What drives Ireland's risk?

Ireland's highest pressures are governance (52, medium) and adaptation (40). Its strongest area is social (23).

How might Ireland's climate change by 2080?

Ireland's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.

How much will Ireland warm by 2080?

Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Ireland is on track to warm by +2.1 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +30 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.2 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.

How much will sea levels rise along Ireland's coast?

Coastal sea level along Ireland is projected to rise by +0.70 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.53 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.

How will water stress change in Ireland?

The share of Ireland under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.

How will river-flood exposure change in Ireland?

The share of Ireland exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.5% today to 0.6% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.

When was Ireland's risk data last updated?

Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.

Ireland Climate risk profile and hazard map

Region: Europe
Subregion: Northern Europe
Income: High income, OECD
ISO: IRL

Ireland: low across the board; strong social keeps overall risk contained.

Live events

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map

How risky is Ireland, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Low 35 / 100

35 Climate Low
25 Nature -0.1 Low
23 Social Low
52 Governance Medium
40 Adaptation -0.3 Medium

Which hazards threaten Ireland most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

3.5FloodLow
7.5DRR capacityHigh

Ireland in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

Northern Europe

#7 of 10 · median 32

Europe

#12 of 43 · median 38

High income: OECD

#10 of 31 · median 37

Put two countries head to head

Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

Compare Score a site here

Ireland: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Ireland is projected to warm +2.1 °C, with annual rainfall changing +30 mm.

+2.1 °C

Temperature

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +1.5 °C → +2.1 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +0.9 °C → +1.2 °C

Hottest month +3.2 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

+30 mm

Precipitation

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +26 mm → +30 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +30 mm → +27 mm

Driest month -6 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Water stress

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 0% → 0%
Current path SSP3-7.0: 0% → 0%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.

0.6%

River flooding

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 0.6% → 0.6%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: 0.3% → 0.6%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0.5% today.

Sea level

Ireland: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 7 of its largest cities.

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +0.23 m → +0.70 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +0.22 m → +0.53 m

Largest exposed cities

PopulationMax depth

Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

		Year		vs world	vs region
Energy Imports	86.0 % of energy use	2023	97.6	+4.4	+3.4
Renewable Energy Share	12.7 % of total energy	2021	86.8	+11.4	+9.0
Fossil Fuel Consumption	82.4 % of total	2023	83.6	+17.5	+23.0
Renewable Electricity Share	37.3 % of total	2021	62.7	-12.4	+2.6
Drought Index (SPEI)	-0.10 index	2021	54.0	+7.6	-0.4
N2O Emissions Per Capita	1.90 kt CO2e per capita	2020	44.4	+37.4	+33.8
Coastal Protection Needed	55.6 % coast	2020	42.4	-41.9	-36.8
Heating Degree Days	5456 degree days	2020	37.5	+36.0	+0.7
Flood Risk	3.50 0-10	2026	35.0	-17.0	-24.0
Land Surface Temperature	12.4 deg C change	2021	34.3	-30.4	-4.1
CO2 Emissions Per Capita	6.70 metric tons	2020	21.3	+13.6	+6.3
Energy Use Per Capita	2459 kg oil eq per capita	2023	15.5	-1.2	-2.6
Coal Electricity Share	4.34 % of total	2023	9.3	-5.3	-0.1
PM2.5 Air Pollution	8.17 ug/m3	2020	4.1	-15.1	-3.8
Heat Index	0.00 index	2020	0.0	-0.1	0.0
Access to Clean Fuels	100 % population	2022	0.0	-10.3	0.0
Energy Intensity	0.97 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP	2022	0.0	-19.2	-14.5
Cooling Degree Days	1.89 degree days	2020	0.0	-51.8	-3.7

