Climate risk in Tel Aviv
Tel Aviv, Israel · 3.1M people in the urban area
What threatens Tel Aviv most
- Water stress
- Extremely High WRI Aqueduct
- Drought
- High WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Moderate GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Israel
An earthquake's shaking at Tel Aviv can reach 1.99 m/s², as strong as a once-in-475-years event.
Haifa: 2.69 m/s².
Tel Aviv's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Tel Aviv is projected to have a climate no large city has today. The nearest, Tripoli (Libya), is far from it.
No place on Earth matches it well today either. Israel: the place on the map
+1.5°C
Mean temperature over the year
+2°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.1°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-7%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, no large city has such a climate today; the nearest is Tripoli (Libya).
Share this comparison
How close the match is: 5.5 σ to the climate of Tripoli today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Hazards at Tel Aviv
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Tel Aviv | Among large cities | In Israel |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 1 day | Among large cities: above 38% | |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 161 days | Among large cities: above 67% | |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 35.1°C | Among large cities: above 38% | |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +2.1°C | Among large cities: above 55% | |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 2 days | Among large cities: above 16% | |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Extremely High (>80%) | Among large cities: above 70% | |
| Drought risk | High | Among large cities: above 50% | |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 1.99 m/s² | Among large cities: above 80% | |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Tel Aviv on the live map
See the hot days around Tel Aviv on the live map
1 day © OpenStreetMap Large cities in Israel
Cite or embed
Cite this page
In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Tel Aviv, Israel: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/ISR/tel-aviv BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_ISR_tel_aviv_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Tel Aviv, Israel: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/ISR/tel-aviv},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
Embed on your site
<iframe src="https://criora.com/embed/atlas/ISR/tel-aviv" title="Tel Aviv, Israel: climate risk, by Criora" width="100%" height="140" loading="lazy" style="max-width:420px;border:0"></iframe> <p><a href="https://criora.com/atlas/ISR/tel-aviv?ref=embed" rel="nofollow">Source: Criora</a></p>
Free, no account needed. The widget has no script and shows the figures of this page. Keep its link to the source.