What drives Finland's risk?

Finland's highest pressures are climate (46, medium) and governance (42). Its strongest area is nature (16).

How might Finland's climate change by 2080?

Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 6% of Finland's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 71 to 71 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.

How much will Finland warm by 2080?

Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Finland is on track to warm by +4.4 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +65 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +3.6 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.

How much will sea levels rise along Finland's coast?

Coastal sea level along Finland is projected to rise by +0.27 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.07 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.

How will water stress change in Finland?

The share of Finland under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 12% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.

How will river-flood exposure change in Finland?

The share of Finland exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.7% today to 0.4% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.

When was Finland's risk data last updated?

Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.

Finland Climate risk profile and hazard map

Region: Europe
Subregion: Northern Europe
Income: High income, OECD
ISO: FIN

Finland: low across the board; strong nature keeps overall risk contained.

Live events

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map

How risky is Finland, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Low 30 / 100

46 Climate Medium
16 Nature -0.4 Very low
21 Social Low
42 Governance Medium
25 Adaptation -0.6 Low

Which hazards threaten Finland most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

6.2FloodHigh
4.0DRR capacityMedium

Finland in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

Northern Europe

#4 of 10 · median 32

Europe

#6 of 43 · median 38

High income: OECD

#5 of 31 · median 37

Put two countries head to head

Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

Compare Score a site here

Finland: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Finland is projected to warm +4.4 °C, with annual rainfall changing +65 mm.

+4.4 °C

Temperature

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +3.6 °C → +4.4 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +3.0 °C → +3.6 °C

Hottest month +3.2 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

+65 mm

Precipitation

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +55 mm → +65 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +47 mm → +50 mm

Driest month +3 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

12%

Water stress

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 5% → 12%
Current path SSP3-7.0: 1.3% → 1.3%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.

0.4%

River flooding

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 0.4% → 0.4%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: 0.4% → 0.4%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 0.7% today.

Sea level

Finland: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 6 of its largest cities.

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +0.03 m → +0.27 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +0.01 m → +0.07 m

Largest exposed cities

PopulationMax depth

Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

		Year		vs world	vs region
Energy Imports	31.8 % of energy use	2023	91.2	-2.0	-3.0
Drought Index (SPEI)	0.43 index	2021	64.4	+18.0	+10.0
Flood Risk	6.20 0-10	2026	62.0	+10.0	+3.0
Heating Degree Days	9027 degree days	2020	62.0	+60.5	+25.2
Renewable Energy Share	50.2 % of total energy	2021	47.9	-27.5	-29.9
Renewable Electricity Share	52.9 % of total	2021	47.1	-28.0	-13.0
Energy Use Per Capita	5867 kg oil eq per capita	2023	36.9	+20.2	+18.8
Energy Intensity	4.82 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP	2022	30.0	+10.8	+15.5
Fossil Fuel Consumption	32.7 % of total	2023	25.9	-40.1	-34.7
N2O Emissions Per Capita	1.06 kt CO2e per capita	2020	24.8	+17.8	+14.2
CO2 Emissions Per Capita	6.57 metric tons	2020	20.9	+13.2	+5.9
Land Surface Temperature	2.69 deg C change	2021	14.3	-50.4	-24.1
Coal Electricity Share	4.09 % of total	2023	8.8	-5.8	-0.6
Cooling Degree Days	47.3 degree days	2020	0.6	-51.2	-3.1
Heat Index	0.00 index	2020	0.0	-0.1	0.0
Access to Clean Fuels	100 % population	2022	0.0	-10.3	0.0
PM2.5 Air Pollution	4.90 ug/m3	2020	0.0	-19.2	-7.9

