Israel: low across the board; strong social keeps overall risk contained. Its overall risk score is 35 out of 100 (low), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.

What drives Israel's risk?

Israel's highest pressures are adaptation (48, medium) and governance (44). Its strongest area is social (21).

How might Israel's climate change by 2080?

Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 13% of Israel's land shifts toward a drier, more arid zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 69 to 68 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.

How much will Israel warm by 2080?

Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Israel is on track to warm by +3.8 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -19 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.5 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.

How much will sea levels rise along Israel's coast?

Coastal sea level along Israel is projected to rise by +0.77 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.54 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.

How will water stress change in Israel?

The share of Israel under high water stress is projected to move from 57% today to 98% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.

How will river-flood exposure change in Israel?

The share of Israel exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.7% today to 0.1% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.

When was Israel's risk data last updated?

Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.

Israel Climate risk profile and hazard map

Region: Asia
Subregion: Western Asia
Income: High income, OECD
ISO: ISR

Israel: low across the board; strong social keeps overall risk contained.

Live events

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map

How risky is Israel, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Low 35 / 100

23 Climate Low
39 Nature -1.5 Low
21 Social Low
44 Governance Medium
48 Adaptation +1.0 Medium

Which hazards threaten Israel most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

0.3FloodVery low

Israel in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

Western Asia

#2 of 18 · median 43

Asia

#3 of 48 · median 47

High income: OECD

#11 of 31 · median 37

Put two countries head to head

Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

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Israel: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Israel is projected to warm +3.8 °C, with annual rainfall changing -19 mm.

+3.8 °C

Temperature

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +2.8 °C → +3.8 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +2.2 °C → +2.5 °C

Hottest month +5.1 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

-19 mm

Precipitation

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: -12 mm → -19 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: -12 mm → -16 mm

Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

98%

Water stress

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 98% → 98%
Current path SSP3-7.0: 98% → 98%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 57% today.

0.1%

River flooding

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 0.2% → 0.1%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: 0.6% → 0.7%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0.7% today.

Sea level

Israel: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 1 of its largest cities.

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +0.25 m → +0.77 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +0.21 m → +0.54 m

Largest exposed cities

PopulationMax depth

Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

		Year		vs world	vs region
Fossil Fuel Consumption	96.5 % of total	2023	100.0	+34.0	+15.6
Renewable Energy Share	6.20 % of total energy	2021	93.6	+18.2	+3.0
Renewable Electricity Share	7.63 % of total	2021	92.4	+17.3	+9.4
Energy Imports	14.1 % of energy use	2023	89.1	-4.1	-7.6
Coastal Protection Needed	91.2 % coast	2020	88.6	+4.3	-1.7
Land Surface Temperature	34.3 deg C change	2021	79.4	+14.7	+11.9
Cooling Degree Days	2828 degree days	2020	38.7	-13.1	-12.3
Coal Electricity Share	17.5 % of total	2023	37.6	+23.0	-23.2
Drought Index (SPEI)	-1.35 index	2021	29.4	-17.0	-7.0
CO2 Emissions Per Capita	6.35 metric tons	2020	20.2	+12.5	+9.3
PM2.5 Air Pollution	18.6 ug/m3	2020	17.1	-2.1	-9.1
Energy Use Per Capita	2435 kg oil eq per capita	2023	15.3	-1.4	0.0
Energy Intensity	2.30 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP	2022	10.4	-8.8	-8.5
Heating Degree Days	1106 degree days	2020	7.6	+6.1	0.0
N2O Emissions Per Capita	0.29 kt CO2e per capita	2020	6.8	-0.2	+0.7
Flood Risk	0.30 0-10	2026	3.0	-49.0	-62.5
Heat Index	2.92 index	2020	2.1	+2.1	0.0
Access to Clean Fuels	100 % population	2022	0.0	-10.3	-8.7