		Year		vs world	vs region
Protected Areas	4.00 % of land	2023	96.0	+7.1	+13.9
Dam Capacity	0.96 0-1	2023	95.7	+2.4	+4.2
Forest Area	11.5 % of land	2022	87.9	+21.6	+23.3
Energy Import Dependency	0.86 0-1	2023	86.0	+60.3	+37.1
Agricultural Land	63.1 % of land	2022	74.5	+27.2	+23.5
Projected Warm Period Change	0.74 0-1	2023	73.7	+6.0	+0.2
Projected Annual Runoff Change	0.72 0-1	2023	72.3	+32.7	+48.6
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss	0.71 0-1	2023	71.1	+33.8	+31.5
Projected Vector Disease Change	0.66 0-1	2023	65.8	0.0	0.0
Urban Concentration	0.62 0-1	2023	61.7	+4.3	-10.5
Disaster Preparedness	0.60 0-1	2023	60.0	+30.0	+27.5
Projected Biome Distribution Change	0.54 0-1	2023	54.1	-3.5	-11.8
Food Production Index	122 index	2022	52.6	-14.5	-19.7
Age Dependency Ratio	0.50 0-1	2023	50.2	-2.5	-1.9
Projected Hydropower Change	0.42 0-1	2023	42.4	-1.3	-3.0
Health Expenditure Per Capita	0.41 0-1	2023	40.8	-43.4	-19.1
Water Bodies Extent	59.4 % of land	2020	40.6	+19.0	+21.5
Quality of Trade Infrastructure	0.38 0-1	2023	38.5	-23.6	0.0
Rural Population	0.38 0-1	2023	38.3	-4.3	+10.5
Environmental Treaties Engagement	0.34 0-1	2023	34.0	-42.3	-12.1
Freshwater Withdrawal	3.23 % of internal resources	2021	33.7	-16.6	-16.6
Projected Groundwater Change	0.30 0-1	2023	30.1	+3.9	+4.5
Natural Capital Dependency	0.27 0-1	2023	27.4	+5.6	-1.1
Agricultural Capacity	0.23 0-1	2023	22.6	-69.2	-60.1
Access to Improved Sanitation	0.20 0-1	2023	20.4	-18.9	+10.0
Tsunami Risk	1.90 0-10	2026	19.0	+8.0	+19.0
Protected Biome Areas	0.18 0-1	2023	18.0	-23.0	-1.5
Projected Population Change	0.18 0-1	2023	17.7	-4.6	+9.1
Population Below 5m	0.17 0-1	2023	16.9	+2.1	+7.3
Food Import Dependency	0.13 0-1	2023	13.0	-8.7	-3.8
Projected Flood Hazard Change	0.11 0-1	2023	11.3	-7.1	+1.7
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact	0.10 0-1	2023	10.4	-3.1	0.0
Water Dependency Ratio	0.06 0-1	2023	5.8	-1.1	-9.4
Access to Reliable Drinking Water	0.04 0-1	2023	4.1	-16.3	+2.0
Ecological Footprint	0.04 0-1	2023	3.8	-18.8	-0.2
Projected Climate-Related Deaths	0.03 0-1	2023	3.0	-27.3	0.0
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate	0.03 0-1	2023	2.7	-4.8	-5.0
Threatened Mammal Species	5.00 count	2018	2.6	-2.6	+0.5
Agriculture GDP Share	0.88 % of GDP	2023	2.4	-16.5	-3.8
Earthquake Risk	0.10 0-10	2026	1.0	-34.0	-30.5
Water Stress	22.2 %	2021	0.6	+0.3	+0.3
Natural Resource Depletion	0.10 % of GNI	2021	0.2	-1.9	-0.1
Tree Cover Loss	8780 hectares	2021	0.1	0.0	-0.1
Forest Depletion	0.00 % of GNI	2021	0.0	-0.1	0.0
Child Malnutrition	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-13.8	0.0
Slum Population	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-16.5	0.0
Paved Roads	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-55.0	-10.1
Electricity Access	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	0.0	0.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Hospital Beds	2.91 per 1,000	2020	78.4	-0.6	+12.5
Uprooted People	7.50 0-10	2026	75.0	+16.0	+5.5
Education Expenditure	12.0 % of govt	2021	72.4	+2.5	-4.4
Overweight Adults	64.7 % adults	2022	67.7	+11.7	+10.4
Primary School Enrollment	99.6 % gross	2022	63.8	+0.2	+0.7
GDP Growth	-5.53 % annual	2023	62.2	+13.3	+11.9
Shared Prosperity Growth	1.92 % annual	2022	61.3	+1.5	+3.7
Net Migration	43873 persons	2023	56.5	+1.5	+1.3
School Gender Parity	1.04 ratio	2020	42.5	-14.4	-16.9
Aging Population	15.5 % population	2023	40.2	+23.8	-13.2
Sanitation Access	79.8 % population	2022	20.8	-19.2	+10.5
Income Share Bottom 20%	8.90 %	2022	20.8	-23.6	-15.3
Gender Labor Ratio	85.1 ratio F/M	2023	20.0	-7.0	-1.3
Gini Coefficient	29.9 0-100	2022	18.9	-11.9	-4.2
Labor Participation	77.2 % (15+)	2023	17.7	-12.4	-0.9
Fertility Rate	1.50 births per woman	2023	14.4	-8.9	+1.1
Poverty Rate (National)	14.0 % population	2021	14.2	-6.4	-2.8
ESG Performance Score	2.43 0-100	2018	13.3	-11.7	+0.1
Unemployment Rate	4.29 %	2023	11.9	-2.3	-3.2
Life Expectancy	82.9 years	2023	11.0	-28.5	-4.2
Communicable Disease Deaths	5.68 %	2019	6.9	-9.2	+1.5
Safe Drinking Water	96.0 % population	2022	4.3	-17.2	+2.3
Internet Users	96.5 % population	2023	3.9	-17.0	-5.7
Children Under 5	0.30 0-10	2026	3.0	-8.0	0.0
Under-5 Mortality Rate	3.80 per 1,000	2023	2.1	-10.1	+0.3
Health Conditions	0.20 0-10	2026	2.0	-6.0	0.0
Aid Dependency	0.10 0-10	2026	1.0	-24.0	-5.0
Population Density	75.7 people/km2	2022	0.4	-0.1	-0.1
Development and Deprivation	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-30.0	0.0
Recent Shocks	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-1.0	0.0
Access to Electricity	100 % population	2023	0.0	0.0	0.0
Undernourishment	2.50 % population	2022	0.0	-5.8	0.0
Food Security	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-18.0	-7.5

