What drives Australia's risk?

Australia's highest pressures are climate (49, medium) and governance (44). Its strongest area is social (20).

How might Australia's climate change by 2080?

Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 5% of Australia's land shifts toward a drier, more arid zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 68 to 67 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.

How much will Australia warm by 2080?

Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Australia is on track to warm by +3.3 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +5 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.2 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.

How much will sea levels rise along Australia's coast?

Coastal sea level along Australia is projected to rise by +0.78 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.57 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.

How will water stress change in Australia?

The share of Australia under high water stress is projected to move from 5.5% today to 8.5% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.

How will river-flood exposure change in Australia?

The share of Australia exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 1% today to 0.7% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.

When was Australia's risk data last updated?

Updated October 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.

Australia Climate risk profile and hazard map

Name: Australia country risk profile
Creator: Criora
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Region: Oceania
Subregion: Australia and New Zealand
Income: High income, OECD
ISO: AUS

Australia: low across the board; strong social keeps overall risk contained.

Live events

Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live map

How risky is Australia, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Low 34 / 100

49 Climate Medium
29 Nature +0.1 Low
20 Social Very low
44 Governance Medium
31 Adaptation -0.2 Low

Which hazards threaten Australia most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

5.4FloodMedium
3.9DRR capacityLow

Australia in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

Australia and New Zealand

#2 of 2 · median 33

Oceania

#2 of 14 · median 43

High income: OECD

#10 of 31 · median 36

Put two countries head to head

Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

Compare Score a site here

Australia: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Australia is projected to warm +3.3 °C, with annual rainfall changing +5 mm.

+3.3 °C

Temperature

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +2.1 °C → +3.3 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +1.7 °C → +2.2 °C

Hottest month +3.0 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

+5 mm

Precipitation

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +6 mm → +5 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: 0 mm → -2 mm

Driest month -1 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

8.5%

Water stress

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 7.7% → 8.5%
Current path SSP3-7.0: 7.7% → 6.6%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 5.5% today.

0.7%

River flooding

20502080

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: 0.8% → 0.7%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: 0.6% → 0.9%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 1% today.

Sea level

Australia: under high emissions, a 100-year coastal flood in 2080 could reach 8 of its largest cities.

Sydney, Max depth 2.9 mFlood depth3 mOpen the live map© OpenStreetMap

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100

Higher emissions SSP5-8.5: +0.23 m → +0.78 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5: +0.20 m → +0.57 m

Largest exposed cities

PopulationMax depth

Max depth: the deepest water within 12 km of the city center in a 100-year coastal flood in 2080, under RCP8.5 with high-end sea-level rise (95th percentile), ignoring flood defenses and land subsidence. Source: WRI Aqueduct Floods.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

		Year		vs world	vs region
Renewable Energy Share	12.3 % of total energy	2021	87.2	+11.8	+6.4
Coal Electricity Share	46.0 % of total	2024	82.2	+71.6	+36.4
Land Surface Temperature	33.6 deg C change	2021	78.0	+13.3	+15.1
Renewable Electricity Share	26.7 % of total	2021	73.3	-1.8	-10.6
Coastal Protection Needed	63.8 % coast	2024	59.8	-13.9	-17.9
Flood Risk	5.40 0-10	2026	54.0	+2.0	+54.0
Cooling Degree Days	3818 degree days	2024	50.9	-3.2	-20.9
Fossil Fuel Consumption	0.00 % of total	2024	50.0	0.0	0.0
CO2 Emissions Per Capita	14.8 metric tons	2020	47.1	+39.4	+43.9
N2O Emissions Per Capita	1.92 kt CO2e per capita	2020	44.9	+37.9	+40.4
Energy Imports	-214 % of energy use	2023	44.2	-23.3	-11.1
Methane Emissions Per Capita	5.13 kt CO2e per capita	2020	42.3	+34.2	0.0
Drought Index (SPEI)	-0.56 index	2023	39.4	-4.7	-15.4
Energy Use Per Capita	4750 kg oil eq per capita	2024	27.2	+13.6	+3.8
Energy Intensity	4.12 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP	2022	24.6	+5.4	-9.0
Heat Index	16.1 days	2024	10.7	+6.4	+9.9
Heating Degree Days	884 degree days	2024	6.4	-6.6	+2.9
PM2.5 Air Pollution	8.25 ug/m3	2020	4.2	-15.0	-4.2
Access to Clean Fuels	100 % population	2023	0.0	-8.3	-40.5