		Year		vs world	vs region
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate	1.00 0-1	2023	100.0	+92.5	+72.5
Freshwater Withdrawal	204 % of internal resources	2021	93.6	+43.3	+18.0
Forest Area	6.47 % of land	2021	93.2	+26.5	+8.1
Urban Concentration	0.92 0-1	2023	92.3	+34.9	+36.9
Protected Areas	10.5 % of land	2023	89.4	+0.5	-3.8
Health Expenditure Per Capita	0.69 0-1	2023	69.3	-14.9	-12.5
Earthquake Risk	6.90 0-10	2026	69.0	+34.0	+1.5
Food Production Index	105 index	2022	67.7	+0.6	+7.7
Projected Vector Disease Change	0.66 0-1	2023	65.8	0.0	0.0
Age Dependency Ratio	0.64 0-1	2023	64.0	+11.3	+18.4
Environmental Treaties Engagement	0.61 0-1	2023	61.1	-15.2	-19.1
Water Dependency Ratio	0.58 0-1	2023	57.9	+51.0	+50.9
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss	0.46 0-1	2023	45.8	+8.5	+9.1
Projected Hydropower Change	0.44 0-1	2023	43.7	0.0	0.0
Agricultural Capacity	0.44 0-1	2023	43.6	-48.2	-44.9
Projected Biome Distribution Change	0.44 0-1	2023	43.5	-14.1	-11.8
Natural Capital Dependency	0.43 0-1	2023	42.5	+20.7	+16.8
Projected Warm Period Change	0.41 0-1	2023	40.8	-27.0	-24.5
Projected Cereal Yield Change	0.35 0-1	2023	35.1	-51.4	-42.7
Agricultural Land	29.7 % of land	2021	34.8	-11.7	0.0
Quality of Trade Infrastructure	0.33 0-1	2023	33.3	-28.9	-27.7
Projected Population Change	0.32 0-1	2023	32.0	+9.7	+8.4
Protected Biome Areas	0.29 0-1	2023	29.4	-11.6	-15.5
Tsunami Risk	2.70 0-10	2026	27.0	+16.0	+2.0
Food Import Dependency	0.16 0-1	2023	15.6	-6.1	-3.8
Energy Import Dependency	0.14 0-1	2023	14.1	-11.6	-6.6
Projected Groundwater Change	0.13 0-1	2023	12.6	-13.6	-16.0
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact	0.10 0-1	2023	10.5	-3.0	-5.5
Population Below 5m	0.10 0-1	2023	10.3	-4.4	-7.5
Threatened Mammal Species	15.0 count	2018	7.9	+2.7	+1.1
Rural Population	0.08 0-1	2023	7.7	-34.9	-36.9
Projected Flood Hazard Change	0.08 0-1	2023	7.7	-10.7	-4.4
Access to Improved Sanitation	0.04 0-1	2023	3.8	-35.5	-29.4
Agriculture GDP Share	1.29 % of GDP	2023	3.6	-15.3	-18.5
Water Stress	132 %	2021	3.4	+3.1	+2.0
Projected Climate-Related Deaths	0.03 0-1	2023	3.0	-27.3	-18.2
Dependency Ratio	0.03 0-1	2023	2.9	-3.9	-1.0
Ecological Footprint	0.03 0-1	2023	2.9	-19.7	-22.0
Access to Reliable Drinking Water	0.01 0-1	2023	0.5	-19.9	-27.4
Natural Resource Depletion	0.25 % of GNI	2021	0.4	-1.7	-2.2
Tree Cover Loss	29.0 hectares	2021	0.0	-0.1	0.0
Forest Depletion	0.00 % of GNI	2021	0.0	-0.1	0.0
Child Malnutrition	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-13.8	-17.8
Projected Annual Runoff Change	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-39.6	-27.6
Slum Population	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-16.5	-18.8
Paved Roads	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-55.0	-26.8
Electricity Access	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	0.0	0.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Hospital Beds	3.06 per 1,000	2021	78.2	-5.7	-7.1
Primary School Enrollment	96.3 % gross	2022	67.5	+3.9	+3.3
Income Share Bottom 20%	5.60 %	2021	64.8	+24.7	+25.4
Uprooted People	6.10 0-10	2026	61.0	+2.0	+7.5
Net Migration	9999 persons	2023	55.4	+0.4	+0.5
Overweight Adults	54.3 % adults	2022	54.7	-1.3	0.0
School Gender Parity	1.01 ratio	2020	53.3	-3.6	-3.1
GDP Growth	1.83 % annual	2023	50.6	+1.7	+2.8
Education Expenditure	17.5 % of govt	2022	47.2	-17.7	-21.2
Shared Prosperity Growth	1.03 % annual	2021	45.3	-4.9	+29.2
Gini Coefficient	37.9 0-100	2021	44.5	+11.8	+9.7
Fertility Rate	2.85 births per woman	2023	39.3	+16.0	+16.1
Aging Population	12.4 % population	2023	31.2	+14.8	+17.4
Labor Participation	73.6 % (15+)	2023	23.2	-6.9	-8.0
Internet Users	87.0 % population	2023	14.6	-6.3	-1.8
Gender Labor Ratio	90.7 ratio F/M	2023	14.3	-12.7	-25.5
Communicable Disease Deaths	10.3 %	2019	14.1	-2.0	-0.1
ESG Performance Score	2.47 0-100	2018	10.2	-14.8	-16.2
Life Expectancy	83.2 years	2023	10.0	-29.5	-23.2
Unemployment Rate	3.60 %	2023	9.9	-4.3	-1.7
Sanitation Access	96.3 % population	2022	3.9	-36.1	-30.5
Children Under 5	0.30 0-10	2026	3.0	-8.0	-10.0
Population Density	433 people/km2	2021	2.3	+1.8	+1.6
Under-5 Mortality Rate	3.40 per 1,000	2023	1.8	-10.4	-8.7
Safe Drinking Water	99.5 % population	2022	0.6	-20.9	-29.6
Aid Dependency	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-25.0	-21.0
Development and Deprivation	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-30.0	-25.5
Food Security	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-18.0	-18.0
Recent Shocks	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-1.0	-3.0
Access to Electricity	100 % population	2023	0.0	0.0	0.0
Undernourishment	2.50 % population	2022	0.0	-5.8	-5.6
Health Conditions	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-8.0	-4.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Patent Applications	1592 count	2021	99.9	-0.1	-0.1
Scientific Articles	15417 count	2022	98.3	-1.6	-1.5
Political Stability	-1.46 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	79.3	+29.5	+23.7
Women in Parliament	24.2 % seats	2023	60.5	+2.3	-8.7
Legal Rights Strength	6.00 0-12	2019	50.0	0.0	0.0
Voice and Accountability	0.64 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	37.1	-11.8	-28.4
Rule of Law	0.78 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	34.3	-18.7	-18.8
Control of Corruption	0.83 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	33.4	-22.2	-24.9
INFORM Governance Index	3.20 0-10	2026	32.0	-24.0	-25.5
Regulatory Quality	1.12 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	27.6	-25.1	-27.0
Government Effectiveness	1.15 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	27.1	-24.6	-23.6
Communication Infrastructure	0.80 0-10	2026	8.0	-12.0	-6.5
Healthcare Access	0.30 0-10	2026	3.0	-34.0	-30.0
Physical Infrastructure	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-30.0	-29.5
R&D Expenditure	6.02 % of GDP	2022	0.0	-88.0	-97.1

