Climate risk in Glasgow
Scotland, United Kingdom · 1.2M people in the urban area
What threatens Glasgow most
- Drought
- Medium-High WRI Aqueduct
- Water stress
- Low WRI Aqueduct
- Earthquake
- Low GSHAP
Tsunamis and landslides are not rated for a single city here. Climate risk profile of United Kingdom
An earthquake's shaking at Glasgow can reach 0.52 m/s², as strong as a once-in-475-years event.
London: 0.3 m/s².
Glasgow's climate in the 2050s
2041-2060 compared with 1991-2020, moderate emissions
By the 2050s, Glasgow's climate will still be more like its own today than any other large city's. The nearest other is Birmingham (United Kingdom).
+0.9°C
Mean temperature over the year
+1.3°C
Highest in the warmest month
+0.6°C
Lowest in the coldest month
+1%
Precipitation over the year
Under high emissions, Glasgow would stay nearest its own climate today.
Its own climate today is 0.2 σ away. How close the match is: 1.4 σ to the climate of Birmingham today, where under 2 is close and over 4 is no match (Mahony et al. 2017). 3 of 3 climate model runs name the same city. Seasonal temperature and rain are compared, not extremes, city heat or the sea.
Hazards at Glasgow
Read at the city's centre and compared with the Atlas's 630 large cities. Moderate emissions is the IPCC's scenario SSP2-4.5.
| Hazard | Glasgow | Among large cities | In United Kingdom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hot days in 2025, over 35 °C | 0 days | ||
| Tropical nights in 2025, over 20 °C | 0 days | ||
| Hottest day of 2025 | 28.6°C | Among large cities: above 4% | In United Kingdom: 5 of 6 |
| Warming by 2050, moderate emissions | +0.8°C | Among large cities: above 0% | In United Kingdom: 6 of 6 |
| Days with 20 mm of rain or more in 2025 | 1 day | Among large cities: above 7% | In United Kingdom: 5 of 6 |
| River flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Coastal flood depth, 100-year event | Dry at the city centre point | ||
| Sea level rise by 2050, moderate emissions | 158 mm | Among large cities: above 3% | |
| Water stress | Low (<10%) | Among large cities: above 0% | In United Kingdom: 5 of 6 |
| Drought risk | Medium-High | Among large cities: above 13% | In United Kingdom: 6 of 6 |
| Earthquake shaking, once in 475 years | 0.52 m/s² | Among large cities: above 46% | In United Kingdom: 3 of 6 |
| Land burned in an average year | 0% | ||
| Cyclone wind, once in 100 years | 0 m/s |
Flood depth is read in a single 1 km cell at the city's centre, in today's climate. Other parts of the city can still flood. The country page names the deepest point near a coastal city in 2080, so its figure can be higher. See how deep a river flood reaches around Glasgow on the live map
See the hottest days around Glasgow on the live map
28.6°C © OpenStreetMap Large cities near Glasgow
- Leeds · United Kingdom
- Manchester · United Kingdom
- Dublin · Ireland
- Sheffield · United Kingdom
Large cities in United Kingdom
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In a line
Source: Criora (criora.com), based on ECMWF, NEX-GDDP-CMIP6, WRI, IPCC, GSHAP, GFED500
APA
Criora. (2026). Glasgow, United Kingdom: climate risk profile [Data set]. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://criora.com/atlas/GBR/glasgow BibTeX
@misc{criora_atlas_GBR_glasgow_2026,
author = {{Criora}},
title = {Glasgow, United Kingdom: climate risk profile},
year = {2026},
url = {https://criora.com/atlas/GBR/glasgow},
urldate = {2026-11-02}
} Each reading stays under its source's terms; the sources are named on this page.
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