Cyprus: low across the board; strong climate keeps overall risk contained. Its overall risk score is 37 out of 100 (low), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.

What drives Cyprus's risk?

Cyprus's highest pressures are governance (55, medium) and adaptation (49). Its strongest area is climate (17).

How might Cyprus's climate change by 2080?

Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 21% of Cyprus's land shifts toward a drier, more arid zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 74 to 72 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.

How much will Cyprus warm by 2080?

Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Cyprus is on track to warm by +3.4 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -50 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.4 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.

How much will sea levels rise along Cyprus's coast?

Coastal sea level along Cyprus is projected to rise by +0.82 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.58 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.

How will water stress change in Cyprus?

The share of Cyprus under high water stress is projected to move from 98% today to 100% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.

How will river-flood exposure change in Cyprus?

The share of Cyprus exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.4% today to 0.4% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.

When was Cyprus's risk data last updated?

Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.

Cyprus Climate risk profile and hazard map

Region: Asia
Subregion: Western Asia
Income: High income, non-OECD
ISO: CYP

Cyprus: low across the board; strong climate keeps overall risk contained.

Live events

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map

How risky is Cyprus, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Low 37 / 100

17 Climate Very low
41 Nature +0.4 Medium
26 Social Low
55 Governance Medium
49 Adaptation -0.1 Medium

Which hazards threaten Cyprus most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

0.0FloodVery low

Cyprus in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

Western Asia

#6 of 18 · median 43

Asia

#8 of 48 · median 47

High income: nonOECD

#13 of 20 · median 36

Put two countries head to head

Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

Compare Score a site here

Cyprus: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Cyprus is projected to warm +3.4 °C, with annual rainfall changing -50 mm.

+3.4 °C

Temperature

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +2.6 °C → +3.4 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +2.1 °C → +2.4 °C

Hottest month +3.7 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

-50 mm

Precipitation

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: -13 mm → -50 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: -17 mm → -24 mm

Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

100%

Water stress

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 100% → 100%
Current path SSP3-7.0: 100% → 100%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 98% today.

0.4%

River flooding

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 0.4% → 0.4%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: 0.4% → 0.4%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0.4% today.

Sea level

Cyprus: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 2 of its largest cities.

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +0.27 m → +0.82 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +0.23 m → +0.58 m

Largest exposed cities

PopulationMax depth

Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

		Year		vs world	vs region
Fossil Fuel Consumption	86.5 % of total	2022	85.9	+13.2	-0.9
Renewable Electricity Share	15.1 % of total	2021	84.9	+9.8	+1.9
Renewable Energy Share	15.6 % of total energy	2021	83.8	+8.4	-6.8
Energy Imports	117 % of energy use	2022	78.2	+7.1	+7.5
Land Surface Temperature	29.9 deg C change	2021	70.4	+5.7	+2.9
Cooling Degree Days	2594 degree days	2020	35.5	-16.3	-15.5
Drought Index (SPEI)	-1.28 index	2021	30.8	-15.6	-5.6
CO2 Emissions Per Capita	5.20 metric tons	2020	16.5	+8.8	+5.6
Energy Intensity	2.36 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP	2022	10.8	-8.4	-8.1
PM2.5 Air Pollution	13.5 ug/m3	2020	10.7	-8.5	-15.5
Energy Use Per Capita	1683 kg oil eq per capita	2022	9.7	+1.4	+0.8
Heating Degree Days	1059 degree days	2020	7.3	+5.8	-0.3
N2O Emissions Per Capita	0.29 kt CO2e per capita	2020	6.7	-0.3	+0.6
Heat Index	0.36 index	2020	0.3	+0.3	-1.8
Flood Risk	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-52.0	-65.5
Access to Clean Fuels	100 % population	2022	0.0	-10.3	-8.7
Coal Electricity Share	0.00 % of total	2021	0.0	0.0	-5.8

