+3.2 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +2.7 °C → +3.2 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +1.7 °C → +2.2 °C
Hottest month +6.3 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Luxembourg Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Europe
- Subregion
- Western Europe
- Income
- High income, OECD
- ISO
- LUX
Luxembourg: low across the board; strong nature keeps overall risk contained.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Luxembourg, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Low 30 / 100
5y
- 30 Climate Low
- 19 Nature +0.3 Very low
- 22 Social Low
- 46 Governance Medium
- 35 Adaptation +2.7 Low
Which hazards threaten Luxembourg most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 2.9FloodLow
Luxembourg in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
2
Western Europe
#2 of 9 · median 365
Europe
#5 of 43 · median 384
High income: OECD
#4 of 31 · median 37Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Luxembourg: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Luxembourg is projected to warm +3.2 °C, with annual rainfall changing +24 mm.
+24 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +27 mm → +24 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +27 mm → +33 mm
Driest month -10 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
100%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 100% → 100%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 100% → 3.2%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 3.2% today.
1.1%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 1.1% → 1.1%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 1.1% → 1.1%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 1.1% today.
Sea level
Landlocked, not applicable.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Energy Imports | 106 % of energy use | 100.0 |
Renewable Energy Share | 20.5 % of total energy | 78.7 |
Fossil Fuel Consumption | 70.4 % of total | 69.7 |
Drought Index (SPEI) | 0.48 index | 65.4 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 12.5 metric tons | 39.7 |
Land Surface Temperature | 14.6 deg C change | 38.8 |
Heating Degree Days | 5251 degree days | 36.1 |
Energy Use Per Capita | 4657 kg oil eq per capita | 29.3 |
Flood Risk | 2.90 0-10 | 29.0 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.57 kt CO2e per capita | 13.3 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 89.0 % of total | 11.0 |
Energy Intensity | 1.71 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 5.8 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 8.67 ug/m3 | 4.7 |
Cooling Degree Days | 246 degree days | 3.4 |
Heat Index | 0.00 index | 0.0 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Coal Electricity Share | 0.00 % of total | 0.0 |
Energy Import Dependency | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Dam Capacity | 0.98 0-1 | 97.6 |
Urban Concentration | 0.91 0-1 | 91.5 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.80 0-1 | 80.1 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.71 0-1 | 71.4 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.71 0-1 | 71.4 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.71 0-1 | 70.8 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.66 0-1 | 65.8 |
Forest Area | 34.5 % of land | 63.6 |
Agricultural Land | 51.5 % of land | 60.7 |
Food Production Index | 115 index | 58.8 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.58 0-1 | 57.6 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.52 0-1 | 51.6 |
Projected Hydropower Change | 0.45 0-1 | 45.1 |
Protected Areas | 55.8 % of land | 43.8 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.41 0-1 | 41.0 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 4.78 % of internal resources | 40.1 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.36 0-1 | 36.4 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.36 0-1 | 35.9 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.29 0-1 | 29.5 |
Projected Population Change | 0.29 0-1 | 29.4 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.22 0-1 | 21.8 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.18 0-1 | 18.0 |
Rural Population | 0.09 0-1 | 8.5 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.04 0-1 | 4.4 |
Access to Improved Sanitation | 0.04 0-1 | 4.2 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.04 0-1 | 4.1 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.04 0-1 | 3.6 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.04 0-1 | 3.5 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.03 0-1 | 3.0 |
Ecological Footprint | 0.01 0-1 | 1.4 |
Earthquake Risk | 0.10 0-10 | 1.0 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 0.21 % of GDP | 0.6 |
