Jordan: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure, easing recently. Its overall risk score is 44 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.

What drives Jordan's risk?

Jordan's highest pressures are governance (62, high) and adaptation (59). Its strongest area is climate (21).

How might Jordan's climate change by 2080?

Jordan's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 66 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.

How much will Jordan warm by 2080?

Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Jordan is on track to warm by +4.3 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -4 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.8 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.

How much will sea levels rise along Jordan's coast?

Coastal sea level along Jordan is projected to rise by +0.75 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.52 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.

How will water stress change in Jordan?

The share of Jordan under high water stress is projected to move from 21% today to 37% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.

How will river-flood exposure change in Jordan?

The share of Jordan exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.3% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.

When was Jordan's risk data last updated?

Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.

Jordan Climate risk profile and hazard map

Region: Asia
Subregion: Western Asia
Income: Upper middle income
ISO: JOR

Jordan: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure, easing recently.

Live events

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map

How risky is Jordan, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Medium 44 / 100

21 Climate Low
35 Nature -2.3 Low
45 Social Medium
62 Governance High
59 Adaptation -1.7 Medium

Which hazards threaten Jordan most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

0.4FloodVery low
3.2DRR capacityLow

Jordan in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

Western Asia

#11 of 18 · median 43

Asia

#18 of 48 · median 47

Upper middle income

#26 of 53 · median 44

Put two countries head to head

Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

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Jordan: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Jordan is projected to warm +4.3 °C, with annual rainfall changing -4 mm.

+4.3 °C

Temperature

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +3.1 °C → +4.3 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +2.5 °C → +2.8 °C

Hottest month +5.5 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

-4 mm

Precipitation

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: -3 mm → -4 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: -3 mm → -4 mm

Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

37%

Water stress

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 37% → 37%
Current path SSP3-7.0: 37% → 37%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 21% today.

River flooding

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 0.2% → 0%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: 0.1% → 0.3%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0.3% today.

Sea level

Jordan: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 1 of its largest cities.

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +0.24 m → +0.75 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +0.20 m → +0.52 m

Largest exposed cities

PopulationMax depth

Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

		Year		vs world	vs region
Fossil Fuel Consumption	91.1 % of total	2022	90.7	+18.0	+3.9
Renewable Energy Share	11.5 % of total energy	2021	88.1	+12.7	-2.5
Coastal Protection Needed	90.1 % coast	2020	87.2	+2.9	-3.1
Land Surface Temperature	35.6 deg C change	2021	82.0	+17.3	+14.5
Energy Imports	96.4 % of energy use	2022	76.5	+5.4	+5.8
Renewable Electricity Share	24.9 % of total	2021	75.1	0.0	-7.9
Cooling Degree Days	3113 degree days	2020	42.6	-9.2	-8.4
PM2.5 Air Pollution	28.8 ug/m3	2020	29.8	+10.6	+3.6
Drought Index (SPEI)	-1.82 index	2021	20.1	-26.3	-16.3
Energy Intensity	3.39 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP	2021	13.0	-3.6	-5.4
Heating Degree Days	1798 degree days	2020	12.4	+11.0	+4.8
CO2 Emissions Per Capita	1.93 metric tons	2020	6.1	-1.6	-4.8
Energy Use Per Capita	754 kg oil eq per capita	2022	4.1	-4.2	-4.8
Flood Risk	0.40 0-10	2026	4.0	-48.0	-61.5
N2O Emissions Per Capita	0.11 kt CO2e per capita	2020	2.6	-4.4	-3.5
Heat Index	1.75 index	2020	1.3	+1.3	-0.8
Access to Clean Fuels	99.8 % population	2022	0.2	-10.1	-8.5
Coal Electricity Share	0.00 % of total	2021	0.0	0.0	-5.8

