+4.4 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +3.2 °C → +4.4 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +2.8 °C → +3.1 °C
Hottest month +5.7 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Mongolia Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Asia
- Subregion
- Eastern Asia
- Income
- Lower middle income
- ISO
- MNG
Mongolia: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Mongolia, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Medium 46 / 100
5y
- 60 Climate Medium
- 24 Nature +0.6 Low
- 27 Social Low
- 64 Governance High
- 54 Adaptation -0.9 Medium
Which hazards threaten Mongolia most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 6.7FloodHigh
- 2.7DRR capacityLow
Mongolia in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
4
Eastern Asia
#4 of 5 · median 4322
Asia
#22 of 48 · median 4715
Lower middle income
#15 of 53 · median 49Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Mongolia: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Mongolia is projected to warm +4.4 °C, with annual rainfall changing +8 mm.
+8 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +7 mm → +8 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +4 mm → +6 mm
Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
1.4%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 3.5% → 1.4%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 2.5% → 2.9%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 2% today.
0.4%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 0.3% → 0.4%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 0.4% → 0.3%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0.2% today.
Sea level
Landlocked, not applicable.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 4.28 kt CO2e per capita | 100.0 |
Renewable Energy Share | 3.00 % of total energy | 96.9 |
Fossil Fuel Consumption | 94.7 % of total | 94.5 |
Coal Electricity Share | 85.8 % of total | 89.2 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 10.9 % of total | 89.1 |
Heating Degree Days | 11199 degree days | 76.9 |
Flood Risk | 6.70 0-10 | 67.0 |
Drought Index (SPEI) | -0.01 index | 55.8 |
Energy Imports | -226 % of energy use | 50.7 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 54.2 % population | 45.8 |
Land Surface Temperature | 13.9 deg C change | 37.3 |
Energy Intensity | 6.96 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 33.3 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 29.7 ug/m3 | 30.9 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 6.37 metric tons | 20.2 |
Energy Use Per Capita | 1891 kg oil eq per capita | 11.0 |
Cooling Degree Days | 367 degree days | 5.0 |
Heat Index | 0.00 index | 0.0 |
Agricultural Capacity | 1.00 0-1 | 99.5 |
Dam Capacity | 0.98 0-1 | 98.1 |
Paved Roads | 0.97 0-1 | 97.3 |
Forest Area | 9.10 % of land | 90.4 |
Agricultural Land | 71.9 % of land | 85.0 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.81 0-1 | 80.9 |
Protected Areas | 19.8 % of land | 80.0 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.77 0-1 | 77.4 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.75 0-1 | 75.3 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.74 0-1 | 74.1 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.69 0-1 | 69.2 |
Urban Concentration | 0.67 0-1 | 66.7 |
Ecological Footprint | 0.67 0-1 | 66.6 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.66 0-1 | 65.8 |
Access to Reliable Drinking Water | 0.62 0-1 | 61.6 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.60 0-1 | 60.0 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.58 0-1 | 57.6 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.48 0-1 | 47.9 |
Projected Hydropower Change | 0.44 0-1 | 43.7 |
Access to Improved Sanitation | 0.34 0-1 | 34.4 |
Rural Population | 0.33 0-1 | 33.3 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 9.92 % of GDP | 27.6 |
Projected Population Change | 0.27 0-1 | 26.7 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 14.9 % of GNI | 26.0 |
Earthquake Risk | 2.10 0-10 | 21.0 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.20 0-1 | 19.6 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 1.33 % of internal resources | 18.6 |
Food Production Index | 158 index | 18.4 |
Slum Population | 0.18 0-1 | 18.0 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.11 0-1 | 11.2 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.11 0-1 | 11.1 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.09 0-1 | 9.1 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 11.0 count | 5.8 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.01 0-1 | 1.1 |
Water Stress | 3.40 % | 0.1 |
