Climate risk in St Petersburg
St. Petersburg, Russia · 4.6M people in the urban area
What threatens St Petersburg most
- Drought
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Water stress
- Low WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Low GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Russia
St Petersburg is projected to be +3°C warmer by 2050 under moderate emissions.
Moscow: +2.6°C.
St Petersburg's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, St Petersburg's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Gdansk (Poland).
+2.2°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.9°C
Highest in the warmest month
+2.9°C
Lowest in the coldest month
+3%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, St Petersburg would have the climate that Toronto (Canada) has today.
Its own climate today is 0.9 σ away. How close the match is: 1.5 σ to the climate of Gdansk today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 1 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else St Petersburg stands out
242 mm
Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions
Gdansk: 282 mm.
Higher than in 78% of the world's 205 large cities
Hazards at St Petersburg
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | St Petersburg | Among large cities | In Russia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 0 days | ||
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 1 day | Among large cities: above 14% | In Russia: 4 of 14 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 30.3°C | Among large cities: above 8% | In Russia: 13 of 14 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +3°C | Among large cities: above 100% | In Russia: 2 of 14 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 2 days | Among large cities: above 16% | In Russia: 3 of 14 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions | 242 mm | Among large cities: above 78% | |
| Water stress | Low (<10%) | Among large cities: above 0% | In Russia: 4 of 14 |
| Drought risk | Medium-High | Among large cities: above 13% | In Russia: 12 of 14 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.13 m/s² | Among large cities: above 15% | In Russia: 11 of 14 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around St Petersburg on the live map
See the sea level rise around St Petersburg on the live map
242 mm © OpenStreetMap Cite or embed
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In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). St Petersburg, Russia: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/RUS/st-petersburg BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_RUS_st_petersburg_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {St Petersburg, Russia: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/RUS/st-petersburg},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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