100%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 100% → 100%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 100% → 100%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 100% today.
Bahrain Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Asia
- Subregion
- Western Asia
- Income
- High income, non-OECD
- ISO
- BHR
Bahrain: low across the board; strong social keeps overall risk contained, easing recently.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Bahrain, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Low 36 / 100
5y
- 28 Climate Low
- 30 Nature -0.3 Low
- 13 Social Very low
- 63 Governance High
- 47 Adaptation -6.6 Medium
Which hazards threaten Bahrain most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 0.0FloodVery low
- 6.1DRR capacityHigh
Bahrain in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
5
Western Asia
#5 of 18 · median 436
Asia
#6 of 48 · median 4710
High income: nonOECD
#10 of 20 · median 36Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Bahrain: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
0%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 0% → 0%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 0% → 0%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0% today.
Sea level
Bahrain: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 1 of its largest cities.
Coastal sea-level rise
20502100
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +0.23 m → +0.75 m
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +0.19 m → +0.49 m
Largest exposed cities
PopulationMax depth
Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.
Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Methane Emissions Per Capita | 12.0 kt CO2e per capita | 100.0 |
Heat Index | 136 index | 100.0 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 0.04 % of total | 100.0 |
Renewable Energy Share | 0.00 % of total energy | 100.0 |
Fossil Fuel Consumption | 100.0 % of total | 100.0 |
Land Surface Temperature | 37.5 deg C change | 86.1 |
Coastal Protection Needed | 84.3 % coast | 79.6 |
Cooling Degree Days | 5768 degree days | 79.0 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 22.1 metric tons | 70.3 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 58.5 ug/m3 | 66.8 |
Energy Imports | -45.5 % of energy use | 65.2 |
Energy Intensity | 9.23 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 46.2 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.12 kt CO2e per capita | 2.7 |
Drought Index (SPEI) | -2.53 index | 0.9 |
Heating Degree Days | 104 degree days | 0.7 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Energy Use Per Capita | 0.00 kg oil eq per capita | 0.0 |
Coal Electricity Share | 0.00 % of total | 0.0 |
Flood Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Dam Capacity | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Population Below 5m | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 3878 % of internal resources | 99.4 |
Forest Area | 0.94 % of land | 99.0 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.97 0-1 | 96.6 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.92 0-1 | 91.8 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.90 0-1 | 89.9 |
Urban Concentration | 0.89 0-1 | 89.1 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.85 0-1 | 84.6 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.84 0-1 | 83.5 |
Protected Areas | 20.5 % of land | 79.3 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.66 0-1 | 65.8 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.61 0-1 | 60.8 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.50 0-1 | 49.8 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.46 0-1 | 45.9 |
Food Production Index | 129 index | 45.4 |
Projected Hydropower Change | 0.44 0-1 | 43.7 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 11.2 % of GNI | 41.1 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.40 0-1 | 40.3 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.36 0-1 | 36.0 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.36 0-1 | 35.9 |
Disaster Preparedness | 0.35 0-1 | 35.0 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.29 0-1 | 28.8 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.27 0-1 | 27.3 |
Projected Population Change | 0.27 0-1 | 26.5 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.22 0-1 | 21.7 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.21 0-1 | 21.2 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.20 0-1 | 20.0 |
Paved Roads | 0.16 0-1 | 16.4 |
Agricultural Land | 10.3 % of land | 11.0 |
Rural Population | 0.11 0-1 | 10.9 |
Access to Improved Sanitation | 0.08 0-1 | 7.9 |
Water Stress | 134 % | 3.5 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 3.00 count | 1.6 |
Access to Reliable Drinking Water | 0.01 0-1 | 1.1 |
Earthquake Risk | 0.10 0-10 | 1.0 |
Ecological Footprint | 0.01 0-1 | 0.8 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 0.25 % of GDP | 0.7 |
Tsunami Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Electricity Access | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Forest Depletion | 0.00 % of GNI | 0.0 |
Tree Cover Loss | 0.00 hectares | 0.0 |
Hospital Beds | 1.74 per 1,000 | 87.6 |
Education Expenditure | 9.30 % of govt | 80.1 |
Overweight Adults | 68.7 % adults | 72.7 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 50.1 ratio F/M | 56.0 |
Net Migration | 20002 persons | 55.7 |
GDP Growth | 3.88 % annual | 47.3 |
Primary School Enrollment | 93.7 % gross | 45.0 |
School Gender Parity | 1.04 ratio | 24.3 |
Labor Participation | 73.2 % (15+) | 24.0 |
ESG Performance Score | 2.29 0-100 | 23.4 |
Fertility Rate | 1.82 births per woman | 20.4 |
Uprooted People | 1.10 0-10 | 11.0 |
Population Density | 1930 people/km2 | 10.3 |
Life Expectancy | 81.3 years | 9.5 |
Adult Literacy Rate | 98.0 % | 8.7 |
Sanitation Access | 92.2 % population | 8.0 |
Children Under 5 | 0.70 0-10 | 7.0 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 8.60 per 1,000 | 6.3 |
Aging Population | 3.64 % population | 5.9 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 5.01 % | 5.8 |
Unemployment Rate | 1.15 % | 2.9 |
Food Security | 0.20 0-10 | 2.0 |
Health Conditions | 0.20 0-10 | 2.0 |
Safe Drinking Water | 98.9 % population | 1.2 |
Aid Dependency | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Development and Deprivation | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Recent Shocks | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Access to Electricity | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Internet Users | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Patent Applications | 3.00 count | 100.0 |
Scientific Articles | 672 count | 99.9 |
Voice and Accountability | -1.38 -2.5 to +2.5 | 77.6 |
Legal Rights Strength | 3.00 0-12 | 75.0 |
Women in Parliament | 20.0 % seats | 67.3 |
Disaster Risk Reduction | 6.10 0-10 | 61.0 |
Political Stability | -0.37 -2.5 to +2.5 | 57.5 |
Control of Corruption | 0.18 -2.5 to +2.5 | 46.4 |
INFORM Governance Index | 4.30 0-10 | 43.0 |
Rule of Law | 0.47 -2.5 to +2.5 | 40.6 |
Government Effectiveness | 0.70 -2.5 to +2.5 | 36.1 |
Regulatory Quality | 1.08 -2.5 to +2.5 | 28.4 |
Healthcare Access | 2.50 0-10 | 25.0 |
Communication Infrastructure | 0.70 0-10 | 7.0 |
Physical Infrastructure | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.01 0-1 | 99.1 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.43 0-1 | 56.9 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.47 0-1 | 53.4 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.51 0-1 | 49.4 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.60 0-1 | 40.2 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.60 0-1 | 39.9 |
Doing Business Score | 0.66 0-1 | 33.9 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.72 0-1 | 28.2 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Bahrain →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Bahrain.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Bahrain?
Bahrain: low across the board; strong social keeps overall risk contained, easing recently. Its overall risk score is 36 out of 100 (low), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Bahrain's risk?
Bahrain's highest pressures are governance (63, high) and adaptation (47). Its strongest area is social (13).
How might Bahrain's climate change by 2080?
Bahrain's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 66 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will sea levels rise along Bahrain's coast?
Coastal sea level along Bahrain is projected to rise by +0.75 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.49 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Bahrain?
The share of Bahrain under high water stress is projected to move from 100% today to 100% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Bahrain?
The share of Bahrain exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Bahrain's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.