Russia: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure, rising over five years. Its overall risk score is 46 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.

What drives Russia's risk?

Russia's highest pressures are governance (63, high) and climate (62). Its strongest area is social (21).

How might Russia's climate change by 2080?

Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 9% of Russia's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 69 to 71 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.

How much will Russia warm by 2080?

Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Russia is on track to warm by +5.4 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +57 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +3.9 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.

How much will sea levels rise along Russia's coast?

Coastal sea level along Russia is projected to rise by +0.77 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.52 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.

How will water stress change in Russia?

The share of Russia under high water stress is projected to move from 1.8% today to 3.5% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.

How will river-flood exposure change in Russia?

The share of Russia exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.6% today to 1.2% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.

When was Russia's risk data last updated?

Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.

Russia Climate risk profile and hazard map

Region: Europe
Subregion: Eastern Europe
Income: Upper middle income
ISO: RUS

Russia: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure, rising over five years.

Live events

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map

How risky is Russia, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Medium 46 / 100

62 Climate High
32 Nature +0.1 Low
21 Social Low
63 Governance High
51 Adaptation +6.7 Medium

Which hazards threaten Russia most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

8.4FloodCritical
1.6DRR capacityVery low

Russia in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

Eastern Europe

#8 of 10 · median 43

Europe

#39 of 43 · median 38

Upper middle income

#30 of 53 · median 44

Put two countries head to head

Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

Compare Score a site here

Russia: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Russia is projected to warm +5.4 °C, with annual rainfall changing +57 mm.

+5.4 °C

Temperature

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +4.1 °C → +5.4 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +3.4 °C → +3.9 °C

Hottest month +4.3 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

+57 mm

Precipitation

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +42 mm → +57 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +39 mm → +45 mm

Driest month +2 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

3.5%

Water stress

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 2.2% → 3.5%
Current path SSP3-7.0: 2.5% → 2.8%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 1.8% today.

1.2%

River flooding

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 0.8% → 1.2%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: 0.7% → 1%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0.6% today.

Sea level

Russia: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 2 of its largest cities.

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +0.24 m → +0.77 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +0.21 m → +0.52 m

Largest exposed cities

PopulationMax depth

Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

		Year		vs world	vs region
Renewable Energy Share	3.50 % of total energy	2021	96.4	+21.0	+18.6
Heating Degree Days	13023 degree days	2020	89.5	+88.0	+52.7
Fossil Fuel Consumption	89.5 % of total	2022	89.0	+16.3	+20.3
Flood Risk	8.40 0-10	2026	84.0	+32.0	+25.0
Renewable Electricity Share	19.2 % of total	2021	80.8	+5.7	+20.7
Coastal Protection Needed	84.0 % coast	2020	79.2	-5.1	0.0
Energy Imports	-75.1 % of energy use	2022	62.8	-8.3	-10.4
Energy Intensity	8.46 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP	2021	41.8	+25.1	+29.6
CO2 Emissions Per Capita	11.1 metric tons	2020	35.5	+27.8	+20.5
Energy Use Per Capita	5601 kg oil eq per capita	2022	33.3	+25.0	+17.9
Coal Electricity Share	16.3 % of total	2022	16.9	+0.2	+5.5
N2O Emissions Per Capita	0.48 kt CO2e per capita	2020	11.1	+4.1	+0.5
PM2.5 Air Pollution	11.3 ug/m3	2020	7.9	-11.3	0.0
Cooling Degree Days	164 degree days	2020	2.2	-49.6	-1.5
Access to Clean Fuels	99.4 % population	2022	0.6	-9.7	+0.6
Heat Index	0.00 index	2020	0.0	-0.1	0.0
Land Surface Temperature	-4.26 deg C change	2021	0.0	-64.7	-38.4

