Climate risk in Casablanca
Casablanca-Settat, Morocco · 3.2M people in the urban area
What threatens Casablanca most
- Earthquake
- Low GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Morocco
Casablanca's hottest day of 2025 reached 41.3°C.
Rabat: 39.6°C.
Casablanca's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Casablanca's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Perth (Australia).
+1.3°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.3°C
Highest in the warmest month
+0.8°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-18%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Casablanca would stay nearest its own climate today.
Its own climate today is 1.9 σ away. How close the match is: 4.2 σ to the climate of Perth today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Hazards at Casablanca
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Casablanca | Among large cities | In Morocco |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 13 days | Among large cities: above 61% | In Morocco: 2 of 4 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 58 days | Among large cities: above 36% | In Morocco: 4 of 4 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 41.3°C | Among large cities: above 86% | In Morocco: 2 of 4 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.8°C | Among large cities: above 35% | In Morocco: 4 of 4 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 1 day | Among large cities: above 7% | In Morocco: 4 of 4 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions | 228 mm | Among large cities: above 70% | In Morocco: 1 of 3 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.5 m/s² | Among large cities: above 45% | In Morocco: 3 of 4 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 20.55 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Casablanca on the live map
See the hot days around Casablanca on the live map
13 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities in Morocco
Cite or embed
Cite this page
In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Casablanca, Morocco: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/MAR/casablanca BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_MAR_casablanca_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Casablanca, Morocco: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/MAR/casablanca},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
Embed on your site
<iframe src="https://criora.com/embed/atlas/MAR/casablanca" title="Casablanca, Morocco: climate risk, by Criora" width="100%" height="140" loading="lazy" style="max-width:420px;border:0"></iframe> <p><a href="https://criora.com/atlas/MAR/casablanca?ref=embed" rel="nofollow">Source: Criora</a></p>
Free, no account needed. The widget has no script and shows the figures of this page. Keep its link to the source.