Criora

Russia

Region Europe Subregion Eastern Europe Income Upper middle income ISO RUS

Russia sits mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure, rising over five years.

Live events

In real time

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map →
Standing risk

How risky is Russia, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
Medium
46 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    High
    62 / 100
  2. Nature
    Low
    32 / 100
    ▲ + 0.1 5y
  3. Social
    Low
    23 / 100
  4. Governance
    High
    64 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    Medium
    51 / 100
    ▲ + 6.7 5y
Climate futures

Russia: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Russia is projected to warm +5.4 °C, with annual rainfall changing +57 mm.

Temperature

+5.4 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+4.1 °C → +5.4 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+3.4 °C → +3.9 °C

Hottest month +4.3 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

+57 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+42 mm → +57 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+39 mm → +45 mm

Driest month +2 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Russia: under high emissions, severe coastal flooding could reach 2 of its largest cities.

Most exposed cities

PopulationFlood depth

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+0.24 m → +0.77 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+0.21 m → +0.52 m

Water stress

3.5%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
2.2% → 3.5%
Current path SSP3-7.0
2.5% → 2.8%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 1.8% today.

River flooding

1.2%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
0.8% → 1.2%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
0.7% → 1%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0.6% today.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Score a site

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Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Russia most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
Critical
8.4 / 10
DRR capacity
Very low
1.5 / 10
Peers

Russia in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
Eastern Europe
#9 of 10median 43
  1. 1CzechiaLow 37
  2. 2PolandLow 39
  3. 3BelarusMedium 41
  4. 4HungaryMedium 42
  5. 5SlovakiaMedium 42
  6. 6BulgariaMedium 43
  7. 7RomaniaMedium 44
  8. 8MoldovaMedium 46
  9. 9RussiaMedium 46
  10. 10UkraineMedium 48
region
Europe
#40 of 43median 38
  1. 34North MacedoniaMedium 43
  2. 35BulgariaMedium 43
  3. 36ItalyMedium 44
  4. 37RomaniaMedium 44
  5. 38AlbaniaMedium 45
  6. 39MoldovaMedium 46
  7. 40RussiaMedium 46
  8. 41SerbiaMedium 47
  9. 42UkraineMedium 48
  10. 43Bosnia and Herz.Medium 49
income group
Upper middle income
#30 of 53median 44
  1. 26BotswanaMedium 44
  2. 27RomaniaMedium 44
  3. 28KazakhstanMedium 45
  4. 29MalaysiaMedium 45
  5. 30RussiaMedium 46
  6. 31TunisiaMedium 46
  7. 32SerbiaMedium 47
  8. 33NamibiaMedium 47
  9. 34GabonMedium 48
  10. 35BrazilMedium 48

Put two countries head to head

Compare Russia against any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

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Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Russia?
Russia sits mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure, rising over five years. Its overall risk score is 46 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Russia's risk?
Russia's highest pressures are governance (64, high) and climate (62). Its strongest area is social (23).
How might Russia's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 9% of Russia's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 69 to 71 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Russia warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Russia is on track to warm by +5.4 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +57 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +3.9 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Russia's coast?
Coastal sea level along Russia is projected to rise by +0.77 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.52 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Russia?
The share of Russia under high water stress is projected to move from 1.8% today to 3.5% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Russia?
The share of Russia exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.6% today to 1.2% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Russia's risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.