		Year		vs world	vs region
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate	1.00 0-1	2023	100.0	+92.5	+72.5
Dam Capacity	0.99 0-1	2023	99.4	+6.1	+5.8
Forest Area	1.10 % of land	2022	98.8	+32.5	+13.9
Energy Import Dependency	0.96 0-1	2023	96.4	+70.7	+75.7
Protected Areas	4.50 % of land	2023	95.5	+6.6	+2.3
Urban Concentration	0.91 0-1	2023	91.4	+34.0	+36.0
Freshwater Withdrawal	136 % of internal resources	2021	91.3	+41.0	+15.7
Agricultural Capacity	0.86 0-1	2023	86.3	-5.5	-2.2
Health Expenditure Per Capita	0.82 0-1	2023	81.9	-2.3	+0.1
Projected Cereal Yield Change	0.75 0-1	2023	75.2	-11.3	-2.6
Earthquake Risk	7.30 0-10	2026	73.0	+38.0	+5.5
Environmental Treaties Engagement	0.70 0-1	2023	70.4	-5.9	-9.8
Projected Vector Disease Change	0.66 0-1	2023	65.8	0.0	0.0
Food Production Index	110 index	2022	63.2	-3.9	+3.2
Quality of Trade Infrastructure	0.58 0-1	2023	58.5	-3.6	-2.5
Age Dependency Ratio	0.53 0-1	2023	52.7	-0.0	+7.1
Projected Biome Distribution Change	0.45 0-1	2023	44.7	-12.9	-10.6
Projected Hydropower Change	0.44 0-1	2023	43.8	+0.1	+0.1
Projected Warm Period Change	0.41 0-1	2023	40.8	-27.0	-24.5
Protected Biome Areas	0.37 0-1	2023	37.3	-3.7	-7.6
Projected Population Change	0.35 0-1	2023	35.3	+13.0	+11.6
Food Import Dependency	0.32 0-1	2023	31.8	+10.1	+12.4
Water Dependency Ratio	0.27 0-1	2023	27.2	+20.3	+20.2
Natural Capital Dependency	0.26 0-1	2023	25.7	+3.9	-0.1
Dependency Ratio	0.23 0-1	2023	22.8	+16.0	+18.9
Projected Climate-Related Deaths	0.21 0-1	2023	21.2	-9.1	0.0
Access to Improved Sanitation	0.18 0-1	2023	17.9	-21.4	-15.3
Slum Population	0.17 0-1	2023	16.9	+0.4	-1.9
Access to Reliable Drinking Water	0.14 0-1	2023	14.5	-5.9	-13.4
Agriculture GDP Share	4.81 % of GDP	2023	13.4	-5.5	-8.7
Disaster Preparedness	0.13 0-1	2023	12.5	-17.5	-12.5
Agricultural Land	10.4 % of land	2022	11.8	-35.5	-28.5
Ecological Footprint	0.11 0-1	2023	10.6	-12.0	-14.3
Child Malnutrition	0.10 0-1	2023	9.5	-4.3	-8.3
Rural Population	0.09 0-1	2023	8.6	-34.0	-36.0
Projected Flood Hazard Change	0.08 0-1	2023	7.8	-10.6	-4.3
Threatened Mammal Species	13.0 count	2018	6.8	+1.6	0.0
Projected Groundwater Change	0.07 0-1	2023	6.8	-19.4	-21.8
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss	0.05 0-1	2023	4.8	-32.5	-31.9
Water Stress	103 %	2021	2.7	+2.4	+1.3
Population Below 5m	0.00 0-1	2023	0.3	-14.4	-17.5
Natural Resource Depletion	0.06 % of GNI	2021	0.1	-2.0	-2.5
Forest Depletion	0.02 % of GNI	2021	0.1	0.0	+0.1
Tsunami Risk	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-11.0	-25.0
Tree Cover Loss	0.00 hectares	2021	0.0	-0.1	0.0
Water Bodies Extent	100 % of land	2020	0.0	-21.6	-28.1
Projected Annual Runoff Change	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-39.6	-27.6
Paved Roads	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-55.0	-26.8
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-13.5	-16.0
Electricity Access	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	0.0	0.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Uprooted People	10.0 0-10	2026	100.0	+41.0	+46.5
Hospital Beds	1.38 per 1,000	2021	91.8	+7.9	+6.5
Gender Labor Ratio	22.9 ratio F/M	2023	84.0	+57.0	+44.2
Education Expenditure	9.68 % of govt	2022	78.5	+13.6	+10.1
Overweight Adults	69.8 % adults	2022	74.2	+18.2	+19.5
Labor Participation	40.9 % (15+)	2023	73.4	+43.3	+42.2
Aid Dependency	6.50 0-10	2026	65.0	+40.0	+44.0
Net Migration	-17445 persons	2023	54.5	-0.5	-0.4
Unemployment Rate	18.0 %	2023	51.0	+36.8	+39.4
GDP Growth	2.88 % annual	2023	48.9	0.0	+1.1
Primary School Enrollment	98.3 % gross	2023	41.5	-0.5	+0.5
School Gender Parity	1.00 ratio	2021	41.0	0.0	-0.3
Food Security	3.80 0-10	2026	38.0	+20.0	+20.0
Fertility Rate	2.64 births per woman	2023	35.4	+12.1	+12.2
Undernourishment	17.9 % population	2022	31.6	+25.8	+26.0
Life Expectancy	77.8 years	2023	26.8	-12.7	-6.4
Poverty Rate (National)	15.7 % population	2018	23.3	-9.7	+1.7
Development and Deprivation	2.30 0-10	2026	23.0	-7.0	-2.5
ESG Performance Score	2.30 0-100	2018	22.9	-2.1	-3.5
Adult Literacy Rate	95.0 %	2023	21.7	0.0	+6.5
Sanitation Access	82.3 % population	2022	18.2	-21.8	-16.2
Safe Drinking Water	85.7 % population	2022	15.2	-6.3	-15.0
Communicable Disease Deaths	10.0 %	2019	13.7	-2.4	-0.5
Unmet Contraception Need	10.8 %	2023	10.7	-46.9	-29.9
Under-5 Mortality Rate	13.2 per 1,000	2023	10.4	-1.8	-0.1
Internet Users	92.5 % population	2023	8.4	-12.5	-8.0
Children Under 5	0.80 0-10	2026	8.0	-3.0	-5.0
Aging Population	4.32 % population	2023	7.9	-8.5	-5.9
Health Conditions	0.10 0-10	2026	1.0	-7.0	-3.0
Population Density	127 people/km2	2022	0.7	+0.2	+0.1
Recent Shocks	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-1.0	-3.0
Access to Electricity	100 % population	2023	0.0	0.0	0.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Patent Applications	25.0 count	2021	100.0	0.0	0.0
Scientific Articles	5249 count	2022	99.4	-0.5	-0.4
Women in Parliament	12.3 % seats	2023	79.9	+21.7	+10.7
Voice and Accountability	-0.77 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	65.5	+16.6	0.0
Political Stability	-0.20 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	54.1	+4.3	-1.5
INFORM Governance Index	4.90 0-10	2026	49.0	-7.0	-8.5
Control of Corruption	0.09 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	48.2	-7.4	-10.1
Regulatory Quality	0.22 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	45.6	-7.1	-9.0
Rule of Law	0.26 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	44.8	-8.2	-8.3
Government Effectiveness	0.39 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	42.3	-9.4	-8.4
Disaster Risk Reduction	3.20 0-10	2026	32.0	-9.5	-4.0
Healthcare Access	2.80 0-10	2026	28.0	-9.0	-5.0
Physical Infrastructure	2.40 0-10	2026	24.0	-6.0	-5.5
Communication Infrastructure	2.10 0-10	2026	21.0	+1.0	+6.5
Legal Rights Strength	11.0 0-12	2019	8.3	-41.7	-41.7