Tsunami Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Tree Cover Loss | 187 hectares | 0.0 |
Forest Depletion | 0.00 % of GNI | 0.0 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Population Below 5m | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Electricity Access | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Disaster Preparedness | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Education Expenditure | 9.99 % of govt | 79.3 |
Recent Shocks | 6.80 0-10 | 68.0 |
Safe Drinking Water | 39.3 % population | 64.7 |
Unmet Contraception Need | 22.6 % | 59.6 |
Overweight Adults | 58.1 % adults | 59.4 |
Net Migration | 0.00 persons | 55.0 |
Poverty Rate (National) | 27.1 % population | 45.9 |
Life Expectancy | 72.1 years | 44.7 |
Primary School Enrollment | 95.8 % gross | 43.5 |
Development and Deprivation | 4.30 0-10 | 43.0 |
School Gender Parity | 1.00 ratio | 41.9 |
GDP Growth | 7.42 % annual | 41.7 |
Fertility Rate | 2.70 births per woman | 36.6 |
Labor Participation | 65.0 % (15+) | 36.5 |
Sanitation Access | 66.0 % population | 35.0 |
ESG Performance Score | 2.16 0-100 | 33.3 |
Income Share Bottom 20% | 8.20 % | 30.6 |
Health Conditions | 2.80 0-10 | 28.0 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 77.7 ratio F/M | 27.6 |
Aid Dependency | 2.40 0-10 | 24.0 |
Gini Coefficient | 31.4 0-100 | 23.8 |
Internet Users | 83.0 % population | 19.1 |
Hospital Beds | 10.6 per 1,000 | 17.8 |
Unemployment Rate | 5.50 % | 15.4 |
Food Security | 1.30 0-10 | 13.0 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 13.6 per 1,000 | 10.8 |
Aging Population | 4.86 % population | 9.5 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 6.31 % | 7.9 |
Children Under 5 | 0.70 0-10 | 7.0 |
Adult Literacy Rate | 99.0 % | 1.4 |
Uprooted People | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Access to Electricity | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Undernourishment | 2.50 % population | 0.0 |
Population Density | 2.20 people/km2 | 0.0 |
Shared Prosperity Growth | 3.11 % annual | 0.0 |
Patent Applications | 109 count | 100.0 |
Scientific Articles | 262 count | 100.0 |
R&D Expenditure | 0.08 % of GDP | 99.2 |
Women in Parliament | 17.1 % seats | 72.1 |
INFORM Governance Index | 6.30 0-10 | 63.0 |
Control of Corruption | -0.49 -2.5 to +2.5 | 59.9 |
Government Effectiveness | -0.47 -2.5 to +2.5 | 59.4 |
Rule of Law | -0.18 -2.5 to +2.5 | 53.7 |
Regulatory Quality | -0.18 -2.5 to +2.5 | 53.5 |
Physical Infrastructure | 5.10 0-10 | 51.0 |
Voice and Accountability | 0.25 -2.5 to +2.5 | 45.0 |
Political Stability | 0.59 -2.5 to +2.5 | 38.1 |
Disaster Risk Reduction | 2.70 0-10 | 27.0 |
Legal Rights Strength | 9.00 0-12 | 25.0 |
Healthcare Access | 1.90 0-10 | 19.0 |
Communication Infrastructure | 1.20 0-10 | 12.0 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.15 0-1 | 84.6 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.31 0-1 | 68.8 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.39 0-1 | 60.9 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.47 0-1 | 53.0 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.47 0-1 | 52.7 |
Doing Business Score | 0.50 0-1 | 50.0 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.53 0-1 | 47.0 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.55 0-1 | 45.5 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.67 0-1 | 32.8 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Mongolia →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Mongolia.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Mongolia?
Mongolia: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 46 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Mongolia's risk?
Mongolia's highest pressures are governance (64, high) and climate (60). Its strongest area is nature (24).
How might Mongolia's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 14% of Mongolia's land shifts toward a drier, more arid zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 66 to 66 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Mongolia warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Mongolia is on track to warm by +4.4 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +8 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +3.1 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How will water stress change in Mongolia?
The share of Mongolia under high water stress is projected to move from 2% today to 1.4% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Mongolia?
The share of Mongolia exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.2% today to 0.4% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Mongolia's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.