Climate risk in Kinshasa
Kinshasa, Dem. Rep. Congo · 7.8M people in the urban area
What threatens Kinshasa most
- Drought
- Low-Medium WRI Aqueduct
- Water stress
- Low WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Low GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Dem. Rep. Congo
Kinshasa had 314 days in 2025 when the night never cooled below 20 °C.
Kisangani: 365 days.
Kinshasa's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Kinshasa's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Kumasi (Ghana).
+1.3°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.4°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.4°C
Lowest in the coldest month
+4%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, no large city has such a climate today; the nearest is Bangkok (Thailand).
Its own climate today is 7.6 σ away. How close the match is: 7.6 σ to the climate of Kumasi today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 2 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Kinshasa stands out
1%
Land burned in an average year
Lubumbashi: 23%.
Higher than in 83% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at Kinshasa
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Kinshasa | Among large cities | In Dem. Rep. Congo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 1 day | Among large cities: above 38% | In Dem. Rep. Congo: 4 of 5 |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 314 days | Among large cities: above 88% | In Dem. Rep. Congo: 3 of 5 |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 35°C | Among large cities: above 38% | In Dem. Rep. Congo: 4 of 5 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.5°C | Among large cities: above 22% | In Dem. Rep. Congo: 4 of 5 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 10 days | Among large cities: above 51% | In Dem. Rep. Congo: 1 of 5 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Low (<10%) | Among large cities: above 0% | In Dem. Rep. Congo: 1 of 5 |
| Drought risk | Low-Medium | Among large cities: above 1% | In Dem. Rep. Congo: 2 of 5 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0 m/s² | Among large cities: above 1% | In Dem. Rep. Congo: 5 of 5 |
| Land burned in an average year | 1% | Among large cities: above 83% | In Dem. Rep. Congo: 2 of 5 |
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Kinshasa on the live map
See the land burned around Kinshasa on the live map
1% © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Kinshasa
- Brazzaville · Congo
- Luanda · Angola
- Kananga · Dem. Rep. Congo
- Huambo · Angola
Large cities in Dem. Rep. Congo
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Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Kinshasa, Dem. Rep. Congo: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/COD/kinshasa BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_COD_kinshasa_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Kinshasa, Dem. Rep. Congo: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/COD/kinshasa},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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