Criora

Kiribati

Region Oceania Subregion Micronesia Income Lower middle income ISO KIR

Kiribati sits mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure, easing recently.

Live events

In real time

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map →
Standing risk

How risky is Kiribati, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
Medium
46 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    Low
    20 / 100
  2. Nature
    Medium
    47 / 100
    ▼ -2.5 5y
  3. Social
    Medium
    40 / 100
  4. Governance
    High
    66 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    Medium
    55 / 100
    ▼ -3.9 5y
Climate futures

Kiribati: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

Sea level

Kiribati: under high emissions, severe coastal flooding could reach 1 of its largest cities.

Most exposed cities

PopulationFlood depth

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+0.24 m → +0.79 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+0.21 m → +0.59 m

River flooding

0%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
0% → 0%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
0% → 0%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0% today.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Score a site

But what about your location?

The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Kiribati.

Where exactly?

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Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Kiribati most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
Very low
0.0 / 10
DRR capacity
Medium
4.2 / 10
Peers

Kiribati in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
Micronesia
#3 of 5median 46
  1. 1PalauLow 39
  2. 2NauruMedium 42
  3. 3KiribatiMedium 46
  4. 4Marshall Is.Medium 47
  5. 5MicronesiaMedium 47
region
Oceania
#9 of 14median 44
  1. 5SamoaMedium 42
  2. 6NauruMedium 42
  3. 7TuvaluMedium 43
  4. 8TongaMedium 46
  5. 9KiribatiMedium 46
  6. 10Marshall Is.Medium 47
  7. 11MicronesiaMedium 47
  8. 12Solomon Is.Medium 48
  9. 13VanuatuMedium 48
  10. 14Papua New GuineaMedium 58
income group
Lower middle income
#15 of 53median 49
  1. 11ParaguayMedium 45
  2. 12AlbaniaMedium 45
  3. 13MongoliaMedium 45
  4. 14TongaMedium 46
  5. 15KiribatiMedium 46
  6. 16Sri LankaMedium 46
  7. 17MoldovaMedium 46
  8. 18eSwatiniMedium 46
  9. 19Marshall Is.Medium 47
  10. 20MicronesiaMedium 47

Put two countries head to head

Compare Kiribati against any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

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Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Kiribati?
Kiribati sits mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure, easing recently. Its overall risk score is 46 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Kiribati's risk?
Kiribati's highest pressures are governance (66, high) and adaptation (55). Its strongest area is climate (20).
How might Kiribati's climate change by 2080?
Kiribati's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will sea levels rise along Kiribati's coast?
Coastal sea level along Kiribati is projected to rise by +0.79 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.59 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Kiribati?
The share of Kiribati exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Kiribati's risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.