Criora

Bahrain

Region Asia Subregion Western Asia Income High income: nonOECD ISO BHR

Bahrain runs low across the board; strong social keeps overall risk contained, easing recently.

Live events

In real time

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map →
Standing risk

How risky is Bahrain, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
Low
36 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    Low
    28 / 100
  2. Nature
    Low
    30 / 100
    ▼ -0.3 5y
  3. Social
    Very low
    13 / 100
  4. Governance
    High
    63 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    Medium
    47 / 100
    ▼ -6.6 5y
Climate futures

Bahrain: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

Sea level

Bahrain: under high emissions, severe coastal flooding could reach 1 of its largest cities.

Most exposed cities

PopulationFlood depth

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+0.23 m → +0.75 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+0.19 m → +0.49 m

Water stress

100%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
100% → 100%
Current path SSP3-7.0
100% → 100%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 100% today.

River flooding

0%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
0% → 0%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
0% → 0%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0% today.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Score a site

But what about your location?

The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Bahrain.

Where exactly?

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Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Bahrain most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
Very low
0.0 / 10
DRR capacity
High
6.2 / 10
Peers

Bahrain in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
Western Asia
#5 of 18median 43
  1. 1PalestineLow 32
  2. 2IsraelLow 35
  3. 3QatarLow 35
  4. 4United Arab EmiratesLow 36
  5. 5BahrainLow 36
  6. 6CyprusLow 37
  7. 7Saudi ArabiaMedium 41
  8. 8OmanMedium 41
  9. 9GeorgiaMedium 42
  10. 10JordanMedium 44
region
Asia
#6 of 48median 47
  1. 2PalestineLow 32
  2. 3IsraelLow 35
  3. 4QatarLow 35
  4. 5United Arab EmiratesLow 36
  5. 6BahrainLow 36
  6. 7South KoreaLow 37
  7. 8CyprusLow 37
  8. 9BruneiLow 39
  9. 10MaldivesMedium 41
  10. 11Saudi ArabiaMedium 41
income group
High income: nonOECD
#10 of 20median 36
  1. 6St. Kitts and NevisLow 35
  2. 7BahamasLow 35
  3. 8QatarLow 35
  4. 9United Arab EmiratesLow 36
  5. 10BahrainLow 36
  6. 11MaltaLow 36
  7. 12AndorraLow 37
  8. 13CyprusLow 37
  9. 14BruneiLow 39
  10. 15Saudi ArabiaMedium 41

Put two countries head to head

Compare Bahrain against any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

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Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Bahrain?
Bahrain runs low across the board; strong social keeps overall risk contained, easing recently. Its overall risk score is 36 out of 100 (low), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Bahrain's risk?
Bahrain's highest pressures are governance (63, high) and adaptation (47). Its strongest area is social (13).
How might Bahrain's climate change by 2080?
Bahrain's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 66 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will sea levels rise along Bahrain's coast?
Coastal sea level along Bahrain is projected to rise by +0.75 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.49 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Bahrain?
The share of Bahrain under high water stress is projected to move from 100% today to 100% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Bahrain?
The share of Bahrain exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Bahrain's risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.