+3.8 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +3.3 °C → +3.8 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +2.3 °C → +2.7 °C
Hottest month +6.8 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Croatia Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Europe
- Subregion
- Southern Europe
- Income
- High income, non-OECD
- ISO
- HRV
Croatia: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Croatia, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Medium 43 / 100
5y
- 48 Climate Medium
- 40 Nature +0.6 Low
- 22 Social Low
- 55 Governance Medium
- 51 Adaptation -0.7 Medium
Which hazards threaten Croatia most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 6.8FloodHigh
Croatia in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
10
Southern Europe
#10 of 14 · median 4234
Europe
#34 of 43 · median 3818
High income: nonOECD
#18 of 20 · median 36Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Croatia: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Croatia is projected to warm +3.8 °C, with annual rainfall changing +4 mm.
+4 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +5 mm → +4 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +22 mm → +17 mm
Driest month -2 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
0%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 0% → 0%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 0% → 0%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.
1.5%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 2% → 1.5%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 2.3% → 2.3%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 1.3% today.
Sea level
Croatia: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 6 of its largest cities.
Coastal sea-level rise
20502100
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +0.21 m → +0.68 m
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +0.18 m → +0.49 m
Largest exposed cities
PopulationMax depth
Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.
Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Energy Imports | 61.9 % of energy use | 73.8 |
Flood Risk | 6.80 0-10 | 68.0 |
Fossil Fuel Consumption | 68.0 % of total | 66.6 |
Renewable Energy Share | 34.1 % of total energy | 64.6 |
Land Surface Temperature | 17.4 deg C change | 44.7 |
Drought Index (SPEI) | -0.94 index | 37.5 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 69.9 % of total | 30.1 |
Heating Degree Days | 4340 degree days | 29.8 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 16.1 ug/m3 | 14.0 |
Energy Intensity | 2.75 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 13.9 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 3.99 metric tons | 12.6 |
Energy Use Per Capita | 2155 kg oil eq per capita | 12.6 |
Coal Electricity Share | 11.0 % of total | 11.4 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.45 kt CO2e per capita | 10.6 |
Cooling Degree Days | 663 degree days | 9.1 |
Heat Index | 0.00 index | 0.0 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Dam Capacity | 0.94 0-1 | 93.8 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.94 0-1 | 93.6 |
Food Production Index | 89.5 index | 82.7 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.81 0-1 | 81.4 |
Protected Areas | 23.9 % of land | 75.9 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.72 0-1 | 72.0 |
Projected Hydropower Change | 0.67 0-1 | 67.3 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.66 0-1 | 65.8 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.64 0-1 | 64.3 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.64 0-1 | 63.8 |
Forest Area | 34.7 % of land | 63.2 |
Tsunami Risk | 5.80 0-10 | 58.0 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.58 0-1 | 57.6 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.57 0-1 | 57.0 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.56 0-1 | 56.3 |
Earthquake Risk | 5.60 0-10 | 56.0 |
Urban Concentration | 0.55 0-1 | 55.4 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.51 0-1 | 51.3 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.49 0-1 | 49.0 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.48 0-1 | 48.4 |
Rural Population | 0.45 0-1 | 44.6 |
Water Bodies Extent | 55.9 % of land | 44.1 |
Agricultural Land | 25.9 % of land | 30.2 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.30 0-1 | 29.8 |
Population Below 5m | 0.26 0-1 | 26.1 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.26 0-1 | 25.8 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.24 0-1 | 24.4 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.23 0-1 | 23.3 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 1.76 % of internal resources | 23.3 |
Access to Improved Sanitation | 0.22 0-1 | 22.3 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.22 0-1 | 21.7 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.18 0-1 | 17.5 |
Access to Reliable Drinking Water | 0.15 0-1 | 14.8 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 3.36 % of GDP | 9.3 |