		Year		vs world	vs region
Energy Import Dependency	1.00 0-1	2023	100.0	+74.3	+79.3
Dam Capacity	0.94 0-1	2023	93.7	+0.4	+0.1
Protected Areas	11.2 % of land	2023	88.7	-0.2	-4.5
Forest Area	18.7 % of land	2022	80.3	+14.0	-4.6
Freshwater Withdrawal	30.1 % of internal resources	2021	75.0	+24.7	-0.6
Health Expenditure Per Capita	0.74 0-1	2023	73.8	-10.4	-8.0
Earthquake Risk	6.90 0-10	2026	69.0	+34.0	+1.5
Projected Vector Disease Change	0.66 0-1	2023	65.8	0.0	0.0
Food Production Index	109 index	2022	64.6	-2.5	+4.6
Urban Concentration	0.64 0-1	2023	64.4	+7.0	+9.0
Projected Annual Runoff Change	0.62 0-1	2023	62.0	+22.4	+34.4
Agricultural Capacity	0.59 0-1	2023	59.1	-32.7	-29.4
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss	0.56 0-1	2023	56.5	+19.3	+19.8
Quality of Trade Infrastructure	0.56 0-1	2023	56.4	-5.8	-4.6
Environmental Treaties Engagement	0.51 0-1	2023	51.0	-25.3	-29.2
Projected Biome Distribution Change	0.46 0-1	2023	45.9	-11.7	-9.4
Projected Hydropower Change	0.44 0-1	2023	43.7	0.0	0.0
Projected Warm Period Change	0.43 0-1	2023	42.5	-25.3	-22.8
Tsunami Risk	4.00 0-10	2026	40.0	+29.0	+15.0
Age Dependency Ratio	0.40 0-1	2023	39.6	-13.1	-6.0
Water Bodies Extent	61.4 % of land	2020	38.6	+17.0	+10.6
Natural Capital Dependency	0.37 0-1	2023	36.6	+14.8	+10.9
Rural Population	0.36 0-1	2023	35.6	-7.0	-9.0
Paved Roads	0.34 0-1	2023	34.5	-20.5	+7.8
Projected Cereal Yield Change	0.27 0-1	2023	27.1	-59.4	-50.7
Protected Biome Areas	0.27 0-1	2023	26.6	-14.4	-18.3
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate	0.26 0-1	2023	25.8	+18.4	-1.8
Population Below 5m	0.24 0-1	2023	24.4	+9.6	+6.6
Access to Improved Sanitation	0.23 0-1	2023	23.4	-15.9	-9.8
Food Import Dependency	0.22 0-1	2023	21.5	-0.2	+2.1
Projected Population Change	0.20 0-1	2023	19.5	-2.8	-4.1
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact	0.19 0-1	2023	18.9	+5.4	+2.9
Agricultural Land	13.3 % of land	2022	15.3	-32.0	-25.0
Projected Groundwater Change	0.15 0-1	2023	14.7	-11.5	-13.9
Projected Flood Hazard Change	0.10 0-1	2023	9.5	-8.9	-2.6
Ecological Footprint	0.07 0-1	2023	7.0	-15.6	-17.9
Dependency Ratio	0.04 0-1	2023	3.9	-2.9	0.0
Agriculture GDP Share	1.18 % of GDP	2023	3.3	-15.6	-18.8
Threatened Mammal Species	6.00 count	2018	3.1	-2.1	-3.7
Projected Climate-Related Deaths	0.03 0-1	2023	3.0	-27.3	-18.2
Water Stress	32.1 %	2021	0.8	+0.5	-0.6
Access to Reliable Drinking Water	0.00 0-1	2023	0.2	-20.2	-27.7
Water Dependency Ratio	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-6.9	-7.0
Electricity Access	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	0.0	0.0
Tree Cover Loss	643 hectares	2021	0.0	-0.1	0.0
Natural Resource Depletion	0.01 % of GNI	2021	0.0	-2.1	-2.6
Forest Depletion	0.00 % of GNI	2021	0.0	-0.1	0.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Uprooted People	9.20 0-10	2026	92.0	+33.0	+38.5
Hospital Beds	2.24 per 1,000	2019	83.7	+2.8	-0.5
Education Expenditure	12.7 % of govt	2021	70.0	+0.0	0.0
Primary School Enrollment	97.0 % gross	2022	66.8	+3.2	+2.6
School Gender Parity	0.98 ratio	2020	65.2	+8.4	+8.8
Shared Prosperity Growth	2.43 % annual	2022	56.8	-3.0	0.0
Net Migration	8697 persons	2023	55.3	+0.3	+0.4
Overweight Adults	53.8 % adults	2022	54.0	-2.0	-0.7
GDP Growth	2.76 % annual	2023	49.1	+0.2	+1.3
Aging Population	14.3 % population	2023	36.7	+20.3	+22.9
Gini Coefficient	31.5 0-100	2022	24.1	-6.6	+0.2
Sanitation Access	76.8 % population	2022	23.8	-16.2	-10.6
Income Share Bottom 20%	8.70 %	2022	23.6	-20.8	-7.0
Food Security	2.10 0-10	2026	21.0	+3.0	+3.0
Gender Labor Ratio	85.2 ratio F/M	2023	19.9	-7.1	-19.9
Unemployment Rate	6.10 %	2023	17.1	+2.9	+5.5
Life Expectancy	81.6 years	2023	14.8	-24.7	-18.4
Poverty Rate (National)	13.9 % population	2021	14.1	-6.5	-2.6
Labor Participation	79.8 % (15+)	2023	13.8	-16.3	-17.4
Fertility Rate	1.39 births per woman	2023	12.3	-11.0	-10.9
ESG Performance Score	2.47 0-100	2018	10.0	-15.0	-16.4
Internet Users	91.2 % population	2023	9.9	-11.0	-6.5
Communicable Disease Deaths	4.79 %	2019	5.5	-10.6	-8.7
Aid Dependency	0.50 0-10	2026	5.0	-20.0	-16.0
Children Under 5	0.40 0-10	2026	4.0	-7.0	-9.0
Under-5 Mortality Rate	3.50 per 1,000	2023	1.9	-10.3	-8.6
Health Conditions	0.10 0-10	2026	1.0	-7.0	-3.0
Recent Shocks	0.10 0-10	2026	1.0	0.0	-2.0
Adult Literacy Rate	99.4 %	2021	1.0	-5.5	-8.4
Population Density	144 people/km2	2022	0.8	+0.3	+0.2
Safe Drinking Water	99.8 % population	2022	0.3	-21.2	-29.9
Development and Deprivation	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-30.0	-25.5
Access to Electricity	100 % population	2023	0.0	0.0	0.0
Undernourishment	2.50 % population	2022	0.0	-5.8	-5.6