		Year		vs world	vs region
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss	1.00 0-1	2023	100.0	+62.8	+12.5
Projected Annual Runoff Change	0.94 0-1	2023	93.6	+54.0	+4.3
Agricultural Capacity	0.90 0-1	2023	90.0	-1.8	-3.1
Projected Cereal Yield Change	0.86 0-1	2023	85.6	-0.9	-4.9
Urban Concentration	0.86 0-1	2023	85.6	+28.2	+30.6
Forest Area	17.4 % of land	2023	81.6	+15.3	+29.2
Protected Areas	33.5 % of land	2024	66.3	-22.0	-33.4
Projected Vector Disease Change	0.66 0-1	2023	65.8	0.0	0.0
Food Production Index	112 index	2022	61.5	-5.6	-10.9
Projected Warm Period Change	0.61 0-1	2023	61.4	-6.4	-7.6
Projected Biome Distribution Change	0.59 0-1	2023	58.8	+1.2	+10.6
Paved Roads	0.57 0-1	2023	57.2	+2.2	-19.4
Tsunami Risk	5.70 0-10	2026	57.0	+46.0	-2.5
Agricultural Land	47.2 % of land	2023	54.4	+10.1	+33.1
Age Dependency Ratio	0.52 0-1	2023	52.3	-0.5	-9.1
Projected Hydropower Change	0.44 0-1	2023	43.7	0.0	0.0
Health Expenditure Per Capita	0.43 0-1	2023	43.1	-41.1	-42.1
Disaster Preparedness	0.40 0-1	2023	40.0	+10.0	0.0
Environmental Treaties Engagement	0.40 0-1	2023	39.7	-36.6	-45.9
Threatened Mammal Species	69.0 count	2022	32.5	+27.3	+29.9
Freshwater Withdrawal	2.36 % of internal resources	2022	29.2	-21.1	+11.4
Projected Population Change	0.26 0-1	2023	26.2	+3.9	+6.1
Projected Groundwater Change	0.25 0-1	2023	25.0	-1.2	-2.1
Dam Capacity	0.25 0-1	2023	25.0	-68.3	-71.3
Quality of Trade Infrastructure	0.23 0-1	2023	23.1	-39.0	-38.4
Population Below 5m	0.22 0-1	2023	21.8	+7.1	-78.2
Protected Biome Areas	0.17 0-1	2023	17.2	-23.8	-27.4
Water Bodies Extent	83.8 % of land	2023	16.2	-16.0	+3.2
Rural Population	0.14 0-1	2023	14.4	-28.2	-30.6
Natural Resource Depletion	6.22 % of GNI	2021	10.9	+8.8	+10.3
Projected Flood Hazard Change	0.11 0-1	2023	10.7	-7.7	-19.0
Food Import Dependency	0.09 0-1	2023	9.1	-12.6	-26.6
Ecological Footprint	0.08 0-1	2023	7.9	-14.7	-44.1
Projected Sea Level Rise Impact	0.05 0-1	2023	4.9	-8.6	-82.9
Agriculture GDP Share	2.04 % of GDP	2024	4.8	-10.9	-34.0
Access to Improved Sanitation	0.04 0-1	2023	4.2	-35.0	-53.5
Tree Cover Loss	180670 hectares	2024	3.5	+3.4	+3.5
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate	0.02 0-1	2023	2.0	-5.5	+0.9
Earthquake Risk	0.10 0-10	2026	1.0	-34.0	-14.5
Forest Depletion	0.12 % of GNI	2021	0.7	+0.6	+0.2
Water Stress	4.67 %	2022	0.1	-0.2	+0.1
Child Malnutrition	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-13.8	-13.7
Water Dependency Ratio	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-6.9	0.0
Projected Climate-Related Deaths	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-30.3	-9.1
Dependency Ratio	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-6.8	-89.5
Slum Population	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-16.5	0.0
Natural Capital Dependency	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-21.8	-13.4
Energy Import Dependency	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	-25.7	-15.8
Electricity Access	0.00 0-1	2023	0.0	0.0	0.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Overweight Adults	64.0 % adults	2022	66.8	+10.8	-9.5
School Gender Parity	0.98 ratio	2020	66.2	+9.4	+17.8
Primary School Enrollment	99.6 % gross	2024	64.1	-0.2	+1.4
Education Expenditure	12.6 % of govt	2022	62.9	+0.5	0.0
Uprooted People	5.90 0-10	2026	59.0	0.0	+59.0
Net Migration	138510 persons	2024	57.3	+5.2	+5.2
Shared Prosperity Growth	-0.26 % annual	2018	50.0	+10.3	0.0
GDP Growth	3.44 % annual	2023	48.0	-0.9	-1.8
Aging Population	17.7 % population	2024	46.5	+29.6	+34.2
Income Share Bottom 20%	7.20 %	2020	40.8	0.0	0.0
Gini Coefficient	33.8 0-100	2020	32.2	-1.4	0.0
Gender Labor Ratio	88.3 ratio F/M	2024	15.6	-9.8	-1.8
Fertility Rate	1.48 births per woman	2024	13.9	-9.1	-30.4
Labor Participation	80.6 % (15+)	2024	13.0	-15.9	-31.0
Unemployment Rate	3.94 %	2024	11.0	-3.1	-1.2
Life Expectancy	83.1 years	2024	10.8	-28.9	-45.9
Food Security	0.60 0-10	2026	6.0	-12.0	-4.0
Sanitation Access	95.8 % population	2024	4.6	-37.3	-61.0
Internet Users	96.1 % population	2024	4.2	-15.3	-23.5
Children Under 5	0.30 0-10	2026	3.0	-8.0	-13.0
Communicable Disease Deaths	4.19 %	2021	2.6	-34.0	-18.2
Recent Shocks	0.20 0-10	2026	2.0	+1.0	+1.0
Under-5 Mortality Rate	3.60 per 1,000	2024	2.0	-9.9	-14.1
Health Conditions	0.10 0-10	2026	1.0	-7.0	-39.0
ESG Performance Score	4.98 0-100	2020	0.2	-16.3	-12.7
Aid Dependency	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-25.0	-60.5
Development and Deprivation	0.00 0-10	2026	0.0	-30.0	-41.5
Access to Electricity	100 % population	2023	0.0	0.0	0.0
Undernourishment	2.50 % population	2023	0.0	-5.2	-5.7
Population Density	3.47 people/km2	2023	0.0	-0.5	-0.3