		Year		vs world	vs region
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss	1.00 0-1	2023	100.0	+62.8	+60.4
Agricultural Capacity	0.92 0-1	2023	92.3	+0.5	+9.6
Protected Areas	13.1 % of land	2023	86.8	-2.1	+4.7
Urban Concentration	0.85 0-1	2023	84.7	+27.3	+12.5
Projected Warm Period Change	0.83 0-1	2023	82.9	+15.2	+9.4
Projected Biome Distribution Change	0.82 0-1	2023	82.4	+24.8	+16.5
Food Production Index	98.2 index	2022	74.6	+7.5	+2.3
Projected Vector Disease Change	0.66 0-1	2023	65.8	0.0	0.0
Age Dependency Ratio	0.60 0-1	2023	60.2	+7.5	+8.1
Projected Annual Runoff Change	0.52 0-1	2023	51.6	+12.0	+27.9
Projected Groundwater Change	0.37 0-1	2023	36.7	+10.5	+11.1
Paved Roads	0.34 0-1	2023	34.5	-20.5	+24.4
Projected Hydropower Change	0.33 0-1	2023	32.9	-10.8	-12.5
Energy Import Dependency	0.32 0-1	2023	31.8	+6.1	-17.1
Freshwater Withdrawal	2.80 % of internal resources	2021	30.2	-20.1	-20.1
Population Below 5m	0.28 0-1	2023	27.5	+12.8	+17.9
Disaster Preparedness	0.25 0-1	2023	25.0	-5.0	-7.5
Health Expenditure Per Capita	0.24 0-1	2023	23.7	-60.5	-36.2
Forest Area	73.7 % of land	2022	22.0	-44.3	-42.6
Quality of Trade Infrastructure	0.21 0-1	2023	20.5	-41.6	-18.0
Dam Capacity	0.16 0-1	2023	15.6	-77.7	-75.9
Environmental Treaties Engagement	0.15 0-1	2023	15.4	-60.9	-30.7
Rural Population	0.15 0-1	2023	15.3	-27.3	-12.5
Projected Flood Hazard Change	0.15 0-1	2023	14.8	-3.6	+5.2
Food Import Dependency	0.13 0-1	2023	13.1	-8.6	-3.7
Protected Biome Areas	0.13 0-1	2023	12.5	-28.5	-7.0
Projected Population Change	0.12 0-1	2023	12.2	-10.1	+3.6
Access to Improved Sanitation	0.10 0-1	2023	10.1	-29.1	-0.3
Agricultural Land	7.46 % of land	2022	8.3	-39.0	-42.7
Ecological Footprint	0.07 0-1	2023	6.9	-15.7	+2.9
Agriculture GDP Share	2.31 % of GDP	2023	6.4	-12.5	+0.3
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact	0.05 0-1	2023	5.2	-8.3	-5.2
Tree Cover Loss	266899 hectares	2021	4.1	+4.0	+3.9
Water Bodies Extent	96.8 % of land	2020	3.2	-18.4	-15.9
Projected Climate-Related Deaths	0.03 0-1	2023	3.0	-27.3	0.0
Water Dependency Ratio	0.03 0-1	2023	2.7	-4.2	-12.5
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate	0.02 0-1	2023	2.4	-5.1	-5.3
Earthquake Risk	0.10 0-10	2026	1.0	-34.0	-30.5
Threatened Mammal Species	2.00 count	2018	1.0	-4.2	-1.1
Access to Reliable Drinking Water	0.00 0-1	2023	0.4	-20.0	-1.7
Water Stress	7.11 %	2021	0.2	-0.1	-0.0
Natural Resource Depletion	0.08 % of GNI	2021	0.1	-2.0	-0.2
Tsunami Risk	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-11.0	0.0
Child Malnutrition	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-13.8	0.0
Dependency Ratio	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-6.8	0.0
Slum Population	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-16.5	0.0
Natural Capital Dependency	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-21.8	-28.5
Electricity Access	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	0.0	0.0
Forest Depletion	0.00 % of GNI	2021	0.0	-0.1	0.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Hospital Beds	2.83 per 1,000	2020	79.0	0.0	+13.1
Education Expenditure	10.2 % of govt	2021	78.4	+8.5	+1.6
Shared Prosperity Growth	0.53 % annual	2022	73.6	+13.8	+16.0
Uprooted People	6.60 0-10	2026	66.0	+7.0	-3.5
Primary School Enrollment	98.6 % gross	2022	65.0	+1.4	+1.9
Aging Population	23.6 % population	2023	63.3	+46.9	+9.9
Net Migration	38156 persons	2023	56.3	+1.3	+1.1
Overweight Adults	55.3 % adults	2022	55.8	-0.2	-1.6
GDP Growth	-0.95 % annual	2023	54.9	+6.0	+4.6
School Gender Parity	1.06 ratio	2020	37.3	-19.6	-22.1
Unemployment Rate	7.15 %	2023	20.1	+5.9	+5.1
Poverty Rate (National)	12.2 % population	2022	16.4	-16.1	-11.9
Income Share Bottom 20%	9.30 %	2022	15.3	-29.1	-20.8
Life Expectancy	81.7 years	2023	14.7	-24.8	-0.5
Labor Participation	79.7 % (15+)	2023	13.9	-16.2	-4.7
Gender Labor Ratio	91.0 ratio F/M	2023	13.9	-13.1	-7.4
Gini Coefficient	27.9 0-100	2022	12.4	-18.4	-10.7
Food Security	1.20 0-10	2026	12.0	-6.0	+4.5
Sanitation Access	90.0 % population	2022	10.3	-29.7	0.0
Fertility Rate	1.26 births per woman	2023	10.0	-13.3	-3.3
Internet Users	93.5 % population	2023	7.3	-13.6	-2.3
Children Under 5	0.20 0-10	2026	2.0	-9.0	-1.0
Health Conditions	0.10 0-10	2026	1.0	-7.0	-1.0
Under-5 Mortality Rate	2.30 per 1,000	2023	0.8	-11.4	-1.1
Safe Drinking Water	99.6 % population	2022	0.4	-21.1	-1.6
Communicable Disease Deaths	1.42 %	2019	0.2	-15.9	-5.2
Population Density	18.3 people/km2	2022	0.1	-0.4	-0.4
Aid Dependency	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-25.0	-6.0
Development and Deprivation	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-30.0	0.0
Recent Shocks	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-1.0	0.0
Access to Electricity	100 % population	2023	0.0	0.0	0.0
Undernourishment	2.50 % population	2022	0.0	-5.8	0.0
ESG Performance Score	2.61 0-100	2018	0.0	-25.0	-13.2