		Year		vs world	vs region
Political Stability (Readiness)	0.32 0-1	2023	68.2	+25.1	+19.9
Social Inequality (Readiness)	0.34 0-1	2023	65.7	+14.2	+22.8
Education (Readiness)	0.34 0-1	2023	65.5	-7.5	-7.4
Doing Business Score	0.46 0-1	2023	54.4	-4.0	+3.3
Control of Corruption (Readiness)	0.62 0-1	2023	38.4	-25.9	-29.4
ICT Infrastructure	0.64 0-1	2023	36.2	-11.5	-9.3
Regulatory Quality (Readiness)	0.66 0-1	2023	33.7	-18.3	-18.1
Rule of Law (Readiness)	0.73 0-1	2023	27.3	-25.3	-26.2
Innovation (Readiness)	0.81 0-1	2023	18.7	-76.0	-75.6

These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.

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Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Israel?
Israel: low across the board; strong social keeps overall risk contained. Its overall risk score is 35 out of 100 (low), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Israel's risk?
Israel's highest pressures are adaptation (48, medium) and governance (44). Its strongest area is social (21).
How might Israel's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 13% of Israel's land shifts toward a drier, more arid zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 69 to 68 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Israel warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Israel is on track to warm by +3.8 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -19 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.5 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Israel's coast?
Coastal sea level along Israel is projected to rise by +0.77 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.54 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Israel?
The share of Israel under high water stress is projected to move from 57% today to 98% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Israel?
The share of Israel exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.7% today to 0.1% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Israel's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.