		Year		vs world	vs region
Innovation (Readiness)	0.01 0-1	2023	98.9	+4.2	+4.6
Education (Readiness)	0.20 0-1	2023	80.3	+7.3	+7.4
Doing Business Score	0.38 0-1	2023	61.9	+3.5	+10.8
Control of Corruption (Readiness)	0.45 0-1	2023	55.4	-8.9	-12.4
ICT Infrastructure	0.52 0-1	2023	47.6	-0.1	+2.1
Political Stability (Readiness)	0.54 0-1	2023	46.5	+3.4	-1.8
Rule of Law (Readiness)	0.55 0-1	2023	45.2	-7.4	-8.3
Regulatory Quality (Readiness)	0.56 0-1	2023	44.0	-8.0	-7.8
Social Inequality (Readiness)	0.61 0-1	2023	38.8	-12.7	-4.1

These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.

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Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Jordan?
Jordan: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure, easing recently. Its overall risk score is 44 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Jordan's risk?
Jordan's highest pressures are governance (62, high) and adaptation (59). Its strongest area is climate (21).
How might Jordan's climate change by 2080?
Jordan's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 66 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Jordan warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Jordan is on track to warm by +4.3 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by -4 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.8 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Jordan's coast?
Coastal sea level along Jordan is projected to rise by +0.75 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.52 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Jordan?
The share of Jordan under high water stress is projected to move from 21% today to 37% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Jordan?
The share of Jordan exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.3% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Jordan's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.