Access to Reliable Drinking Water | 0.00 0-1 | 0.5 |
Water Stress | 3.96 % | 0.1 |
Tsunami Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Tree Cover Loss | 1055 hectares | 0.0 |
Forest Depletion | 0.01 % of GNI | 0.0 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 0.01 % of GNI | 0.0 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 0.00 count | 0.0 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Slum Population | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Paved Roads | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Population Below 5m | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Electricity Access | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Education Expenditure | 10.7 % of govt | 74.3 |
Hospital Beds | 4.15 per 1,000 | 69.4 |
Primary School Enrollment | 99.5 % gross | 64.0 |
School Gender Parity | 0.99 ratio | 61.1 |
Net Migration | 5905 persons | 55.2 |
GDP Growth | -0.69 % annual | 54.5 |
Uprooted People | 5.40 0-10 | 54.0 |
Overweight Adults | 51.5 % adults | 51.1 |
Shared Prosperity Growth | 3.65 % annual | 46.0 |
Income Share Bottom 20% | 7.10 % | 45.8 |
Aging Population | 15.1 % population | 38.9 |
Gini Coefficient | 34.1 0-100 | 32.6 |
ESG Performance Score | 2.30 0-100 | 22.9 |
Labor Participation | 74.0 % (15+) | 22.6 |
Poverty Rate (National) | 17.3 % population | 19.0 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 86.9 ratio F/M | 18.1 |
Unemployment Rate | 5.18 % | 14.5 |
Aid Dependency | 1.10 0-10 | 11.0 |
Fertility Rate | 1.25 births per woman | 9.8 |
Life Expectancy | 83.4 years | 9.4 |
Food Security | 0.90 0-10 | 9.0 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 5.36 % | 6.4 |
Sanitation Access | 95.8 % population | 4.3 |
Children Under 5 | 0.20 0-10 | 2.0 |
Health Conditions | 0.20 0-10 | 2.0 |
Population Density | 254 people/km2 | 1.3 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 2.30 per 1,000 | 0.8 |
Internet Users | 99.3 % population | 0.8 |
Safe Drinking Water | 99.5 % population | 0.5 |
Development and Deprivation | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Recent Shocks | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Access to Electricity | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Undernourishment | 2.50 % population | 0.0 |
Patent Applications | 112 count | 100.0 |
Scientific Articles | 1171 count | 99.9 |
R&D Expenditure | 0.98 % of GDP | 84.3 |
Legal Rights Strength | 3.00 0-12 | 75.0 |
Women in Parliament | 33.3 % seats | 45.6 |
Political Stability | 1.05 -2.5 to +2.5 | 28.9 |
Voice and Accountability | 1.63 -2.5 to +2.5 | 17.3 |
Rule of Law | 1.75 -2.5 to +2.5 | 15.0 |
INFORM Governance Index | 1.40 0-10 | 14.0 |
Government Effectiveness | 1.91 -2.5 to +2.5 | 11.7 |
Control of Corruption | 1.93 -2.5 to +2.5 | 11.5 |
Regulatory Quality | 1.93 -2.5 to +2.5 | 11.4 |
Communication Infrastructure | 1.00 0-10 | 10.0 |
Healthcare Access | 0.80 0-10 | 8.0 |
Physical Infrastructure | 0.10 0-10 | 1.0 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.13 0-1 | 87.5 |
Doing Business Score | 0.57 0-1 | 43.3 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.71 0-1 | 28.6 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.75 0-1 | 24.9 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.84 0-1 | 16.3 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.85 0-1 | 14.7 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.87 0-1 | 13.2 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.89 0-1 | 11.3 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Luxembourg →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Luxembourg.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Luxembourg?
Luxembourg: low across the board; strong nature keeps overall risk contained. Its overall risk score is 30 out of 100 (low), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Luxembourg's risk?
Luxembourg's highest pressures are governance (46, medium) and adaptation (35). Its strongest area is nature (19).
How might Luxembourg's climate change by 2080?
Luxembourg's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Luxembourg warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Luxembourg is on track to warm by +3.2 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +24 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.2 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How will water stress change in Luxembourg?
The share of Luxembourg under high water stress is projected to move from 3.2% today to 100% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Luxembourg?
The share of Luxembourg exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 1.1% today to 1.1% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Luxembourg's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.