Criora

Cyprus

Region Asia Subregion Western Asia Income High income: nonOECD ISO CYP

Cyprus runs low across the board; strong climate keeps overall risk contained.

Live events

In real time

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map →
Standing risk

How risky is Cyprus, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
Low
37 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    Very low
    17 / 100
  2. Nature
    Medium
    41 / 100
    ▲ + 0.4 5y
  3. Social
    Low
    26 / 100
  4. Governance
    Medium
    55 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    Medium
    49 / 100
    ▼ -0.1 5y
Climate futures

Cyprus: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Cyprus is projected to warm +3.4 °C, with annual rainfall changing -50 mm.

Temperature

+3.4 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+2.6 °C → +3.4 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+2.1 °C → +2.4 °C

Hottest month +3.7 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

-50 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
-13 mm → -50 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
-17 mm → -24 mm

Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Cyprus: under high emissions, severe coastal flooding could reach 2 of its largest cities.

Most exposed cities

PopulationFlood depth

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+0.27 m → +0.82 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+0.23 m → +0.58 m

Water stress

100%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
100% → 100%
Current path SSP3-7.0
100% → 100%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 98% today.

River flooding

0.4%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
0.4% → 0.4%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
0.4% → 0.4%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0.4% today.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Score a site

But what about your location?

The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Cyprus.

Where exactly?

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Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Cyprus most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
Very low
0.0 / 10
Peers

Cyprus in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
Western Asia
#6 of 18median 43
  1. 2IsraelLow 35
  2. 3QatarLow 35
  3. 4United Arab EmiratesLow 36
  4. 5BahrainLow 36
  5. 6CyprusLow 37
  6. 7Saudi ArabiaMedium 41
  7. 8OmanMedium 41
  8. 9GeorgiaMedium 42
  9. 10JordanMedium 44
  10. 11ArmeniaMedium 44
region
Asia
#8 of 48median 47
  1. 4QatarLow 35
  2. 5United Arab EmiratesLow 36
  3. 6BahrainLow 36
  4. 7South KoreaLow 37
  5. 8CyprusLow 37
  6. 9BruneiLow 39
  7. 10MaldivesMedium 41
  8. 11Saudi ArabiaMedium 41
  9. 12JapanMedium 41
  10. 13BhutanMedium 41
income group
High income: nonOECD
#13 of 20median 36
  1. 9United Arab EmiratesLow 36
  2. 10BahrainLow 36
  3. 11MaltaLow 36
  4. 12AndorraLow 37
  5. 13CyprusLow 37
  6. 14BruneiLow 39
  7. 15Saudi ArabiaMedium 41
  8. 16OmanMedium 41
  9. 17Trinidad and TobagoMedium 42
  10. 18CroatiaMedium 43

Put two countries head to head

Compare Cyprus against any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

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Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Cyprus?
Cyprus runs low across the board; strong climate keeps overall risk contained. Its overall risk score is 37 out of 100 (low), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Cyprus's risk?
Cyprus's highest pressures are governance (55, medium) and adaptation (49). Its strongest area is climate (17).
How might Cyprus's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 21% of Cyprus's land shifts toward a drier, more arid zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 74 to 72 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Cyprus warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Cyprus is on track to warm by +3.4 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -50 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.4 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Cyprus's coast?
Coastal sea level along Cyprus is projected to rise by +0.82 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.58 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Cyprus?
The share of Cyprus under high water stress is projected to move from 98% today to 100% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Cyprus?
The share of Cyprus exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.4% today to 0.4% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Cyprus's risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.