Paved Roads | 0.09 0-1 | 9.0 |
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact | 0.08 0-1 | 7.9 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 9.00 count | 4.7 |
Ecological Footprint | 0.05 0-1 | 4.5 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.03 0-1 | 3.0 |
Projected Population Change | 0.03 0-1 | 2.9 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.01 0-1 | 1.5 |
Forest Depletion | 0.15 % of GNI | 0.9 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 0.46 % of GNI | 0.8 |
Tree Cover Loss | 5264 hectares | 0.1 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Electricity Access | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Water Stress | 1.48 % | 0.0 |
Education Expenditure | 10.7 % of govt | 76.8 |
Overweight Adults | 64.2 % adults | 67.1 |
Primary School Enrollment | 101 % gross | 62.8 |
Aging Population | 22.8 % population | 61.1 |
Hospital Beds | 5.60 per 1,000 | 56.9 |
Net Migration | 10202 persons | 55.4 |
Uprooted People | 5.30 0-10 | 53.0 |
GDP Growth | 3.30 % annual | 48.2 |
School Gender Parity | 1.04 ratio | 43.5 |
Income Share Bottom 20% | 7.90 % | 34.7 |
Shared Prosperity Growth | 5.14 % annual | 32.8 |
Labor Participation | 69.9 % (15+) | 29.0 |
Life Expectancy | 78.5 years | 24.8 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 81.5 ratio F/M | 23.7 |
Sanitation Access | 78.0 % population | 22.7 |
Poverty Rate (National) | 18.0 % population | 20.0 |
Gini Coefficient | 30.0 0-100 | 19.2 |
Internet Users | 83.2 % population | 18.9 |
Unemployment Rate | 6.09 % | 17.0 |
Aid Dependency | 1.40 0-10 | 14.0 |
Fertility Rate | 1.46 births per woman | 13.7 |
ESG Performance Score | 2.43 0-100 | 13.3 |
Food Security | 0.60 0-10 | 6.0 |
Children Under 5 | 0.40 0-10 | 4.0 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 3.40 % | 3.3 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 4.60 per 1,000 | 2.8 |
Development and Deprivation | 0.20 0-10 | 2.0 |
Health Conditions | 0.10 0-10 | 1.0 |
Adult Literacy Rate | 99.4 % | 0.9 |
Population Density | 68.9 people/km2 | 0.4 |
Access to Electricity | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Undernourishment | 2.50 % population | 0.0 |
Recent Shocks | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Patent Applications | 77.0 count | 100.0 |
Scientific Articles | 5711 count | 99.4 |
R&D Expenditure | 1.40 % of GDP | 77.1 |
Legal Rights Strength | 5.00 0-12 | 58.3 |
Women in Parliament | 31.8 % seats | 48.1 |
Control of Corruption | 0.18 -2.5 to +2.5 | 46.4 |
INFORM Governance Index | 4.50 0-10 | 45.0 |
Rule of Law | 0.36 -2.5 to +2.5 | 42.8 |
Voice and Accountability | 0.57 -2.5 to +2.5 | 38.6 |
Political Stability | 0.60 -2.5 to +2.5 | 38.0 |
Regulatory Quality | 0.64 -2.5 to +2.5 | 37.1 |
Government Effectiveness | 0.71 -2.5 to +2.5 | 35.7 |
Communication Infrastructure | 1.40 0-10 | 14.0 |
Healthcare Access | 0.40 0-10 | 4.0 |
Physical Infrastructure | 0.20 0-10 | 2.0 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.09 0-1 | 90.5 |
Doing Business Score | 0.44 0-1 | 55.9 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.47 0-1 | 53.3 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.48 0-1 | 51.6 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.58 0-1 | 42.0 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.60 0-1 | 40.3 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.62 0-1 | 37.8 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.63 0-1 | 36.8 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.67 0-1 | 32.7 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Croatia →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Croatia.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Croatia?
Croatia: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 43 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Croatia's risk?
Croatia's highest pressures are governance (55, medium) and adaptation (51). Its strongest area is social (22).
How might Croatia's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 11% of Croatia's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 75 to 76 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Croatia warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Croatia is on track to warm by +3.8 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +4 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.7 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Croatia's coast?
Coastal sea level along Croatia is projected to rise by +0.68 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.49 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Croatia?
The share of Croatia under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Croatia?
The share of Croatia exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 1.3% today to 1.5% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Croatia's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.