+3.3 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +2.1 °C → +3.3 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +1.7 °C → +2.2 °C
Hottest month +3.0 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Australia Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Oceania
- Subregion
- Australia and New Zealand
- Income
- High income, OECD
- ISO
- AUS
Australia: low across the board; strong social keeps overall risk contained.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Australia, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Low 35 / 100
5y
- 53 Climate Medium
- 28 Nature +0.1 Low
- 20 Social Very low
- 44 Governance Medium
- 31 Adaptation -0.2 Low
Which hazards threaten Australia most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 5.4FloodMedium
- 3.9DRR capacityLow
Australia in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
2
Australia and New Zealand
#2 of 2 · median 342
Oceania
#2 of 14 · median 4312
High income: OECD
#12 of 31 · median 37Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Australia: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Australia is projected to warm +3.3 °C, with annual rainfall changing +5 mm.
+5 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +6 mm → +5 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 0 mm → -2 mm
Driest month -1 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
8.5%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 7.7% → 8.5%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 7.7% → 6.6%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 5.5% today.
0.7%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 0.8% → 0.7%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 0.6% → 0.9%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 1% today.
Sea level
Australia: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 8 of its largest cities.
Coastal sea-level rise
20502100
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +0.23 m → +0.78 m
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +0.20 m → +0.57 m
Largest exposed cities
PopulationMax depth
Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.
Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Coal Electricity Share | 46.5 % of total | 100.0 |
Fossil Fuel Consumption | 90.2 % of total | 92.7 |
Renewable Energy Share | 12.3 % of total energy | 87.2 |
Coastal Protection Needed | 89.4 % coast | 86.2 |
Land Surface Temperature | 33.6 deg C change | 78.0 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 26.7 % of total | 73.3 |
Drought Index (SPEI) | 0.33 index | 67.7 |
Energy Imports | -208 % of energy use | 62.9 |
Flood Risk | 5.40 0-10 | 54.0 |
Cooling Degree Days | 3755 degree days | 51.4 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 14.8 metric tons | 47.1 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 1.92 kt CO2e per capita | 44.9 |
Methane Emissions Per Capita | 5.13 kt CO2e per capita | 42.3 |
Energy Use Per Capita | 5078 kg oil eq per capita | 32.0 |
Energy Intensity | 4.12 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 24.6 |
Heating Degree Days | 961 degree days | 6.6 |
Heat Index | 8.22 index | 6.0 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 8.25 ug/m3 | 4.2 |
Access to Clean Fuels | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.94 0-1 | 93.6 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.90 0-1 | 90.0 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.86 0-1 | 85.6 |
Urban Concentration | 0.86 0-1 | 85.6 |
Forest Area | 17.4 % of land | 81.6 |
Protected Areas | 32.1 % of land | 67.6 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 0.66 0-1 | 65.8 |
Food Production Index | 112 index | 61.5 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.61 0-1 | 61.4 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.59 0-1 | 58.8 |
Paved Roads | 0.57 0-1 | 57.2 |
Tsunami Risk | 5.70 0-10 | 57.0 |
Agricultural Land | 47.3 % of land | 56.4 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.52 0-1 | 52.3 |
Projected Hydropower Change | 0.44 0-1 | 43.7 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.43 0-1 | 43.1 |
Disaster Preparedness | 0.40 0-1 | 40.0 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.40 0-1 | 39.7 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 63.0 count | 33.0 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 2.33 % of internal resources | 27.3 |
Projected Population Change | 0.26 0-1 | 26.2 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.25 0-1 | 25.0 |
Dam Capacity | 0.25 0-1 | 25.0 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.23 0-1 | 23.1 |
Population Below 5m | 0.22 0-1 | 21.8 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.17 0-1 | 17.2 |
Rural Population | 0.14 0-1 | 14.4 |
Water Bodies Extent | 87.7 % of land | 12.3 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 6.22 % of GNI | 10.9 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.11 0-1 | 10.7 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.09 0-1 | 9.1 |
