Climate risk in Mandalay
Mandalay Region, Myanmar · 1.3M people in the urban area
What threatens Mandalay most
- Earthquake
- High GSHAP
- Water stress
- Low WRI Aqueduct
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Myanmar
An earthquake's shaking at Mandalay can reach 3.9 m/s², as strong as a once-in-475-years event.
Yangon: 1.53 m/s².
Mandalay's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Mandalay's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Warangal (India).
+1.3°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.4°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.7°C
Lowest in the coldest month
+1%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Mandalay would stay nearest its own climate today.
Its own climate today is 2.1 σ away. How close the match is: 6.2 σ to the climate of Warangal today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Mandalay stands out
61 days
Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C
Yangon: 69 days.
Higher than in 84% of the world's 630 large cities
256 days
Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C
Yangon: 315 days.
Higher than in 83% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at Mandalay
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Mandalay | Among large cities | In Myanmar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 61 days | Among large cities: above 84% | |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 256 days | Among large cities: above 83% | |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 40.2°C | Among large cities: above 79% | |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.5°C | Among large cities: above 20% | |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 11 days | Among large cities: above 57% | |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Low (<10%) | Among large cities: above 0% | |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 3.9 m/s² | Among large cities: above 95% | |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 27.68 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Mandalay on the live map
See the hot days around Mandalay on the live map
61 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Mandalay
- Chittagong · Bangladesh
- Baoshan · China
- Yangon · Myanmar
- Dhaka · Bangladesh
Large cities in Myanmar
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Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Mandalay, Myanmar: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/MMR/mandalay BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_MMR_mandalay_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Mandalay, Myanmar: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/MMR/mandalay},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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