Climate risk in Harare
Harare, Zimbabwe · 1.6M people in the urban area
What threatens Harare most
- Water stress
- High WRI Aqueduct
- Drought
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Low GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Zimbabwe
In an average year, fire burns 3% of the land around Harare.
Lusaka: 6%.
3% © OpenStreetMap Harare's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Harare is projected to have the climate that Lusaka (Zambia) has today.
+1.6°C
Mean temperature over the year
+2.3°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.4°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-6%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Harare would have the climate that Lusaka (Zambia) has today.
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How close the match is: 0.8 σ to the climate of Lusaka today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Hazards at Harare
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Harare | Among large cities | In Zimbabwe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 0 days | ||
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 3 days | Among large cities: above 18% | |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 33.2°C | Among large cities: above 23% | |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.9°C | Among large cities: above 47% | |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 10 days | Among large cities: above 51% | |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | High (40-80%) | Among large cities: above 56% | |
| Drought risk | Medium-High | Among large cities: above 13% | |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.12 m/s² | Among large cities: above 14% | |
| Land burned in an average year | 3% | Among large cities: above 95% | |
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Harare on the live map
See the tropical nights around Harare on the live map
3 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Harare
- Lusaka · Zambia
- Lilongwe · Malawi
- Lubumbashi · Dem. Rep. Congo
- Maputo · Mozambique
Large cities in Zimbabwe
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In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Harare, Zimbabwe: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/ZWE/harare BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_ZWE_harare_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Harare, Zimbabwe: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/ZWE/harare},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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