Climate risk in Bamako
Bamako, Mali · 1.5M people in the urban area
What threatens Bamako most
- Drought
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Water stress
- Low WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Low GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of Mali
In an average year, fire burns 8% of the land around Bamako.
Ouagadougou: 1%.
8% © OpenStreetMap Bamako's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Bamako's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is N'Djamena (Chad).
+1.5°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.7°C
Highest in the warmest month
+1.3°C
Lowest in the coldest month
-1%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Bamako would stay nearest its own climate today.
Its own climate today is 5.0 σ away. How close the match is: 7.4 σ to the climate of N'Djamena today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Where else Bamako stands out
159 days
Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C
Ouagadougou: 197 days.
Higher than in 97% of the world's 630 large cities
41.6°C
Hottest day of 2025
Ouagadougou: 42.3°C.
Higher than in 87% of the world's 630 large cities
Hazards at Bamako
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Bamako | Among large cities | In Mali |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 159 days | Among large cities: above 97% | |
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 288 days | Among large cities: above 85% | |
| Hottest day of 2025 | 41.6°C | Among large cities: above 87% | |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +1.8°C | Among large cities: above 39% | |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 12 days | Among large cities: above 60% | |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Water stress | Low (<10%) | Among large cities: above 0% | |
| Drought risk | Medium-High | Among large cities: above 13% | |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0 m/s² | Among large cities: above 0% | |
| Land burned in an average year | 8% | Among large cities: above 98% | |
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Bamako on the live map
See the hot days around Bamako on the live map
159 days © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Bamako
- Ouagadougou · Burkina Faso
- Conakry · Guinea
- Monrovia · Liberia
- Abidjan · Côte d'Ivoire
Large cities in Mali
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Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Bamako, Mali: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/MLI/bamako BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_MLI_bamako_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Bamako, Mali: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/MLI/bamako},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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