Tree Cover Loss | 261044 hectares | 8.7 |
Ecological Footprint | 0.08 0-1 | 7.9 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 2.57 % of GDP | 7.1 |
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact | 0.05 0-1 | 4.9 |
Access to Improved Sanitation | 0.04 0-1 | 4.2 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.02 0-1 | 2.0 |
Earthquake Risk | 0.10 0-10 | 1.0 |
Forest Depletion | 0.12 % of GNI | 0.7 |
Water Stress | 4.60 % | 0.1 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Dependency Ratio | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Slum Population | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Electricity Access | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Overweight Adults | 64.0 % adults | 66.8 |
School Gender Parity | 0.98 ratio | 66.2 |
Primary School Enrollment | 99.1 % gross | 64.4 |
Education Expenditure | 13.9 % of govt | 61.5 |
Net Migration | 140232 persons | 59.8 |
Uprooted People | 5.90 0-10 | 59.0 |
Shared Prosperity Growth | -0.26 % annual | 50.0 |
GDP Growth | 3.44 % annual | 48.0 |
Aging Population | 17.4 % population | 45.5 |
Income Share Bottom 20% | 7.40 % | 39.4 |
Gini Coefficient | 34.3 0-100 | 33.1 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 87.4 ratio F/M | 17.6 |
Fertility Rate | 1.50 births per woman | 14.4 |
Labor Participation | 80.6 % (15+) | 12.5 |
ESG Performance Score | 2.44 0-100 | 12.5 |
Unemployment Rate | 3.67 % | 10.1 |
Food Security | 0.60 0-10 | 6.0 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 4.94 % | 5.7 |
Sanitation Access | 95.8 % population | 4.3 |
Life Expectancy | 83.1 years | 3.4 |
Internet Users | 97.1 % population | 3.3 |
Children Under 5 | 0.30 0-10 | 3.0 |
Recent Shocks | 0.20 0-10 | 2.0 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 3.70 per 1,000 | 2.0 |
Health Conditions | 0.10 0-10 | 1.0 |
Aid Dependency | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Development and Deprivation | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Undernourishment | 2.50 % population | 0.0 |
Population Density | 3.38 people/km2 | 0.0 |
Access to Electricity | 100 % population | 0.0 |
Patent Applications | 2966 count | 99.8 |
Scientific Articles | 62305 count | 93.1 |
R&D Expenditure | 1.86 % of GDP | 68.4 |
Disaster Risk Reduction | 3.90 0-10 | 39.0 |
Women in Parliament | 38.4 % seats | 37.3 |
Political Stability | 0.92 -2.5 to +2.5 | 31.7 |
Physical Infrastructure | 3.00 0-10 | 30.0 |
Voice and Accountability | 1.51 -2.5 to +2.5 | 19.9 |
Rule of Law | 1.52 -2.5 to +2.5 | 19.5 |
INFORM Governance Index | 1.90 0-10 | 19.0 |
Government Effectiveness | 1.59 -2.5 to +2.5 | 18.2 |
Communication Infrastructure | 1.60 0-10 | 16.0 |
Control of Corruption | 1.78 -2.5 to +2.5 | 14.4 |
Regulatory Quality | 1.94 -2.5 to +2.5 | 11.2 |
Legal Rights Strength | 11.0 0-12 | 8.3 |
Healthcare Access | 0.30 0-10 | 3.0 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.52 0-1 | 47.8 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.55 0-1 | 44.8 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.64 0-1 | 36.3 |
Doing Business Score | 0.67 0-1 | 33.3 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.68 0-1 | 32.0 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.73 0-1 | 27.2 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.81 0-1 | 19.2 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.83 0-1 | 16.5 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.89 0-1 | 11.1 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Australia →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Australia.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Australia?
Australia: low across the board; strong social keeps overall risk contained. Its overall risk score is 35 out of 100 (low), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Australia's risk?
Australia's highest pressures are climate (53, medium) and governance (44). Its strongest area is social (20).
How might Australia's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 5% of Australia's land shifts toward a drier, more arid zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 68 to 67 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Australia warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Australia is on track to warm by +3.3 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +5 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.2 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Australia's coast?
Coastal sea level along Australia is projected to rise by +0.78 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.57 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Australia?
The share of Australia under high water stress is projected to move from 5.5% today to 8.5% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Australia?
The share of Australia exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 1% today to 0.7% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Australia's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.