		Year		vs world	vs region
Tree Cover Loss	6518852 hectares	2021	100.0	+99.9	+99.8
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss	1.00 0-1	2023	100.0	+62.8	+60.4
Agricultural Capacity	0.97 0-1	2023	97.4	+5.6	+14.7
Protected Areas	8.60 % of land	2023	91.4	+2.5	+9.3
Projected Annual Runoff Change	0.89 0-1	2023	89.0	+49.4	+65.3
Projected Warm Period Change	0.88 0-1	2023	88.0	+20.3	+14.5
Urban Concentration	0.73 0-1	2023	73.4	+16.0	+1.2
Health Expenditure Per Capita	0.68 0-1	2023	67.7	-16.5	+7.9
Projected Vector Disease Change	0.66 0-1	2023	65.8	0.0	0.0
Projected Biome Distribution Change	0.65 0-1	2023	64.7	+7.1	-1.2
Quality of Trade Infrastructure	0.59 0-1	2023	59.0	-3.1	+20.5
Age Dependency Ratio	0.49 0-1	2023	49.1	-3.6	-3.0
Food Production Index	126 index	2022	48.0	-19.1	-24.3
Forest Area	49.8 % of land	2022	47.3	-19.0	-17.3
Earthquake Risk	4.20 0-10	2026	42.0	+7.0	+10.5
Tsunami Risk	4.10 0-10	2026	41.0	+30.0	+41.0
Projected Groundwater Change	0.40 0-1	2023	40.0	+13.8	+14.4
Access to Improved Sanitation	0.39 0-1	2023	39.2	-0.0	+28.8
Paved Roads	0.33 0-1	2023	32.9	-22.1	+22.8
Environmental Treaties Engagement	0.32 0-1	2023	32.0	-44.3	-14.1
Projected Cereal Yield Change	0.27 0-1	2023	27.3	-59.2	-3.5
Rural Population	0.27 0-1	2023	26.6	-16.0	-1.2
Projected Hydropower Change	0.26 0-1	2023	26.2	-17.5	-19.2
Access to Reliable Drinking Water	0.24 0-1	2023	24.1	+3.7	+22.0
Protected Biome Areas	0.22 0-1	2023	22.2	-18.8	+2.7
Freshwater Withdrawal	1.50 % of internal resources	2021	20.9	-29.4	-29.4
Ecological Footprint	0.20 0-1	2023	20.1	-2.5	+16.1
Threatened Mammal Species	34.0 count	2018	17.8	+12.6	+15.7
Food Import Dependency	0.17 0-1	2023	16.8	-4.9	+0.1
Natural Resource Depletion	9.46 % of GNI	2021	16.5	+14.4	+16.2
Agricultural Land	13.2 % of land	2022	15.1	-32.2	-35.9
Child Malnutrition	0.14 0-1	2023	13.6	-0.2	+13.6
Natural Capital Dependency	0.09 0-1	2023	8.6	-13.2	-19.9
Agriculture GDP Share	2.97 % of GDP	2023	8.3	-10.6	+2.2
Projected Flood Hazard Change	0.07 0-1	2023	7.5	-10.9	-2.1
Disaster Preparedness	0.07 0-1	2023	7.5	-22.5	-25.0
Projected Population Change	0.07 0-1	2023	7.0	-15.3	-1.6
Projected Climate-Related Deaths	0.06 0-1	2023	6.1	-24.2	+3.1
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact	0.06 0-1	2023	6.0	-7.5	-4.4
Population Below 5m	0.06 0-1	2023	5.8	-8.9	-3.8
Water Dependency Ratio	0.05 0-1	2023	4.7	-2.2	-10.5
Water Bodies Extent	96.0 % of land	2020	4.0	-17.6	-15.1
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate	0.01 0-1	2023	1.3	-6.2	-6.5
Dependency Ratio	0.00 0-1	2023	0.2	-6.6	+0.2
Water Stress	4.12 %	2021	0.1	-0.2	-0.1
Forest Depletion	0.00 % of GNI	2021	0.0	-0.1	0.0
Dam Capacity	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-93.3	-91.5
Energy Import Dependency	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-25.7	-48.9
Electricity Access	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	0.0	0.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Education Expenditure	8.94 % of govt	2020	84.0	+12.8	+5.0
Overweight Adults	58.8 % adults	2022	60.2	+4.2	+2.9
Net Migration	27807 persons	2023	56.0	+1.0	+0.8
Shared Prosperity Growth	0.38 % annual	2021	52.4	+2.2	+2.4
Uprooted People	4.80 0-10	2026	48.0	-11.0	-21.5
GDP Growth	4.08 % annual	2023	47.0	-1.9	-3.3
Income Share Bottom 20%	6.90 %	2021	46.5	+6.4	+12.0
Hospital Beds	7.03 per 1,000	2021	46.2	-37.7	-20.9
Aging Population	16.6 % population	2023	43.2	+26.8	-10.2
Primary School Enrollment	97.7 % gross	2023	42.0	0.0	-2.0
Life Expectancy	73.3 years	2023	41.1	+1.6	+25.9
Sanitation Access	61.2 % population	2022	39.9	-0.1	+29.6
School Gender Parity	0.98 ratio	2019	38.5	+5.5	+4.5
Gini Coefficient	35.1 0-100	2021	35.5	+2.8	+11.4
Gender Labor Ratio	79.4 ratio F/M	2023	25.8	-1.2	+4.5
Safe Drinking Water	76.2 % population	2022	25.3	+3.8	+23.3
ESG Performance Score	2.32 0-100	2018	21.8	-3.2	+8.6
Poverty Rate (National)	12.1 % population	2020	21.5	-12.7	-6.4
Labor Participation	75.7 % (15+)	2023	20.0	-10.1	+1.4
Development and Deprivation	1.40 0-10	2026	14.0	-16.0	+14.0
Fertility Rate	1.41 births per woman	2023	12.7	-10.6	-0.6
Internet Users	92.2 % population	2023	8.8	-12.1	-0.8
Unemployment Rate	3.08 %	2023	8.4	-5.8	-6.7
Communicable Disease Deaths	3.90 %	2019	4.1	-12.0	-1.3
Food Security	0.40 0-10	2026	4.0	-14.0	-3.5
Children Under 5	0.40 0-10	2026	4.0	-7.0	+1.0
Health Conditions	0.30 0-10	2026	3.0	-5.0	+1.0
Under-5 Mortality Rate	4.50 per 1,000	2023	2.7	-9.5	+0.9
Aid Dependency	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-25.0	-6.0
Recent Shocks	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-1.0	0.0
Access to Electricity	100 % population	2023	0.0	0.0	0.0
Undernourishment	2.50 % population	2022	0.0	-5.8	0.0
Population Density	8.81 people/km2	2022	0.0	-0.5	-0.5
Adult Literacy Rate	100 %	2021	0.0	-6.5	-0.8

