Climate risk in Ho Chi Minh City
Ho Chi Minh City (HCMC), Vietnam · 5.3M people in the urban area
What threatens Ho Chi Minh City most
- Drought
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Water stress
- Low-Medium WRI Aqueduct
- Cyclone wind
- Category 1 once in 100 years IRIS
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Vietnam
Ho Chi Minh City had 365 days in 2025 when the night never cooled below 20 °C.
Hanoi: 228 days.
Ho Chi Minh City's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Ho Chi Minh City's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Phnom Penh (Cambodia).
+1.2°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.2°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.3°C
Lowest in the coldest month
+3%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Ho Chi Minh City would stay nearest its own climate today.
Its own climate today is 3.1 σ away. How close the match is: 4.6 σ to the climate of Phnom Penh today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 2 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Ho Chi Minh City stands out
17 days
Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025
Hanoi: 27 days.
Higher than in 77% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at Ho Chi Minh City
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Ho Chi Minh City | Among large cities | In Vietnam |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 9 days | Among large cities: above 57% | In Vietnam: 2 of 5 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 365 days | Among large cities: above 93% | In Vietnam: 1 of 5 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 37.1°C | Among large cities: above 57% | In Vietnam: 2 of 5 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.5°C | Among large cities: above 18% | In Vietnam: 4 of 5 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 17 days | Among large cities: above 77% | In Vietnam: 5 of 5 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions | 217 mm | Among large cities: above 59% | In Vietnam: 2 of 4 |
| Water stress | Low-Medium (10-20%) | Among large cities: above 30% | In Vietnam: 1 of 5 |
| Drought risk | Medium-High | Among large cities: above 13% | In Vietnam: 3 of 5 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.28 m/s² | Among large cities: above 29% | In Vietnam: 3 of 5 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 36.28 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Ho Chi Minh City on the live map
See the heavy rain days around Ho Chi Minh City on the live map
17 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Ho Chi Minh City
- Can Tho · Vietnam
- Phnom Penh · Cambodia
- Da Nang · Vietnam
- Bangkok · Thailand
Large cities in Vietnam
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Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500, IRIS: the Imperial College Storm Model dataset
APA
Criora. (2026). Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/VNM/ho-chi-minh-city BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_VNM_ho_chi_minh_city_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/VNM/ho-chi-minh-city},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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