Climate risk in Novosibirsk
Novosibirsk Oblast, Russia · 1.4M people in the urban area
What threatens Novosibirsk most
- Drought
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Water stress
- Low WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Low GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Russia
Novosibirsk is projected to be +2.8°C warmer by 2050 under moderate emissions.
Moscow: +2.6°C.
Novosibirsk's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Novosibirsk is projected to have the climate that Chelyabinsk (Russia) has today.
+2.3°C
Mean temperature over the year
+2.4°C
Highest in the warmest month
+2.5°C
Lowest in the coldest month
+6%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Novosibirsk would have the climate that Samara (Russia) has today.
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How close the match is: 0.3 σ to the climate of Chelyabinsk today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Novosibirsk stands out
1%
Land burned in an average year
Moscow: 0%.
Higher than in 83% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at Novosibirsk
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Novosibirsk | Among large cities | In Russia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 0 days | ||
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 1 day | Among large cities: above 14% | In Russia: 4 of 14 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 32.1°C | Among large cities: above 16% | In Russia: 11 of 14 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +2.8°C | Among large cities: above 98% | In Russia: 4 of 14 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 1 day | Among large cities: above 7% | In Russia: 7 of 14 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Low (<10%) | Among large cities: above 0% | In Russia: 4 of 14 |
| Drought risk | Medium-High | Among large cities: above 13% | In Russia: 12 of 14 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.21 m/s² | Among large cities: above 23% | In Russia: 7 of 14 |
| Land burned in an average year | 1% | Among large cities: above 83% | In Russia: 3 of 14 |
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Novosibirsk on the live map
See the land burned around Novosibirsk on the live map
1% © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Novosibirsk
- Omsk · Russia
- Krasnoyarsk · Russia
- Ürümqi · China
- Chelyabinsk · Russia
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Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Novosibirsk, Russia: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/RUS/novosibirsk BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_RUS_novosibirsk_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Novosibirsk, Russia: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/RUS/novosibirsk},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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