		Year		vs world	vs region
Patent Applications	75.0 count	2021	100.0	0.0	0.0
Scientific Articles	9254 count	2022	99.0	-0.9	0.0
R&D Expenditure	0.96 % of GDP	2022	84.5	-3.5	+7.4
Disaster Risk Reduction	7.50 0-10	2026	75.0	+33.5	+40.0
Women in Parliament	23.1 % seats	2023	62.2	+4.0	+18.7
Legal Rights Strength	7.00 0-12	2019	41.7	-8.3	-8.3
Political Stability	0.90 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	32.0	-17.8	-6.0
INFORM Governance Index	2.10 0-10	2026	21.0	-35.0	-15.5
Voice and Accountability	1.48 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	20.3	-28.6	-8.2
Control of Corruption	1.58 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	18.5	-37.1	-16.1
Government Effectiveness	1.59 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	18.2	-33.5	-11.1
Rule of Law	1.63 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	17.3	-35.7	-11.3
Communication Infrastructure	1.60 0-10	2026	16.0	-4.0	+2.0
Regulatory Quality	1.75 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	15.0	-37.8	-16.4
Physical Infrastructure	0.60 0-10	2026	6.0	-24.0	+5.0
Healthcare Access	0.50 0-10	2026	5.0	-32.0	-0.5

		Year		vs world	vs region
Innovation (Readiness)	0.07 0-1	2023	92.9	-1.8	+18.4
Education (Readiness)	0.46 0-1	2023	54.1	-18.9	-0.8
Doing Business Score	0.56 0-1	2023	43.6	-14.8	-0.6
Social Inequality (Readiness)	0.57 0-1	2023	43.3	-8.2	+5.2
ICT Infrastructure	0.66 0-1	2023	34.2	-13.5	+1.0
Political Stability (Readiness)	0.73 0-1	2023	27.5	-15.6	-5.2
Control of Corruption (Readiness)	0.79 0-1	2023	21.3	-43.0	-18.5
Regulatory Quality (Readiness)	0.83 0-1	2023	17.0	-35.0	-11.1
Rule of Law (Readiness)	0.85 0-1	2023	14.9	-37.7	-16.2

These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.

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But what about your location?

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Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Ireland?
Ireland: low across the board; strong social keeps overall risk contained. Its overall risk score is 35 out of 100 (low), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Ireland's risk?
Ireland's highest pressures are governance (52, medium) and adaptation (40). Its strongest area is social (23).
How might Ireland's climate change by 2080?
Ireland's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Ireland warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Ireland is on track to warm by +2.1 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +30 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +1.2 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Ireland's coast?
Coastal sea level along Ireland is projected to rise by +0.70 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.53 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Ireland?
The share of Ireland under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Ireland?
The share of Ireland exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.5% today to 0.6% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Ireland's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.