+4.0 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +3.2 °C → +4.0 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +2.4 °C → +3.2 °C
Hottest month +3.1 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Sweden Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Europe
- Subregion
- Northern Europe
- Income
- High income, OECD
- ISO
- SWE
Sweden: low across the board; strong nature keeps overall risk contained.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Sweden, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Low 32 / 100
5y
- 43 Climate Medium
- 19 Nature +0.0 Very low
- 21 Social Low
- 45 Governance Medium
- 29 Adaptation +1.2 Low
Which hazards threaten Sweden most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 6.3FloodHigh
- 9.2DRR capacityCritical
Sweden in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
5
Northern Europe
#5 of 10 · median 327
Europe
#7 of 43 · median 386
High income: OECD
#6 of 31 · median 37Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Sweden: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Sweden is projected to warm +4.0 °C, with annual rainfall changing +58 mm.
+58 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +47 mm → +58 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +39 mm → +49 mm
Driest month +4 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
3.4%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 3.4% → 3.4%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 2.9% → 3.4%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 2.9% today.
1.3%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 1.4% → 1.3%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 1.2% → 1.4%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 2.1% today.
Sea level
Sweden: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 8 of its largest cities.
Coastal sea-level rise
20502100
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +0.04 m → +0.30 m
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +0.04 m → +0.12 m
Largest exposed cities
PopulationMax depth
Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.
Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Energy Imports | 28.3 % of energy use | 90.8 |
Flood Risk | 6.30 0-10 | 63.0 |
Heating Degree Days | 8555 degree days | 58.8 |
Coastal Protection Needed | 59.0 % coast | 46.7 |
Renewable Energy Share | 57.9 % of total energy | 39.9 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 67.4 % of total | 32.6 |
Energy Use Per Capita | 4253 kg oil eq per capita | 26.8 |
Energy Intensity | 3.24 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 17.7 |
Fossil Fuel Consumption | 24.9 % of total | 16.9 |
Land Surface Temperature | 2.94 deg C change | 14.8 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.62 kt CO2e per capita | 14.4 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 3.24 metric tons | 10.3 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 5.64 ug/m3 | 0.9 |
Cooling Degree Days | 50.1 degree days | 0.7 |
Coal Electricity Share | 0.32 % of total | 0.5 |
Heat Index | 0.00 index | 0.0 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Disaster Preparedness | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.94 0-1 | 93.9 |
Urban Concentration | 0.88 0-1 | 87.9 |
Protected Areas | 15.5 % of land | 84.5 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.84 0-1 | 83.7 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.80 0-1 | 80.0 |
Paved Roads | 0.77 0-1 | 77.4 |
Food Production Index | 101 index | 71.7 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.66 0-1 | 65.8 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.61 0-1 | 61.2 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.58 0-1 | 58.4 |
Water Bodies Extent | 48.4 % of land | 51.6 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.49 0-1 | 49.5 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.38 0-1 | 37.7 |
Population Below 5m | 0.31 0-1 | 31.0 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.28 0-1 | 28.3 |
Forest Area | 68.7 % of land | 27.3 |
Projected Hydropower Change | 0.22 0-1 | 22.2 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.21 0-1 | 20.5 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 1.45 % of internal resources | 19.8 |
Projected Population Change | 0.18 0-1 | 18.1 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.17 0-1 | 16.8 |
Dam Capacity | 0.13 0-1 | 13.4 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.13 0-1 | 12.9 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.13 0-1 | 12.9 |
Rural Population | 0.12 0-1 | 12.1 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.10 0-1 | 9.7 |
Agricultural Land | 7.35 % of land | 8.2 |
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact | 0.07 0-1 | 7.4 |
Tree Cover Loss | 333157 hectares | 5.1 |
Ecological Footprint | 0.05 0-1 | 5.1 |
Access to Improved Sanitation | 0.04 0-1 | 4.5 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.03 0-1 | 3.0 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 0.99 % of GDP | 2.8 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.02 0-1 | 1.7 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.01 0-1 | 1.2 |
