+3.4 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +2.3 °C → +3.4 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +1.8 °C → +2.3 °C
Hottest month +3.4 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Oman Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Asia
- Subregion
- Western Asia
- Income
- High income, non-OECD
- ISO
- OMN
Oman: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Oman, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Medium 41 / 100
5y
- 36 Climate Low
- 42 Nature +0.0 Medium
- 16 Social Very low
- 62 Governance High
- 50 Adaptation -1.6 Medium
Which hazards threaten Oman most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 1.9FloodVery low
- 3.1DRR capacityLow
Oman in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
8
Western Asia
#8 of 18 · median 4314
Asia
#14 of 48 · median 4716
High income: nonOECD
#16 of 20 · median 36Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Oman: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Oman is projected to warm +3.4 °C, with annual rainfall changing +4 mm.
+4 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +3 mm → +4 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +2 mm → +1 mm
Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
10%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 10% → 10%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 10% → 10%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 10% today.
0%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 0% → 0%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 0.1% → 0%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0% today.
Sea level
Oman: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 6 of its largest cities.
Coastal sea-level rise
20502100
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +0.22 m → +0.75 m
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +0.19 m → +0.51 m
Largest exposed cities
PopulationMax depth
Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.
Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Renewable Energy Share | 0.10 % of total energy | 99.9 |
Fossil Fuel Consumption | 99.7 % of total | 99.7 |
Coastal Protection Needed | 99.2 % coast | 99.0 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 1.95 % of total | 98.1 |
Land Surface Temperature | 43.2 deg C change | 97.7 |
Cooling Degree Days | 6367 degree days | 87.2 |
Heat Index | 72.5 index | 53.2 |
Energy Imports | -214 % of energy use | 51.7 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 15.7 metric tons | 50.1 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 39.6 ug/m3 | 43.2 |
Energy Use Per Capita | 5867 kg oil eq per capita | 34.9 |
Energy Intensity | 7.21 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 34.7 |
Flood Risk | 1.90 0-10 | 19.0 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.23 kt CO2e per capita | 5.3 |
Heating Degree Days | 40.0 degree days | 0.3 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Coal Electricity Share | 0.00 % of total | 0.0 |
Forest Area | 0.01 % of land | 100.0 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Dam Capacity | 1.00 0-1 | 99.5 |
Protected Areas | 1.70 % of land | 98.3 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.95 0-1 | 95.2 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 117 % of internal resources | 90.1 |
Tsunami Risk | 9.00 0-10 | 90.0 |
Urban Concentration | 0.87 0-1 | 87.5 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.81 0-1 | 81.1 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.79 0-1 | 78.8 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.78 0-1 | 78.0 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.66 0-1 | 65.8 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.62 0-1 | 62.4 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.54 0-1 | 53.6 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.53 0-1 | 53.0 |
Paved Roads | 0.51 0-1 | 51.1 |
Projected Population Change | 0.51 0-1 | 50.7 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.46 0-1 | 46.2 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.45 0-1 | 45.1 |
Projected Hydropower Change | 0.44 0-1 | 43.7 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 24.0 % of GNI | 41.8 |
Population Below 5m | 0.41 0-1 | 41.3 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.38 0-1 | 38.4 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.33 0-1 | 33.3 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.28 0-1 | 28.4 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.21 0-1 | 21.3 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.21 0-1 | 21.2 |
Rural Population | 0.13 0-1 | 12.5 |
Access to Reliable Drinking Water | 0.09 0-1 | 9.3 |
Ecological Footprint | 0.08 0-1 | 7.7 |
Food Production Index | 170 index | 7.0 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 2.45 % of GDP | 6.8 |
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact | 0.07 0-1 | 6.7 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 10.0 count | 5.2 |
Agricultural Land | 4.74 % of land | 5.1 |
Water Stress | 117 % | 3.0 |
Earthquake Risk | 0.10 0-10 | 1.0 |
Tree Cover Loss | 0.00 hectares | 0.0 |
Forest Depletion | 0.00 % of GNI | 0.0 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Electricity Access | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Hospital Beds | 1.16 per 1,000 | 92.3 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 35.1 ratio F/M | 71.4 |
Overweight Adults | 66.2 % adults | 69.5 |
Education Expenditure | 14.2 % of govt | 60.6 |
Net Migration | 156285 persons | 60.4 |
GDP Growth | 1.19 % annual | 51.6 |
School Gender Parity | 0.96 ratio | 51.0 |
Primary School Enrollment | 95.6 % gross | 43.6 |
Fertility Rate | 2.52 births per woman | 33.3 |
ESG Performance Score | 2.22 0-100 | 29.0 |
Labor Participation | 70.0 % (15+) | 28.8 |
Food Security | 2.20 0-10 | 22.0 |
Life Expectancy | 80.0 years | 19.9 |
Children Under 5 | 1.70 0-10 | 17.0 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 9.76 % | 13.3 |
Uprooted People | 1.00 0-10 | 10.0 |
Safe Drinking Water | 90.9 % population | 9.7 |
Unemployment Rate | 3.18 % | 8.7 |
Development and Deprivation | 0.80 0-10 | 8.0 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 10.4 per 1,000 | 7.9 |
Undernourishment | 5.70 % population | 6.6 |
Internet Users | 95.3 % population | 5.3 |
Adult Literacy Rate | 97.0 % | 4.1 |
Aging Population | 2.66 % population | 3.1 |
Health Conditions | 0.10 0-10 | 1.0 |
Population Density | 15.3 people/km2 | 0.1 |
Aid Dependency | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Recent Shocks | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Access to Electricity | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Patent Applications | 30.0 count | 100.0 |
Women in Parliament | 0.00 % seats | 100.0 |
Scientific Articles | 1588 count | 99.8 |
Legal Rights Strength | 1.00 0-12 | 91.7 |
R&D Expenditure | 0.37 % of GDP | 79.5 |
Voice and Accountability | -1.00 -2.5 to +2.5 | 70.1 |
Control of Corruption | 0.22 -2.5 to +2.5 | 45.7 |
Government Effectiveness | 0.27 -2.5 to +2.5 | 44.5 |
INFORM Governance Index | 4.20 0-10 | 42.0 |
Regulatory Quality | 0.43 -2.5 to +2.5 | 41.3 |
Political Stability | 0.59 -2.5 to +2.5 | 38.3 |
Rule of Law | 0.61 -2.5 to +2.5 | 37.7 |
Physical Infrastructure | 3.40 0-10 | 34.0 |
Disaster Risk Reduction | 3.10 0-10 | 31.0 |
Healthcare Access | 2.60 0-10 | 26.0 |
Communication Infrastructure | 1.30 0-10 | 13.0 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.03 0-1 | 96.8 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.27 0-1 | 72.7 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.47 0-1 | 52.5 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.56 0-1 | 44.4 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.59 0-1 | 40.9 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.63 0-1 | 37.1 |
Doing Business Score | 0.63 0-1 | 36.5 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.67 0-1 | 32.9 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Oman →But what about your location?
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Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Oman?
Oman: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 41 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Oman's risk?
Oman's highest pressures are governance (62, high) and adaptation (50). Its strongest area is social (16).
How might Oman's climate change by 2080?
Oman's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 66 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Oman warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Oman is on track to warm by +3.4 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +4 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.3 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Oman's coast?
Coastal sea level along Oman is projected to rise by +0.75 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.51 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Oman?
The share of Oman under high water stress is projected to move from 10% today to 10% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Oman?
The share of Oman exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Oman's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.