		Year		vs world	vs region
Patent Applications	1.00 count	2021	100.0	0.0	0.0
Scientific Articles	1867 count	2022	99.8	-0.1	0.0
R&D Expenditure	0.75 % of GDP	2022	88.1	+0.1	-9.0
Women in Parliament	14.3 % seats	2023	76.7	+18.5	+7.5
Control of Corruption	0.33 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	43.3	-12.3	-15.0
Political Stability	0.41 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	41.8	-8.0	-13.8
Legal Rights Strength	7.00 0-12	2019	41.7	-8.3	-8.3
INFORM Governance Index	3.90 0-10	2026	39.0	-17.0	-18.5
Rule of Law	0.63 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	37.4	-15.6	-15.7
Government Effectiveness	0.74 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	35.2	-16.5	-15.5
Regulatory Quality	0.78 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	34.4	-18.4	-20.2
Voice and Accountability	0.97 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	30.5	-18.4	-35.0
Communication Infrastructure	0.80 0-10	2026	8.0	-12.0	-6.5
Healthcare Access	0.70 0-10	2026	7.0	-30.0	-26.0
Physical Infrastructure	0.10 0-10	2026	1.0	-29.0	-28.5

		Year		vs world	vs region
Innovation (Readiness)	0.00 0-1	2023	99.6	+4.9	+5.3
Control of Corruption (Readiness)	0.50 0-1	2023	49.8	-14.5	-18.0
Doing Business Score	0.51 0-1	2023	49.3	-9.1	-1.8
Education (Readiness)	0.59 0-1	2023	41.1	-31.9	-31.8
Regulatory Quality (Readiness)	0.63 0-1	2023	36.8	-15.2	-15.0
Political Stability (Readiness)	0.64 0-1	2023	36.0	-7.1	-12.3
Rule of Law (Readiness)	0.66 0-1	2023	34.1	-18.5	-19.4
ICT Infrastructure	0.68 0-1	2023	31.9	-15.8	-13.6

These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.

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But what about your location?

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Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Cyprus?
Cyprus: low across the board; strong climate keeps overall risk contained. Its overall risk score is 37 out of 100 (low), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Cyprus's risk?
Cyprus's highest pressures are governance (55, medium) and adaptation (49). Its strongest area is climate (17).
How might Cyprus's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 21% of Cyprus's land shifts toward a drier, more arid zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 74 to 72 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Cyprus warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Cyprus is on track to warm by +3.4 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -50 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.4 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Cyprus's coast?
Coastal sea level along Cyprus is projected to rise by +0.82 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.58 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Cyprus?
The share of Cyprus under high water stress is projected to move from 98% today to 100% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Cyprus?
The share of Cyprus exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.4% today to 0.4% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Cyprus's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.