Climate risk in Fes
Fes-Meknes, Morocco · 1M people in the urban area
What threatens Fes most
- Water stress
- High WRI Aqueduct
- Drought
- High WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Moderate GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Morocco
Fes's hottest day of 2025 reached 41.4°C.
Casablanca: 41.3°C.
The highest of the 4 large cities in Morocco.
Fes's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Fes is projected to have the climate that Seville (Spain) has today.
+1.7°C
Mean temperature over the year
+2°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.1°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-16%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, the nearest is Seville (Spain), and only in part.
How close the match is: 1.2 σ to the climate of Seville today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Fes stands out
59 days
Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C
Casablanca: 13 days.
The highest of the 4 large cities in Morocco.
Higher than in 83% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at Fes
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Fes | Among large cities | In Morocco |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 59 days | Among large cities: above 83% | In Morocco: 1 of 4 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 69 days | Among large cities: above 39% | In Morocco: 1 of 4 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 41.4°C | Among large cities: above 87% | In Morocco: 1 of 4 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +2°C | Among large cities: above 52% | In Morocco: 1 of 4 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 5 days | Among large cities: above 33% | In Morocco: 2 of 4 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | High (40-80%) | Among large cities: above 56% | In Morocco: 3 of 3 |
| Drought risk | High | Among large cities: above 50% | In Morocco: 2 of 3 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.91 m/s² | Among large cities: above 61% | In Morocco: 1 of 4 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Fes on the live map
See the hot days around Fes on the live map
59 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Fes
- Rabat · Morocco
- Tangier · Morocco
- Casablanca · Morocco
- Cadiz · Spain
Large cities in Morocco
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Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Fes, Morocco: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/MAR/fes BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_MAR_fes_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Fes, Morocco: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/MAR/fes},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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