		Year		vs world	vs region
Patent Applications	19569 count	2021	98.6	-1.4	-1.4
Scientific Articles	84252 count	2022	90.6	-9.3	-8.4
R&D Expenditure	0.93 % of GDP	2022	85.1	-2.9	+8.0
Voice and Accountability	-1.29 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	75.7	+26.9	+47.2
Rule of Law	-1.19 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	73.8	+20.8	+45.2
Women in Parliament	16.4 % seats	2023	73.2	+15.0	+29.7
Political Stability	-1.13 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	72.7	+22.9	+34.7
Regulatory Quality	-1.12 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	72.4	+19.7	+41.0
Control of Corruption	-1.10 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	72.1	+16.5	+37.5
INFORM Governance Index	6.70 0-10	2026	67.0	+11.0	+30.5
Government Effectiveness	-0.71 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	64.2	+12.5	+34.9
Physical Infrastructure	3.50 0-10	2026	35.0	+5.0	+34.0
Legal Rights Strength	9.00 0-12	2019	25.0	-25.0	-25.0
Disaster Risk Reduction	1.60 0-10	2026	16.0	-25.5	-19.0
Communication Infrastructure	0.30 0-10	2026	3.0	-17.0	-11.0
Healthcare Access	0.20 0-10	2026	2.0	-35.0	-3.5

		Year		vs world	vs region
Control of Corruption (Readiness)	0.17 0-1	2023	82.9	+18.6	+43.1
Regulatory Quality (Readiness)	0.28 0-1	2023	72.4	+20.5	+44.3
Rule of Law (Readiness)	0.28 0-1	2023	71.8	+19.2	+40.7
Education (Readiness)	0.32 0-1	2023	67.7	-5.3	+12.8
Political Stability (Readiness)	0.37 0-1	2023	62.5	+19.4	+29.8
Social Inequality (Readiness)	0.49 0-1	2023	51.5	0.0	+13.4
ICT Infrastructure	0.61 0-1	2023	39.2	-8.5	+6.0
Innovation (Readiness)	0.65 0-1	2023	35.3	-59.4	-39.2
Doing Business Score	0.68 0-1	2023	31.7	-26.7	-12.5

These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.

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Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Russia?
Russia: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure, rising over five years. Its overall risk score is 46 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Russia's risk?
Russia's highest pressures are governance (63, high) and climate (62). Its strongest area is social (21).
How might Russia's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 9% of Russia's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 69 to 71 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Russia warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Russia is on track to warm by +5.4 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +57 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +3.9 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Russia's coast?
Coastal sea level along Russia is projected to rise by +0.77 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.52 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Russia?
The share of Russia under high water stress is projected to move from 1.8% today to 3.5% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Russia?
The share of Russia exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.6% today to 1.2% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Russia's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.