		Year		vs world	vs region
Patent Applications	2966 count	2021	99.8	-0.2	-0.2
Scientific Articles	62305 count	2022	93.1	-6.8	-6.9
R&D Expenditure	1.86 % of GDP	2021	68.2	-18.9	-3.3
Women in Parliament	38.0 % seats	2024	40.4	-18.7	-42.6
Disaster Risk Reduction	3.90 0-10	2026	39.0	-2.5	-5.0
Political Stability	0.92 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	31.7	-18.1	+3.3
Physical Infrastructure	3.00 0-10	2026	30.0	0.0	+7.0
Voice and Accountability	1.51 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	19.9	-29.0	-9.1
Rule of Law	1.52 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	19.5	-33.5	-18.1
INFORM Governance Index	1.90 0-10	2026	19.0	-37.0	-33.5
Government Effectiveness	1.59 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	18.2	-33.5	-31.8
Communication Infrastructure	1.60 0-10	2026	16.0	-4.0	-8.5
Control of Corruption	1.78 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	14.4	-41.2	-24.6
Regulatory Quality	1.94 -2.5 to +2.5	2023	11.2	-41.5	-43.4
Legal Rights Strength	11.0 0-12	2019	8.3	-41.7	-8.4
Healthcare Access	0.30 0-10	2026	3.0	-34.0	-42.0

		Year		vs world	vs region
Social Inequality (Readiness)	0.52 0-1	2023	47.8	-3.7	-18.6
Innovation (Readiness)	0.55 0-1	2023	44.8	-49.9	-38.7
Education (Readiness)	0.64 0-1	2023	36.3	-36.8	-38.0
Doing Business Score	0.67 0-1	2023	33.3	-25.1	-27.5
ICT Infrastructure	0.68 0-1	2023	32.0	-15.7	-25.1
Political Stability (Readiness)	0.73 0-1	2023	27.2	-15.9	+2.8
Regulatory Quality (Readiness)	0.81 0-1	2023	19.2	-32.8	-17.8
Control of Corruption (Readiness)	0.83 0-1	2023	16.5	-47.8	-28.4
Rule of Law (Readiness)	0.89 0-1	2023	11.1	-41.5	-43.0

These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.

Score a site in Australia →

But what about your location?

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Australia: ask your AI assistant

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Then ask, for example

Australia: how will flood and heat risk change by 2050?
Australia and New Zealand: which countries are most at risk?

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Australia?
Australia: low across the board; strong social keeps overall risk contained. Its overall risk score is 34 out of 100 (low), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Australia's risk?
Australia's highest pressures are climate (49, medium) and governance (44). Its strongest area is social (20).
How might Australia's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 5% of Australia's land shifts toward a drier, more arid zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 68 to 67 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Australia warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Australia is on track to warm by +3.3 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +5 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.2 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Australia's coast?
Coastal sea level along Australia is projected to rise by +0.78 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.57 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Australia?
The share of Australia under high water stress is projected to move from 5.5% today to 8.5% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Australia?
The share of Australia exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 1% today to 0.7% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Australia's risk data last updated?
Updated October 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.