+3.0 °C
Temperature
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +2.0 °C → +3.0 °C
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +1.7 °C → +2.2 °C
Hottest month +3.3 °C by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
Rwanda Climate risk profile and hazard map
- Region
- Africa
- Subregion
- Eastern Africa
- Income
- Low income
- ISO
- RWA
Rwanda: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure.
Live events
Hourly disaster feed, shown alongside the standing risk below. Open the live mapHow risky is Rwanda, overall?
The composite and its five dimensions. Higher means more risk.
Medium 45 / 100
5y
- 26 Climate Low
- 36 Nature -1.2 Low
- 49 Social Medium
- 57 Governance Medium
- 57 Adaptation -1.7 Medium
Which hazards threaten Rwanda most?
Physical hazard intensity. INFORM Risk Index, 0 to 10.
- 2.7FloodLow
Rwanda in global context
Risk-ranked against its cohorts. Click any country to open its page.
3
Eastern Africa
#3 of 18 · median 547
Africa
#7 of 54 · median 531
Low income
#1 of 37 · median 55Put two countries head to head
Compare with any neighbour on all risks and their 5-year trajectory.
Rwanda: outlook from 2050 to 2100
Projected physical change under a moderate (SSP2-4.5) and a high (SSP5-8.5) emissions pathway.
By 2080 under a high-emissions pathway, Rwanda is projected to warm +3.0 °C, with annual rainfall changing +124 mm.
+124 mm
Precipitation
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- +70 mm → +124 mm
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- +48 mm → +35 mm
Driest month 0 mm by 2080 (SSP5-8.5).
0%
Water stress
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 0% → 0%
- Current path SSP3-7.0
- 0% → 0%
Share of land under high or extreme water stress; 0% today.
1.6%
River flooding
20502080
- Higher emissions SSP5-8.5
- 1.5% → 1.6%
- Lower emissions SSP2-4.5
- 1.6% → 1.6%
Land exposed to a 100-year river flood; 1.1% today.
Sea level
Landlocked, not applicable.
Projections from public CMIP6 (WorldClim 2.1, 5-model median, against a 1970-2000 baseline), WRI Aqueduct 4.0 and IPCC AR6 data. Monthly and bioclimatic aggregates, not daily-threshold indices. Forward-looking estimates, not a re-scored site risk.
Indicator panel
Every source-level indicator behind the dimensions above. Sort by score, value, or name.
Access to Clean Fuels | 8.30 % population | 91.7 |
Energy Imports | 10.6 % of energy use | 69.7 |
Land Surface Temperature | 26.9 deg C change | 64.2 |
Renewable Electricity Share | 61.0 % of total | 39.0 |
PM2.5 Air Pollution | 31.3 ug/m3 | 32.9 |
Flood Risk | 2.70 0-10 | 27.0 |
Energy Intensity | 3.51 MJ/$2017 PPP GDP | 19.8 |
Cooling Degree Days | 1406 degree days | 19.3 |
Renewable Energy Share | 79.9 % of total energy | 16.4 |
Coal Electricity Share | 12.2 % of total | 12.7 |
Fossil Fuel Consumption | 11.6 % of total | 7.9 |
N2O Emissions Per Capita | 0.15 kt CO2e per capita | 3.6 |
Energy Use Per Capita | 373 kg oil eq per capita | 1.8 |
Heating Degree Days | 47.0 degree days | 0.3 |
CO2 Emissions Per Capita | 0.11 metric tons | 0.2 |
Heat Index | 0.00 index | 0.0 |
Dam Capacity | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Projected Vector Disease Change | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Dependency Ratio | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Ecological Footprint | 1.00 0-1 | 100.0 |
Agricultural Capacity | 0.99 0-1 | 98.5 |
Health Expenditure Per Capita | 0.97 0-1 | 96.9 |
Agricultural Land | 81.3 % of land | 96.1 |
Protected Areas | 9.10 % of land | 90.9 |
Rural Population | 0.88 0-1 | 88.5 |
Forest Area | 11.3 % of land | 88.1 |
Projected Cereal Yield Change | 0.87 0-1 | 87.2 |
Environmental Treaties Engagement | 0.84 0-1 | 83.8 |
Paved Roads | 0.82 0-1 | 81.7 |
Projected Warm Period Change | 0.80 0-1 | 79.6 |
Agriculture GDP Share | 26.6 % of GDP | 74.0 |
Projected Biome Distribution Change | 0.71 0-1 | 70.6 |
Age Dependency Ratio | 0.68 0-1 | 67.9 |
Protected Biome Areas | 0.67 0-1 | 66.8 |
Food Production Index | 117 index | 56.6 |
Quality of Trade Infrastructure | 0.54 0-1 | 53.8 |
Freshwater Withdrawal | 6.42 % of internal resources | 45.9 |
Projected Population Change | 0.44 0-1 | 43.5 |
Projected Flood Hazard Change | 0.43 0-1 | 43.2 |
Earthquake Risk | 4.00 0-10 | 40.0 |
Slum Population | 0.39 0-1 | 38.7 |
Electricity Access | 0.36 0-1 | 36.5 |
Projected Climate-Related Deaths | 0.36 0-1 | 36.4 |
Food Import Dependency | 0.35 0-1 | 35.5 |
Projected Groundwater Change | 0.33 0-1 | 32.5 |
Water Dependency Ratio | 0.29 0-1 | 28.6 |
Forest Depletion | 3.83 % of GNI | 21.9 |
Water Bodies Extent | 78.8 % of land | 21.2 |
Natural Capital Dependency | 0.20 0-1 | 20.2 |
Projected Annual Runoff Change | 0.16 0-1 | 15.7 |
Threatened Mammal Species | 24.0 count | 12.6 |
