Climate risk in Yangon
Myanmar
Main risks in Yangon
On heavy rain, coastal floods and tropical cyclones, Yangon ranks above at least 86% of the world's 626 large cities.
- Heavy rain
- 46 days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 [1]
- Higher than 99% of the world's large cities.
- For comparison: Quezon City 51 days, Chittagong 47 days, Mumbai 33 days.
- Coastal floods
- a 100-year flood from the sea puts 8.8% of the land around the centre (a 10 km square) under 0.5 m of water or more; 10% by 2080 if emissions keep rising [2]
- Higher than 92% of the world's large coastal cities.
- For comparison: Kolkata 11%, Dongguan 7.7%, Kobe 4.3%.
- Tropical cyclones
- once in 100 years, winds of about 119 km/h (category 1) [3]
- Higher than 86% of the world's large cities.
- For comparison: Ho Chi Minh City 131 km/h, Kolkata 128 km/h, Hangzhou 123 km/h.
46 days Natural Earth Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025
This week in Yangon
This week's forecast risk around the city, by day and by hour, and the hazard events near it now. [4] [5]
This week's forecast for the city cannot be shown here right now.
Open the city on the mapThe Earth right now
The Earth's pulse reads the whole world, not this city, so it is the same on every city's page.
Earth's pulse, from 0 to 100. It rises with the number of people in the path of disasters now under way; 90 matches the 2004 tsunami.
Open the live mapWhere else Yangon stands out
23%
Share of land sinking over 1 cm a year, within 15 km [6]
Higher than 94% of the world's large cities.
For comparison: Ahmedabad 30%, Lahore 20%, Quezon City 19%.
315 nights
Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C [1]
Higher than 88% of the world's large cities.
For comparison: Mumbai 319 nights, Kinshasa 314 nights, Luanda 305 nights.
69 days
Days over 35 °C in 2025; the hottest reached 39 °C [1]
Higher than 86% of the world's large cities.
For comparison: Delhi 77 days, Cairo 73 days, Hangzhou 58 days.
Around the city on the map
Coastal floods
Natural Earth Coastal flood depth, 100-year event, in today's climate
Sinking land
Natural Earth Yangon's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, if emissions level off [7] [8]
By the 2050s, Yangon's climate will be unlike any large city's today, its own included; of the other cities, Mumbai (India) comes closest.
+1.2 °C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.2 °C
Average daily high, warmest month
+1.5 °C
Average nightly low, coldest month
+1%
Precipitation over the year
If emissions keep rising, it will differ even more from the climate of every large city today.
Climates are compared on seasonal temperature and rainfall alone, each difference weighed against the city's usual swings from year to year (the method of Mahony et al. 2017); heat waves, the heat of city streets and the rising sea are left out. All 3 estimates from the climate models, the middle one and the two ends of their range, point to Mumbai. [9]
Everything else measured
From the highest among the world's 626 large cities to the lowest.
| Reading | Yangon | Among 626 large cities |
|---|---|---|
| Earthquake shaking on firm ground, 10% chance in 50 years [10] | strong shaking, 0.15 g | higher than 72% of large cities |
| Water stress [11] | Medium-High: 20 to 40% of the available water drawn | the same grade as 13% of large cities; higher than 43%, lower than 44% |
| Warming by 2050, if emissions level off [8] | +1.5 °C | higher than 21% of large cities |
| Sea level rise by 2050 over the 1995-2014 average, if emissions level off [12] | 18 cm, 14 cm of it after 2020 | higher than 9% of large coastal cities |
| River flood depth, 100-year event [2] | Dry at the centre; other districts can flood | like 85% of large cities |
| Land burned in an average year [13] | 0% | like 84% of large cities |
- Flood depth is given for one 1 km square at the city centre, in today's climate.
- Earthquake shaking is given for firm ground in g, the acceleration of gravity: around 0.1 g shaking is strong and can cause light damage, on the US Geological Survey's scale. The figure is the typical value over all the land within 15 km of the centre, not that of one point. Soft ground, such as an old lake bed or river silt, shakes harder.
- Water stress is the share of the available water drawn every year. Drought risk is how often droughts come, against the area's own usual rain, and how many people and how much farmland they would reach. Both are graded on WRI's own scale.
- Sea level rise is the IPCC projection for the nearest coast, counted from the 1995-2014 average. It is on a grid about 100 km across and counts the slow rise or fall of the land. "If emissions level off" is the IPCC's SSP2-4.5 scenario.
- Water stress and drought risk have no rank in the country: they are steps of a scale, and many cities share one.
- Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here.
The nearest large cities
Distance from centre to centre.
- Bangkok · Thailand · 580 km
- Mandalay · Myanmar · 580 km
- Chittagong · Bangladesh · 770 km
- Khulna · Bangladesh · 960 km
Large cities in Myanmar
Sources
- ERA5 Single Levels Daily Statistics: heavy rain, nights, hot days
- Aqueduct Floods Hazard Maps: coastal floods, river flood depth
- IRIS: the Imperial College Storm Model dataset: tropical cyclone wind
- Environment and Climate Change Canada: Global Deterministic Prediction System (GDPS): the week's forecast map
- NASA Fire Information for Resource Management System (FIRMS): wildfire near the city now
- Global Land Subsidence Mapping Reveals Widespread Loss of Aquifer Storage Capacity: sinking land
- TerraClimate: the 2050s comparison
- NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX-GDDP-CMIP6): the 2050s comparison, warming
- Mahony, Cannon, Wang and Aitken (2017). A closer look at novel climates: new methods and insights at continental to landscape scales. Global Change Biology 23, 3934-3955: how climates are compared
- GSHAP Global Seismic Hazard Map: earthquake shaking
- Aqueduct 4.0 Water Risk Framework: water stress
- IPCC AR6 Sea Level Projections: sea level rise
- Global Biomass Burning at 500 m (GFED500): burned land
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In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, WRI, IRIS, ECCC, NASA Fire Information for Resource Management System (FIRMS), HydroShare, TerraClimate, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, GSHAP, IPCC, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Yangon, Myanmar: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 4, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/MMR/yangon BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_MMR_yangon_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Yangon, Myanmar: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/MMR/yangon},
urldate = {2026-11-04}
} The figures may be reused on the terms of their sources, which this page names.
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