age Dependency Ratio	0.66 0-1	2023	66.5	+13.8	+5.1
Quality of Trade Infrastructure	0.62 0-1	2023	61.5	-0.6	0.0
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss	0.59 0-1	2023	59.2	+22.0	-28.3
Projected Flood Hazard Change	0.57 0-1	2023	56.7	+38.4	+27.0
Projected Biome Distribution Change	0.48 0-1	2023	48.2	-9.4	0.0
Projected Population Change	0.38 0-1	2023	37.6	+15.3	+17.5
Food Import Dependency	0.35 0-1	2023	35.1	+13.4	-0.6
Child Malnutrition	0.35 0-1	2023	35.1	+21.3	+21.5
Projected Groundwater Change	0.33 0-1	2023	33.2	+7.0	+6.2
Urban Concentration	0.20 0-1	2023	20.3	-37.1	-34.7
Electricity Access	0.19 0-1	2023	18.9	+18.9	+18.9
Threatened Mammal Species	19.0 count	2018	9.9	+4.7	+7.6
Projected Climate-Related Deaths	0.09 0-1	2023	9.1	-21.2	0.0
Natural Capital Dependency	0.08 0-1	2023	7.6	-14.2	-5.8
Forest Area	90.1 % of land	2022	4.7	-61.6	-47.8
Agricultural Land	4.29 % of land	2022	4.6	-42.7	-17.3
Tree Cover Loss	12000 hectares	2021	0.2	+0.1	+0.2
Natural Resource Depletion	0.00 % of GNI	2021	0.0	-2.1	-0.7
Forest Depletion	0.00 % of GNI	2021	0.0	-0.1	-0.5
Water Dependency Ratio	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-6.9	0.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Food Security	7.00 0-10	2026	70.0	+52.0	+60.0
Internet Users	42.5 % population	2023	64.7	+43.8	+26.1
Development and Deprivation	6.30 0-10	2026	63.0	+33.0	+21.5
Overweight Adults	56.9 % adults	2022	57.9	+1.9	-18.4
Net Migration	1636 persons	2023	55.1	+0.1	+0.1
Fertility Rate	3.56 births per woman	2023	52.4	+29.1	+8.2
Aid Dependency	5.20 0-10	2026	52.0	+27.0	-8.5
Primary School Enrollment	84.7 % gross	2023	51.8	+9.8	+13.0
Life Expectancy	70.5 years	2023	49.7	+10.3	-6.9
GDP Growth	2.66 % annual	2023	49.2	+0.3	-0.5
Health Conditions	4.20 0-10	2026	42.0	+34.0	+2.0
Communicable Disease Deaths	23.4 %	2019	34.6	+18.5	+18.0
Undernourishment	19.4 % population	2022	34.6	+28.8	+26.2
ESG Performance Score	2.16 0-100	2018	33.2	+8.2	+9.6
Children Under 5	2.60 0-10	2026	26.0	+15.0	+10.0
Access to Electricity	81.3 % population	2023	19.8	+19.8	+19.8
Under-5 Mortality Rate	20.6 per 1,000	2023	16.9	+4.7	+0.3
Gender Labor Ratio	95.6 ratio F/M	2023	9.2	-17.8	-9.6
Recent Shocks	0.70 0-10	2026	7.0	+6.0	+6.0
Aging Population	3.63 % population	2023	5.9	-10.5	-6.0
Labor Participation	85.8 % (15+)	2023	4.5	-25.6	-39.0
Unemployment Rate	1.46 %	2023	3.8	-10.4	-6.4
Population Density	27.9 people/km2	2022	0.1	-0.4	-0.2
Uprooted People	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-59.0	0.0
Education Expenditure	25.9 % of govt	2023	0.0	-47.1	-46.9

		Year		vs world	vs region
Scientific Articles	11.1 count	2022	100.0	+0.1	0.0
Women in Parliament	8.00 % seats	2023	86.9	+28.7	+2.1
Physical Infrastructure	7.60 0-10	2026	76.0	+46.0	+53.0
Regulatory Quality	-0.78 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	65.6	+12.8	+11.0
Government Effectiveness	-0.73 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	64.7	+13.0	+14.7
INFORM Governance Index	6.20 0-10	2026	62.0	+6.0	+9.5
Healthcare Access	5.90 0-10	2026	59.0	+22.0	+14.0
Rule of Law	-0.26 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	55.3	+2.3	+17.6
Communication Infrastructure	5.40 0-10	2026	54.0	+34.0	+29.5
Disaster Risk Reduction	5.30 0-10	2026	53.0	+11.5	+9.0
Control of Corruption	-0.13 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	52.7	-2.9	+13.7
Voice and Accountability	0.34 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	43.2	-5.6	+14.3
Political Stability	0.45 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	41.1	-8.7	+12.7
Legal Rights Strength	10.0 0-12	2019	16.7	-33.3	0.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Doing Business Score	0.34 0-1	2023	66.4	+8.0	+5.6
Rule of Law (Readiness)	0.35 0-1	2023	65.0	+12.4	+10.9
ICT Infrastructure	0.37 0-1	2023	63.3	+15.6	+6.1
Control of Corruption (Readiness)	0.39 0-1	2023	60.6	-3.7	+15.7
Regulatory Quality (Readiness)	0.46 0-1	2023	54.3	+2.3	+17.3
Political Stability (Readiness)	0.65 0-1	2023	35.3	-7.8	+10.9

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Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Solomon Is.?
Solomon Is.: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 48 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Solomon Is.'s risk?
Solomon Is.'s highest pressures are governance (72, high) and adaptation (61). Its strongest area is climate (20).
How might Solomon Is.'s climate change by 2080?
Solomon Is.'s climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Solomon Is. warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Solomon Is. is on track to warm by +2.2 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -50 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.5 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Solomon Is.'s coast?
Coastal sea level along Solomon Is. is projected to rise by +0.78 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.56 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Solomon Is.?
The share of Solomon Is. under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Solomon Is.?
The share of Solomon Is. exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Solomon Is.'s risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.