Urban Concentration | 0.12 0-1 | 11.5 |
Energy Import Dependency | 0.11 0-1 | 10.6 |
Natural Resource Depletion | 3.84 % of GNI | 6.7 |
Freshwater Withdrawal Rate | 0.05 0-1 | 5.5 |
Child Malnutrition | 0.05 0-1 | 4.5 |
Water Stress | 20.2 % | 0.5 |
Tsunami Risk | 0.00 0-10 | 0.0 |
Tree Cover Loss | 2922 hectares | 0.0 |
Projected Marine Biodiversity Loss | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Population Below 5m | 0.00 0-1 | 0.0 |
Hospital Beds | 0.74 per 1,000 | 95.7 |
Development and Deprivation | 7.80 0-10 | 78.0 |
Internet Users | 34.2 % population | 74.0 |
Uprooted People | 6.50 0-10 | 65.0 |
Undernourishment | 31.4 % population | 59.2 |
Life Expectancy | 67.8 years | 58.2 |
Communicable Disease Deaths | 38.2 % | 57.7 |
Food Security | 5.70 0-10 | 57.0 |
Fertility Rate | 3.70 births per woman | 55.0 |
Net Migration | -9001 persons | 54.7 |
Aid Dependency | 4.90 0-10 | 49.0 |
Education Expenditure | 14.8 % of govt | 43.0 |
GDP Growth | 8.25 % annual | 40.4 |
Access to Electricity | 63.9 % population | 38.2 |
School Gender Parity | 1.02 ratio | 36.1 |
ESG Performance Score | 2.13 0-100 | 35.4 |
Labor Participation | 65.9 % (15+) | 35.0 |
Unemployment Rate | 12.4 % | 35.0 |
Under-5 Mortality Rate | 40.0 per 1,000 | 34.0 |
Health Conditions | 3.00 0-10 | 30.0 |
Adult Literacy Rate | 79.0 % | 28.9 |
Children Under 5 | 2.30 0-10 | 23.0 |
Unmet Contraception Need | 13.6 % | 22.9 |
Gender Labor Ratio | 83.2 ratio F/M | 22.0 |
Overweight Adults | 19.8 % adults | 11.2 |
Aging Population | 3.82 % population | 6.5 |
Population Density | 553 people/km2 | 3.0 |
Recent Shocks | 0.10 0-10 | 1.0 |
Primary School Enrollment | 152 % gross | 0.9 |
Patent Applications | 14.0 count | 100.0 |
Scientific Articles | 353 count | 100.0 |
Voice and Accountability | -0.90 -2.5 to +2.5 | 68.0 |
Healthcare Access | 5.60 0-10 | 56.0 |
Physical Infrastructure | 5.50 0-10 | 55.0 |
R&D Expenditure | 0.79 % of GDP | 54.1 |
Communication Infrastructure | 4.80 0-10 | 48.0 |
Political Stability | 0.11 -2.5 to +2.5 | 47.8 |
Regulatory Quality | 0.12 -2.5 to +2.5 | 47.5 |
Rule of Law | 0.21 -2.5 to +2.5 | 45.9 |
INFORM Governance Index | 4.30 0-10 | 43.0 |
Government Effectiveness | 0.39 -2.5 to +2.5 | 42.2 |
Control of Corruption | 0.67 -2.5 to +2.5 | 36.6 |
Legal Rights Strength | 11.0 0-12 | 8.3 |
Women in Parliament | 61.3 % seats | 0.0 |
Innovation (Readiness) | 0.00 0-1 | 99.5 |
Education (Readiness) | 0.05 0-1 | 94.8 |
ICT Infrastructure | 0.35 0-1 | 65.4 |
Social Inequality (Readiness) | 0.39 0-1 | 61.2 |
Rule of Law (Readiness) | 0.53 0-1 | 47.1 |
Doing Business Score | 0.54 0-1 | 46.1 |
Regulatory Quality (Readiness) | 0.55 0-1 | 45.1 |
Control of Corruption (Readiness) | 0.58 0-1 | 42.0 |
Political Stability (Readiness) | 0.59 0-1 | 41.1 |
These indicators have site-level resolution. Score your exact location.
Score a site in Rwanda →But what about your location?
The country score is an average. Get the full risk breakdown for one address or point inside Rwanda.
Where exactly?
Type an address, city, or landmark and we resolve it to a precise risk profile for that point.
Common questions
Answer-first, drawn from the same data above.
How risky is Rwanda?
Rwanda: mid-pack overall, with governance the main pressure. Its overall risk score is 45 out of 100 (medium), blended from World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.
What drives Rwanda's risk?
Rwanda's highest pressures are governance (57, medium) and adaptation (57). Its strongest area is climate (26).
How might Rwanda's climate change by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), about 27% of Rwanda's land shifts toward a warmer climate zone by 2080, lifting its climate-hazard pressure index from 76 to 76 out of 100. This Koppen-based outlook is a separate, forward-looking measure from the historical ND-GAIN scores.
How much will Rwanda warm by 2080?
Under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5), Rwanda is on track to warm by +3.0 °C by 2080, with annual precipitation changing by +124 mm; under lower emissions (SSP2-4.5) the warming is about +2.2 °C. Based on CMIP6 multi-model projections against a 1970-2000 baseline.
How will water stress change in Rwanda?
The share of Rwanda under high water stress is projected to move from 0% today to 0% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct projections.
How will river-flood exposure change in Rwanda?
The share of Rwanda exposed to river flooding is projected to move from 1.1% today to 1.6% by 2080 under a high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5). Based on WRI Aqueduct riverine-flood projections.
When was Rwanda's risk data last updated?
Updated September 2026, drawing on World Bank, INFORM Risk Index and ND-GAIN Country Index.