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Vietnam

Region Asia Subregion South-Eastern Asia Income Lower middle income ISO VNM

Vietnam sits mid-pack overall, with climate the main pressure.

Live events

In real time

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Standing risk

How risky is Vietnam, overall?

The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.

Composite risk
Medium
51 / 100
Very lowLowMediumHighCritical
  1. Climate
    High
    69 / 100
  2. Nature
    Medium
    43 / 100
    ▲ + 0.1 5y
  3. Social
    Low
    22 / 100
  4. Governance
    High
    66 / 100
  5. Adaptation
    Medium
    57 / 100
    ▼ -2.1 5y
Climate futures

Vietnam: outlook from 2050 to 2100

Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.

By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Vietnam is projected to warm +2.9 °C, with annual rainfall changing +117 mm.

Temperature

+2.9 °C

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+2.0 °C → +2.9 °C
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+1.6 °C → +2.0 °C

Hottest month +3.5 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Precipitation

+117 mm

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+66 mm → +117 mm
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+49 mm → +69 mm

Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).

Sea level

Vietnam: under high emissions, severe coastal flooding could reach 8 of its largest cities.

Most exposed cities

PopulationFlood depth

Coastal sea-level rise

20502100
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
+0.22 m → +0.76 m
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
+0.19 m → +0.55 m

Water stress

15%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
9% → 15%
Current path SSP3-7.0
20% → 20%

Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 4.6% today.

River flooding

10%

20502080
Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
7.2% → 10%
Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
4.4% → 7.7%

Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 5.5% today.

Regional estimate for the country's coast (IPCC AR6 median), not the global average.

Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.

Score a site

But what about your location?

The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Vietnam.

Where exactly?

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Hazard exposure

Which hazards threaten Vietnam most?

Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.

Flood
Critical
9.9 / 10
Peers

Vietnam in global context

Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.

subregion
South-Eastern Asia
#6 of 11median 51
  1. 2BruneiLow 39
  2. 3MalaysiaMedium 45
  3. 4Timor-LesteMedium 47
  4. 5ThailandMedium 50
  5. 6VietnamMedium 51
  6. 7LaosMedium 52
  7. 8IndonesiaMedium 54
  8. 9CambodiaMedium 55
  9. 10PhilippinesMedium 56
  10. 11MyanmarHigh 63
region
Asia
#30 of 48median 47
  1. 26AzerbaijanMedium 49
  2. 27TurkeyMedium 49
  3. 28UzbekistanMedium 50
  4. 29ThailandMedium 50
  5. 30VietnamMedium 51
  6. 31TajikistanMedium 52
  7. 32LaosMedium 52
  8. 33LebanonMedium 53
  9. 34NepalMedium 53
  10. 35TurkmenistanMedium 53
income group
Lower middle income
#31 of 53median 49
  1. 27GhanaMedium 49
  2. 28UzbekistanMedium 50
  3. 29GuyanaMedium 50
  4. 30El SalvadorMedium 51
  5. 31VietnamMedium 51
  6. 32BoliviaMedium 51
  7. 33DjiboutiMedium 52
  8. 34LaosMedium 52
  9. 35Côte d'IvoireMedium 53
  10. 36NicaraguaMedium 53

Put two countries head to head

Compare Vietnam against any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.

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Indicators

Indicator panel

Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.

FAQ

Common questions

Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.

How risky is Vietnam?
Vietnam sits mid-pack overall, with climate the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 51 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Vietnam's risk?
Vietnam's highest pressures are climate (69, high) and governance (66). Its strongest area is social (22).
How might Vietnam's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 32% of Vietnam's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 76 to 76 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Vietnam warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Vietnam is on track to warm by +2.9 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +117 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.0 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How much will sea levels rise along Vietnam's coast?
Coastal sea level along Vietnam is projected to rise by +0.76 m by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), and by about +0.55 m under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5). Based on the regional median of IPCC AR6 projections.
How will water stress change in Vietnam?
The share of Vietnam under high water stress is projected to move from 4.6% today to 15% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Vietnam?
The share of Vietnam exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 5.5% today to 10% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Vietnam's risk data last updated?
Updated August 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.