		Year		vs world	vs region
Patent Applications	1557 count	2021	99.9	-0.1	-0.1
Scientific Articles	12013 count	2022	98.7	-1.2	-0.3
R&D Expenditure	2.96 % of GDP	2022	51.0	-37.0	-26.1
Legal Rights Strength	6.00 0-12	2019	50.0	0.0	0.0
Disaster Risk Reduction	4.00 0-10	2026	40.0	-1.5	+5.0
Political Stability	0.71 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	35.7	-14.1	-2.3
Women in Parliament	46.0 % seats	2023	24.9	-33.3	-18.6
Voice and Accountability	1.63 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	17.3	-31.6	-11.2
Government Effectiveness	1.74 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	15.2	-36.5	-14.1
Communication Infrastructure	1.50 0-10	2026	15.0	-5.0	+1.0
Regulatory Quality	1.77 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	14.7	-38.0	-16.7
INFORM Governance Index	1.30 0-10	2026	13.0	-43.0	-23.5
Rule of Law	1.97 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	10.7	-42.3	-17.9
Healthcare Access	0.70 0-10	2026	7.0	-30.0	+1.5
Control of Corruption	2.22 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	5.6	-50.0	-29.0
Physical Infrastructure	0.50 0-10	2026	5.0	-25.0	+4.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Education (Readiness)	0.63 0-1	2023	37.1	-35.9	-17.8
ICT Infrastructure	0.64 0-1	2023	36.2	-11.5	+3.0
Doing Business Score	0.65 0-1	2023	34.6	-23.8	-9.6
Social Inequality (Readiness)	0.69 0-1	2023	31.3	-20.2	-6.8
Political Stability (Readiness)	0.69 0-1	2023	30.7	-12.4	-2.0
Rule of Law (Readiness)	0.85 0-1	2023	14.6	-38.0	-16.5
Regulatory Quality (Readiness)	0.90 0-1	2023	10.5	-41.5	-17.6
Control of Corruption (Readiness)	0.94 0-1	2023	6.4	-57.9	-33.4
Innovation (Readiness)	1.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-94.7	-74.5

These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.

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Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Finland?
Finland: low across the board; strong nature keeps overall risk contained. Its overall risk score is 30 out of 100 (low), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Finland's risk?
Finland's highest pressures are climate (46, medium) and governance (42). Its strongest area is nature (16).
How might Finland's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 6% of Finland's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 71 to 71 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Finland warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Finland is on track to warm by +4.4 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +65 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +3.6 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Finland's coast?
Coastal sea level along Finland is projected to rise by +0.27 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.07 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Finland?
The share of Finland under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 12% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Finland?
The share of Finland exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 0.7% today to 0.4% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Finland's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.