Climate risk in Volgograd
Volgograd Oblast, Russia · 1M people in the urban area
What threatens Volgograd most
- Drought
- High WRI Aqueduct
- Water stress
- Low WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Low GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Russia
Volgograd is projected to be +2.9°C warmer by 2050 under moderate emissions.
Moscow: +2.6°C.
Volgograd's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Volgograd's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Rostov-on-Don (Russia).
+2°C
Mean temperature over the year
+2.5°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.9°C
Lowest in the coldest month
0%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Volgograd would stay nearest its own climate today.
Its own climate today is 0.4 σ away. How close the match is: 1.4 σ to the climate of Rostov-on-Don today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Volgograd stands out
2%
Land burned in an average year
Moscow: 0%.
Higher than in 93% of the world's 630 large cities
39.6°C
Hottest day of 2025
Moscow: 34.2°C.
Higher than in 75% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at Volgograd
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Volgograd | Among large cities | In Russia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 12 days | Among large cities: above 60% | In Russia: 2 of 14 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 21 days | Among large cities: above 27% | In Russia: 2 of 14 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 39.6°C | Among large cities: above 75% | In Russia: 2 of 14 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +2.9°C | Among large cities: above 99% | In Russia: 3 of 14 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 0 days | ||
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Low (<10%) | Among large cities: above 0% | In Russia: 4 of 14 |
| Drought risk | High | Among large cities: above 50% | In Russia: 3 of 14 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.31 m/s² | Among large cities: above 32% | In Russia: 5 of 14 |
| Land burned in an average year | 2% | Among large cities: above 93% | In Russia: 2 of 14 |
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Volgograd on the live map
See the land burned around Volgograd on the live map
2% © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Volgograd
- Rostov-on-Don · Russia
- Voronezh · Russia
- Kharkiv · Ukraine
- Samara · Russia
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Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Volgograd, Russia: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/RUS/volgograd BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_RUS_volgograd_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Volgograd, Russia: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/RUS/volgograd},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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