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Luxembourg

Region Europe Subregion Western Europe Income High income: OECD ISO LUX

Luxembourg runs low across the board; strong nature keeps overall risk contained.

Live events

In real time

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map →
Standing risk

How risky is Luxembourg, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
Low
30 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    Low
    30 / 100
  2. Nature
    Very low
    19 / 100
    ▲ + 0.3 5y
  3. Social
    Low
    21 / 100
  4. Governance
    Medium
    46 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    Low
    35 / 100
    ▲ + 2.7 5y
Climate futures

Luxembourg: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Luxembourg is projected to warm +3.2 °C, with annual rainfall changing +24 mm.

Temperature

+3.2 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+2.7 °C → +3.2 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+1.7 °C → +2.2 °C

Hottest month +6.3 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

+24 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+27 mm → +24 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+27 mm → +33 mm

Driest month -10 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Landlocked, not applicable.

Water stress

100%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
100% → 100%
Current path SSP3-7.0
100% → 3.2%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 3.2% today.

River flooding

1.1%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
1.1% → 1.1%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
1.1% → 1.1%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 1.1% today.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Score a site

But what about your location?

The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Luxembourg.

Where exactly?

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Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Luxembourg most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
Low
2.9 / 10
Peers

Luxembourg in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
Western Europe
#2 of 9median 35
  1. 1LiechtensteinLow 28
  2. 2LuxembourgLow 30
  3. 3SwitzerlandLow 32
  4. 4MonacoLow 33
  5. 5AustriaLow 35
  6. 6GermanyLow 37
  7. 7NetherlandsLow 38
  8. 8BelgiumLow 38
  9. 9FranceLow 38
region
Europe
#5 of 43median 38
  1. 1DenmarkLow 25
  2. 2IcelandLow 27
  3. 3LiechtensteinLow 28
  4. 4NorwayLow 29
  5. 5LuxembourgLow 30
  6. 6FinlandLow 30
  7. 7SwedenLow 31
  8. 8San MarinoLow 32
  9. 9SwitzerlandLow 32
  10. 10United KingdomLow 33
income group
High income: OECD
#4 of 31median 37
  1. 1DenmarkLow 25
  2. 2IcelandLow 27
  3. 3NorwayLow 29
  4. 4LuxembourgLow 30
  5. 5FinlandLow 30
  6. 6SwedenLow 31
  7. 7New ZealandLow 32
  8. 8SwitzerlandLow 32
  9. 9United KingdomLow 33
  10. 10IrelandLow 35

Put two countries head to head

Compare Luxembourg against any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

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Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Luxembourg?
Luxembourg runs low across the board; strong nature keeps overall risk contained. Its overall risk score is 30 out of 100 (low), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Luxembourg's risk?
Luxembourg's highest pressures are governance (46, medium) and adaptation (35). Its strongest area is nature (19).
How might Luxembourg's climate change by 2080?
Luxembourg's climate zones stay broadly stable through 2080 even under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5); its Koppen-based climate-hazard pressure index holds near 76 out of 100. This forward-looking outlook is separate from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Luxembourg warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Luxembourg is on track to warm by +3.2 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +24 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.2 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How will water stress change in Luxembourg?
The share of Luxembourg under high water stress is projected to move from 3.2% today to 100% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Luxembourg?
The share of Luxembourg exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 1.1% today to 1.1% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Luxembourg's risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.