Earthquake Risk | 0.10 0-10 | 1.0 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 0.58 % of GNI | 1.0 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 1.00 count | 0.5 |
Access to Reliable Drinking Water | 0.00 0-1 | 0.3 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.00 0-1 | 0.2 |
Water Stress | 3.58 % | 0.1 |
Tsunami Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Slum Population | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Electricity Access | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Forest Depletion | 0.00 % of GNI | 0.0 |
Hospital Beds | 2.05 per 1,000 | 85.2 |
Uprooted People | 6.90 0-10 | 69.0 |
Shared Prosperity Growth | 1.08 % annual | 68.7 |
Education Expenditure | 13.5 % of govt | 67.3 |
Net Migration | 55209 persons | 56.9 |
Aging Population | 20.5 % population | 54.5 |
GDP Growth | -0.11 % annual | 53.6 |
Overweight Adults | 50.5 % adults | 49.9 |
Primary School Enrollment | 116 % gross | 45.1 |
Income Share Bottom 20% | 7.40 % | 41.7 |
School Gender Parity | 1.07 ratio | 31.9 |
Gini Coefficient | 31.6 0-100 | 24.4 |
Poverty Rate (National) | 16.1 % population | 24.2 |
Unemployment Rate | 7.61 % | 21.4 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 90.5 ratio F/M | 14.5 |
Fertility Rate | 1.45 births per woman | 13.5 |
Food Security | 1.20 0-10 | 12.0 |
Life Expectancy | 83.3 years | 9.6 |
Labor Participation | 84.0 % (15+) | 7.3 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 5.92 % | 7.2 |
Internet Users | 95.7 % population | 4.8 |
Sanitation Access | 95.6 % population | 4.6 |
ESG Performance Score | 2.57 0-100 | 2.6 |
Children Under 5 | 0.20 0-10 | 2.0 |
Aid Dependency | 0.10 0-10 | 1.0 |
Health Conditions | 0.10 0-10 | 1.0 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 2.50 per 1,000 | 1.0 |
Safe Drinking Water | 99.7 % population | 0.3 |
Population Density | 25.7 people/km2 | 0.1 |
Development and Deprivation | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Recent Shocks | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Access to Electricity | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Undernourishment | 2.50 % population | 0.0 |
Patent Applications | 1771 count | 99.9 |
Scientific Articles | 22354 count | 97.5 |
Disaster Risk Reduction | 9.20 0-10 | 92.0 |
R&D Expenditure | 3.41 % of GDP | 43.6 |
Legal Rights Strength | 7.00 0-12 | 41.7 |
Political Stability | 0.76 -2.5 to +2.5 | 34.8 |
Women in Parliament | 46.4 % seats | 24.2 |
Voice and Accountability | 1.57 -2.5 to +2.5 | 18.5 |
INFORM Governance Index | 1.80 0-10 | 18.0 |
Government Effectiveness | 1.60 -2.5 to +2.5 | 18.0 |
Rule of Law | 1.60 -2.5 to +2.5 | 17.9 |
Regulatory Quality | 1.72 -2.5 to +2.5 | 15.6 |
Communication Infrastructure | 1.10 0-10 | 11.0 |
Control of Corruption | 2.03 -2.5 to +2.5 | 9.4 |
Physical Infrastructure | 0.90 0-10 | 9.0 |
Healthcare Access | 0.20 0-10 | 2.0 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.50 0-1 | 49.7 |
Doing Business Score | 0.65 0-1 | 34.9 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.67 0-1 | 32.7 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.70 0-1 | 30.0 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.71 0-1 | 29.1 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.81 0-1 | 18.7 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.82 0-1 | 17.6 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.85 0-1 | 15.5 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.89 0-1 | 10.8 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Sweden →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Sweden.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Sweden?
Sweden: low across the board; strong nature keeps overall risk contained. Its overall risk score is 32 out of 100 (low), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Sweden's risk?
Sweden's highest pressures are governance (45, medium) and climate (43). Its strongest area is nature (19).
How might Sweden's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 34% of Sweden's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 71 to 73 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Sweden warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Sweden is on track to warm by +4.0 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +58 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +3.2 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Sweden's coast?
Coastal sea level along Sweden is projected to rise by +0.30 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.12 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Sweden?
The share of Sweden under high water stress is projected to move from 2.9% today to 3.4% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Sweden?
The share of Sweden exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 2.1% today to 1.3% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Sweden's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.